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Sebastiani Rieti vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-84 (OT)
10-19 17-7 24-14 17-28 9-16
Position#4
Record26-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record29-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.1
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals· PalaSojourner
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu
29 May 2025
SEBA77
KAN84
06 Oct 2024
SEBA68
KAN74
21 Jan 2024
SEBA74
KAN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
78-69
78
69
+9
76avg 68
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 68
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
73-91
73
91
-18
69avg 68
A13/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 68
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-47
65
47
+18
59avg 68
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-61
65
61
+4
54avg 68
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 68
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
53avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
13-13
20-19
22-16
21-9
27-14
7-17
24-28
26-18
10-28
21-18
16-27
20-17
18-13
12-29
19-8
26-13
21-18
19-18
22-24
11-13
15-18
28-4
11-12
17-21
8-12
27-9
13-19
25-14
22-19
22-21
20-27
20-26
14-21
7-14
18-22
18-15
10-31
26-27
20-16
146.8Avg total
73.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)75.274.0149.2+1.360%
Season at home (21)75.369.9145.2+5.471%
Season away (22)75.177.9153.0-2.750%
Last 10 (10)73.972.9146.8+1.070%
Last 5 (5)70.472.2142.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.280.4152.6-8.220%
vs Similar (19)75.173.9149.0+1.158%
vs Weaker (6)82.071.5153.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 71
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 71
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
75-79
75
79
-4
74avg 71
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
68avg 71
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
82avg 71
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 71
A15/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
51avg 71
A17/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 71
H20/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
83-59
83
59
+24
77avg 71
H24/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
87avg 71
H26/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-25
31-22
11-15
26-33
16-19
21-14
19-10
20-24
18-13
23-21
14-21
18-24
23-14
15-14
16-12
14-18
24-14
27-24
16-11
23-17
17-15
9-23
19-22
17-25
11-14
16-16
24-19
24-14
11-15
31-17
22-17
26-20
21-14
14-7
22-18
15-18
31-10
27-26
16-20
150.2Avg total
79.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)78.273.1151.2+5.164%
Season at home (24)80.769.1149.8+11.683%
Season away (21)75.377.6152.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)79.171.1150.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)79.269.4148.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.579.2159.8+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.871.5148.2+5.359%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
Sebastiani RietiCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/05
Serie A2
71.9Avg total
36.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.273.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.933.971.8+4.054%-
Last 30 away (17)37.437.975.2-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.471.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.070.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.441.076.4-5.620%-
vs Similar (19)36.435.672.0+0.842%-
vs Weaker (6)43.234.077.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H26/05
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
39.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.874.8+3.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.534.474.9+6.194%-
Last 30 away (13)37.237.574.8-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.276.0+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.471.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.437.875.1-0.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.735.074.7+4.677%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.3
48.7%
50.1%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.9%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.714.4
69.6%
74.4%14.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.1
55.2%
50.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.1
35.9%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.2
69.3%
74.4%12.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LLWWWWWLWW
Cantu
WWWLLWWLWW
#4
League position
#2
+1.4
Net rating
+12.3
102.2
Offensive rating
110.2
100.8
Defensive rating
97.9
48.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
35.9%
68.4%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 110.2Defence100.8 · 97.9Shooting48.3% · 54.6%3-point %31.9% · 35.9%Ball care17.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
5
Cantu wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/25ACantu74-89
24/05/25ACantu59-83
16/05/25AUrania Milano89-81
12/05/25HUrania Milano65-61
10/05/25HUrania Milano65-47
27/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza88-73
19/04/25HJuVi Cremona69-67
13/04/25AOrzinuovi73-91
06/04/25HForli79-68
30/03/25AVigevano78-69
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/25HSebastiani Rieti89-74
24/05/25HSebastiani Rieti83-59
20/05/25HFortitudo Bologna88-63
17/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-74
15/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-77
12/05/25HFortitudo Bologna81-67
10/05/25HFortitudo Bologna72-64
27/04/25HVigevano75-79
19/04/25AAvellino Basket82-76
13/04/25HPesaro85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game75.275.375.1
Allowed / game74.069.977.9
Point differential+1.3+5.4-2.7
Avg total149.2145.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%43%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %64%83%43%
Points / game78.280.775.3
Allowed / game73.169.177.6
Point differential+5.1+11.6-2.3
Avg total151.2149.8152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3830879%84.075.9+8.2
2 Rimini45311469%80.877.0+3.8
3 Cantu45291664%78.273.1+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti43261760%75.274.0+1.3
5 Cividale43251858%80.378.9+1.4
6 Forli45261958%77.876.4+1.4
7 Fortitudo Bologna44242055%75.174.2+0.9
8 Verona39211854%77.975.2+2.8
9 Pesaro40211952%82.280.6+1.6
10 Basket Torino39201951%77.577.0+0.5
11 Avellino Basket39201951%79.680.3-0.7
12 Urania Milano41212051%75.976.7-0.8
13 Brindisi45232251%76.275.8+0.4
14 Orzinuovi38162242%77.880.3-2.5
15 Cento38152339%73.977.3-3.4
16 JuVi Cremona42162638%81.983.4-1.5
17 Libertas Livorno43162737%77.378.9-1.5
18 Vigevano43152835%77.282.0-4.8
19 Nardo42132931%76.482.6-6.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza3873118%76.483.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sebastiani Rieti10172417977
Cantu19714281684
← all games of the day
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