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Turkey vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 95-90
19-18 27-31 28-24 21-17
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game67.2
Turkey 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game68.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Turkey v Serbia
02 Mar 2026
TURK94
SERB86
03 Sep 2025
TURK95
SERB90
28 Aug 2022
TURK72
SERB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 80
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 80
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 80
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 80
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
64avg 80
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 80
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
97avg 80
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 80
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
95-54
95
54
+41
101avg 80
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
84-64
84
64
+20
83avg 80
A01/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
16-17
19-12
30-17
21-14
19-17
14-23
27-22
12-17
19-31
19-12
17-20
16-26
22-20
16-23
17-14
25-17
10-11
16-21
20-24
23-13
18-16
19-12
19-24
24-21
23-18
25-16
21-18
21-27
24-10
27-25
20-16
22-13
29-14
22-10
22-17
25-13
21-14
19-22
19-15
153.7Avg total
82.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.067.2158.2+23.8100%
Season at home (2)93.566.0159.5+27.5100%
Season away (2)88.568.5157.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.571.2153.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)88.666.8155.4+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.681.8156.3-7.211%
vs Similar (9)74.972.0146.9+2.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.771.8158.5+14.883%
This opponent (Serbia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 93
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 93
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 93
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 93
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 93
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 93
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
98-64
98
64
+34
112avg 93
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
88avg 93
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 93
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
82-60
82
60
+22
90avg 93
H01/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
32-12
24-17
30-15
12-20
23-19
20-14
21-16
16-20
22-18
20-20
25-18
17-24
27-5
18-18
16-20
21-17
157.6Avg total
88.6Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.068.2154.2+17.8100%
Season at home (2)90.062.0152.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)82.074.5156.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.669.0157.6+19.6100%
Last 5 (5)87.070.8157.8+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker (25)88.472.4160.8+16.088%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
TurkeySerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A01/09
EuroBasket
76.6Avg total
41.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.376.5+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.136.274.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.679.1+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.976.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.031.877.8+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.744.280.9-7.611%-
vs Similar (9)37.334.671.9+2.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.534.276.8+8.275%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/09
EuroBasket
79.4Avg total
45.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.135.182.2+12.090%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.235.483.6+12.893%-
Last 30 away (15)46.034.980.9+11.187%-
Last 10 (10)45.633.879.4+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.831.075.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker (25)46.134.280.4+11.992%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.1
57.3%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
33.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.915.8
79.4%
73.1%15.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.422.4
61.5%
52.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.6
37.6%
33.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
73.1%17.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey
WWWWWLLLWW
Serbia
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#6
+16.0
Net rating
+27.2
115.9
Offensive rating
120.6
99.8
Defensive rating
93.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
59.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.6%
3-point %
37.6%
62.4%
Assist %
73.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 120.6Defence99.8 · 93.4Shooting53.3% · 59.5%3-point %31.6% · 37.6%Ball care17.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds36.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Turkey   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Turkey wins
2
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
14/11/22Serbia v Turkey77-76
28/08/22Turkey v Serbia72-79
11/09/10Serbia v Turkey82-83
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/25AEstonia84-64
30/08/25HPortugal95-54
29/08/25HCzech Republic92-78
27/08/25ALatvia93-73
16/08/25HCzech Republic79-65
15/08/25AGermany71-73
23/02/25AIceland71-83
20/02/25HItaly67-80
25/11/24AHungary81-76
22/11/24HHungary92-66
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/25HCzech Republic82-60
30/08/25ALatvia84-80
29/08/25APortugal80-69
27/08/25HEstonia98-64
16/08/25AGermany91-81
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
21/11/24ADenmark72-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.093.588.5
Allowed / game67.266.068.5
Point differential+23.8+27.5+20.0
Avg total158.2159.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.090.082.0
Allowed / game68.262.074.5
Point differential+17.8+28.0+7.5
Avg total154.2152.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey440100%91.067.2+23.8
3 Serbia440100%86.068.2+17.8
4 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
5 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
6 France43175%86.879.2+7.5
7 Italy43175%76.869.8+7.0
8 Israel43175%80.273.8+6.5
9 Poland43175%82.879.2+3.5
10 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
11 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
12 Spain42250%77.866.0+11.8
13 Slovenia42250%90.889.0+1.8
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.281.2-2.0
15 Georgia42250%72.875.5-2.8
16 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland4040%72.281.2-9.0
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus4040%60.292.8-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey1927282195
Serbia1831241790
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