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Serbia vs Denmark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-51
25-17 25-11 20-11 28-12
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game58.7
Serbia 🏆
vs
Position#27
Record9-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
115-83
115
83
+32
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
68avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 70
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 70
A21/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
30-12
18-31
19-19
30-20
26-19
27-26
32-18
19-23
23-17
20-19
14-19
29-15
27-20
31-18
25-26
24-25
25-13
24-17
14-13
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
161.1Avg total
88.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.058.7133.7+16.3100%
Season at home (1)77.061.0138.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)74.057.5131.5+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.173.0161.1+15.180%
Last 5 (5)79.469.0148.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (5)90.075.8165.8+14.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.873.1157.9+11.879%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
69-61
69
61
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
60-46
60
46
+14
no box
A22/07
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
88-63
88
63
+25
no box
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 63
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 63
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
52-72
52
72
-20
40avg 63
H21/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
17-18
17-16
10-16
21-15
18-14
12-16
18-16
21-12
14-21
14-26
22-13
18-6
9-17
12-13
21-10
27-16
17-27
25-22
13-10
18-25
26-9
27-21
23-26
24-17
23-11
21-17
20-18
12-23
16-14
22-16
25-16
27-23
31-19
14-30
13-17
6-29
13-14
16-19
17-10
144.9Avg total
74.7Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.872.2147.9+3.653%
Season at home (9)78.071.3149.3+6.767%
Season away (8)73.273.1146.4+0.138%
Last 10 (10)74.770.2144.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)78.874.8153.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
vs Similar (10)71.975.7147.6-3.830%
vs Weaker (15)80.372.5152.8+7.773%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
SerbiaDenmark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
82.5Avg total
47.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.935.080.9+10.990%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.837.284.0+9.693%-
Last 30 away (16)45.233.178.2+12.188%-
Last 10 (10)47.634.982.5+12.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.077.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (5)47.836.884.6+11.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.334.579.8+10.892%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A22/07
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H21/11
EuroBasket
72.2Avg total
37.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.876.3-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.139.676.6-2.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.976.0+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.472.2+3.480%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.843.675.4-11.80%-
vs Similar (10)33.739.473.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker (15)42.036.878.8+5.280%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.0
26.3%
32.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws26.518.5
69.8%
71.4%18.5
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.4
49.7%
50.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.811.9
60.1%
71.4%11.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
WWWLWWWLWW
Denmark
LLWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#27
+24.9
Net rating
+5.1
101.8
Offensive rating
99.2
76.9
Defensive rating
94.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
39.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.3%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.3%
3-point %
32.0%
58.0%
Assist %
64.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 99.2Defence76.9 · 94.1Shooting47.8% · 49.0%3-point %26.3% · 32.0%Ball care19.0% · 21.3%Off. rebounds34.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.46 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Serbia   ■ Denmark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Serbia wins
0
Denmark wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24Denmark v Serbia52-72
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24ADenmark72-52
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
05/09/23ALithuania87-68
03/09/23ADominican Republic112-79
01/09/23HItaly76-78
30/08/23ASouth Sudan115-83
28/08/23APuerto Rico94-77
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HSerbia52-72
26/02/24AFinland85-89
23/02/24HGeorgia75-69
05/08/23AKosovo88-63
02/08/23HSwitzerland94-81
26/07/23HKosovo82-75
22/07/23ASwitzerland60-46
26/02/23HSlovakia71-72
23/02/23HNorway69-61
13/11/22ANorth Macedonia71-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.077.074.0
Allowed / game58.761.057.5
Point differential+16.3+16.0+16.5
Avg total133.7138.0131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denmark
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%67%38%
Points / game75.878.073.2
Allowed / game72.271.373.1
Point differential+3.6+6.7+0.1
Avg total147.9149.3146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Italy330100%88.371.0+17.3
2 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
3 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
6 Portugal97278%82.871.9+10.9
7 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
8 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
9 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
10 Bulgaria139469%78.173.2+4.8
11 Montenegro32167%80.372.3+8.0
12 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
13 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
14 Slovenia32167%83.078.0+5.0
15 Israel32167%79.077.0+2.0
16 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
17 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
18 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
19 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
22 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
23 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
24 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Iceland31233%72.078.7-6.7
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
39 Ukraine3030%74.384.0-9.7
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia2525202898
Denmark1711111251
← all games of the day
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