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Sencur vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 71-68
22-19 23-22 19-7 7-20
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.8
Sencur 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeABA League 2Round 5· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023
Meetings · Sencur v Podgorica
17 Nov 2023
SENC71
PODG68
21 Dec 2022
SENC67
PODG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-68
95
68
+27
88avg 65
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
70avg 65
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 65
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
72-108
72
108
-36
50avg 65
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 65
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 65
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 65
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 65
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 65
H13/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
56-65
56
65
-9
36avg 65
A15/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
27-16
29-22
20-10
16-20
17-20
21-17
15-12
22-19
19-12
18-21
17-19
17-28
18-27
18-25
19-28
22-22
22-21
20-17
20-18
14-25
12-20
22-11
19-28
18-15
22-24
25-15
17-17
25-11
16-19
17-21
24-19
24-18
13-24
14-26
23-21
15-19
20-14
11-10
10-22
155.2Avg total
76.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.076.8147.8-5.825%
Season at home (2)76.085.5161.5-9.50%
Season away (2)66.068.0134.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.678.6155.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)72.275.8148.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.475.2144.7-5.833%
vs Similar (12)78.282.5160.8-4.242%
vs Weaker (9)81.972.4154.3+9.489%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Primorje
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H05/04
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#6
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H12/04
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A14/04
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#4
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A21/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A26/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#10
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 67
H10/10
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
67-66
67
66
+1
62avg 67
A12/10
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
91-74
91
74
+17
74avg 67
H13/11
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
W
78-67
78
67
+11
49avg 67
H15/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
27-15
13-32
29-19
26-14
12-15
26-17
25-18
21-24
23-28
16-14
14-20
18-14
15-19
21-17
18-21
15-16
26-22
13-28
19-13
23-28
23-26
15-13
21-16
26-20
18-31
30-24
17-23
17-23
20-11
23-18
7-14
29-23
32-11
20-25
10-15
23-22
19-12
21-16
15-17
156.6Avg total
80.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.876.2158.0+5.575%
Season at home (3)86.779.7166.3+7.067%
Season away (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.076.6156.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.072.2148.2+3.875%
vs Similar (8)79.978.8158.6+1.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.670.8155.4+13.994%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
SencurPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/11
ABA League 2
77.2Avg total
37.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.878.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.237.477.6+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)36.342.178.4-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.477.2-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.873.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.039.975.9-3.933%-
vs Similar (12)37.342.179.4-4.842%-
vs Weaker (9)41.736.678.2+5.167%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H05/04
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H12/04
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A14/04
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A21/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H10/10
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/10
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H13/11
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/11
ABA League 2
81.3Avg total
42.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.878.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.381.6+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.736.376.1+3.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.681.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.487.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (8)41.241.582.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.833.876.5+9.076%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.7
51.7%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.2
28.6%
31.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.59.8
63.2%
73.7%9.8
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.8
60.1%
53.6%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.8
28.4%
31.5%20.2
🏀 Free throws16.513.5
81.8%
73.7%13.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LLWWLWLWLW
Podgorica
WWWLLLWLWW
#12
League position
#5
-2.7
Net rating
+9.0
103.9
Offensive rating
112.5
106.6
Defensive rating
103.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.6%
3-point %
28.4%
51.9%
Assist %
44.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 112.5Defence106.6 · 103.5Shooting48.0% · 53.6%3-point %28.6% · 28.4%Ball care15.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.4% · 30.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sencur   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sencur wins
1
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Sencur v Podgorica67-78
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ABorac Banja Luka56-65
13/11/23HSutjeska74-89
10/11/23HHelios Domzale82-70
04/11/23ATajfun Sentjur82-71
28/10/23ARogaska67-84
20/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-78
16/10/23ALTH Castings72-108
13/10/23AHelios Domzale76-71
11/10/23HPelister78-82 OT
07/10/23HPerspektiva Ilirija95-68
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HSpartak Subotica78-67
13/11/23HGKK Sibenka91-74
12/10/23ABorac Banja Luka67-66
10/10/23HSutjeska91-98
28/04/23HSutjeska82-83
26/04/23ASutjeska73-79
21/04/23AStudentski Centar72-71
14/04/23AKK Krka Novo mesto74-86
12/04/23HZlatibor89-64
05/04/23HPrimorje83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game71.076.066.0
Allowed / game76.885.568.0
Point differential-5.8-9.5-2.0
Avg total147.8161.5134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game81.886.767.0
Allowed / game76.279.766.0
Point differential+5.5+7.0+1.0
Avg total158.0166.3133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad87188%84.276.0+8.2
2 Zlatibor43175%94.278.5+15.8
3 Podgorica43175%81.876.2+5.5
4 Spartak Subotica43175%78.875.0+3.8
5 Siroki Brijeg43175%79.277.0+2.2
6 MZT Skopje42250%86.580.2+6.2
7 Borac Banja Luka42250%71.870.8+1.0
8 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
9 Cedevita Junior42250%79.882.0-2.2
10 Pelister42250%76.880.5-3.8
11 Sutjeska42250%83.086.8-3.8
12 Helios Domzale41325%78.582.0-3.5
13 Sencur41325%71.076.8-5.8
14 TFT Skopje41325%74.282.2-8.0
15 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
16 GKK Sibenka4040%77.090.0-13.0
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur222319771
Podgorica192272068
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