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Shandong vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 99-86
28-23 28-16 23-27 20-20
Position#8
Record22-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#6
Record23-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game88.4
ChinaCBA· Shandong Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shandong v Guangdong
31 Oct 2026
SHAN85
GUAN76
06 Apr 2026
SHAN99
GUAN86
15 Oct 2024
SHAN115
GUAN105
08 Nov 2023
SHAN112
GUAN88
19 Oct 2022
SHAN96
GUAN95
22 Mar 2022
SHAN111
GUAN110
22 Apr 2021
SHAN112
GUAN118
10 Mar 2021
SHAN90
GUAN104
07 Jan 2020
SHAN102
GUAN107
16 Nov 2019
SHAN99
GUAN123
30 Oct 2018
SHAN96
GUAN120
01 Dec 2017
SHAN100
GUAN85
22 Jan 2017
SHAN99
GUAN98
15 Feb 2016
SHAN81
GUAN95
22 Nov 2015
SHAN104
GUAN108
21 Dec 2014
SHAN96
GUAN103
05 Jan 2014
SHAN93
GUAN113
29 Mar 2013
SHAN74
GUAN94
22 Mar 2013
SHAN81
GUAN88
30 Dec 2012
SHAN91
GUAN92
02 Dec 2011
SHAN93
GUAN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 88
H14/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 88
H16/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
96-112
96
112
-16
87avg 88
A18/03
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
115-91
115
91
+24
115avg 88
H20/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
116-83
116
83
+33
120avg 88
A23/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 88
A25/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
93avg 88
A27/03
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
111-103
111
103
+8
118avg 88
H30/03
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 88
H01/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
66-96
66
96
-30
46avg 88
A04/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
28-26
18-16
15-16
17-26
20-32
21-21
25-17
25-29
24-41
29-17
18-25
29-19
24-20
28-23
34-29
31-21
22-21
30-19
33-22
23-27
31-16
26-25
22-14
26-30
27-23
23-25
18-22
26-22
30-29
29-28
26-24
28-28
23-26
31-21
20-18
14-27
22-23
13-18
17-28
190.2Avg total
97.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)94.889.7184.4+5.165%
Season at home (17)97.887.1184.9+10.688%
Season away (17)91.892.2184.0-0.541%
Last 10 (10)97.093.2190.2+3.860%
Last 5 (5)95.094.8189.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.292.5180.8-4.250%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.686.8174.4+0.850%
vs Weaker (14)103.090.7193.7+12.386%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 90
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
73-89
73
89
-16
56avg 90
H15/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
111-89
111
89
+22
114avg 90
H17/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
92-93
92
93
-1
87avg 90
A20/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 90
A23/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
93-51
93
51
+42
95avg 90
H25/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
86avg 90
H27/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
102-54
102
54
+48
108avg 90
A29/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 90
H31/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
100-80
100
80
+20
106avg 90
H04/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
26-30
26-24
20-21
11-26
24-23
17-23
21-17
21-16
35-27
22-25
33-21
17-22
30-25
27-28
18-18
21-28
20-23
11-24
29-22
13-14
20-11
30-7
30-19
29-21
25-21
21-29
18-25
24-12
34-15
23-19
21-8
28-32
35-17
22-20
16-23
28-21
23-25
24-20
25-14
178.5Avg total
94.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)94.588.4182.9+6.168%
Season at home (18)94.790.4185.1+4.367%
Season away (16)94.386.2180.6+8.169%
Last 10 (10)94.783.8178.5+10.960%
Last 5 (5)97.874.6172.4+23.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.3101.3180.7-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)93.692.2185.8+1.458%
vs Weaker (15)97.281.5178.7+15.780%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
ShandongGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H16/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A18/03
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H20/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A23/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A25/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A27/03
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H30/03
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H01/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A04/04
CBA
99.8Avg total
49.4Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.745.593.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.943.195.0+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)44.047.691.6-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)49.450.499.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.050.2100.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.546.291.8-0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.445.791.1-0.250%-
vs Weaker (14)50.345.195.4+5.164%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H15/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H17/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H25/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H27/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A29/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H31/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H04/04
CBA
92.4Avg total
49.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.044.793.7+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.845.493.2+2.473%-
Last 30 away (15)50.243.994.1+6.367%-
Last 10 (10)49.343.192.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)51.837.889.6+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)49.146.395.4+2.867%-
vs Weaker (15)51.741.593.2+10.387%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.226.1
57.7%
54.6%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
35.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws28.522.7
79.6%
73.6%22.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.324.0
59.6%
54.6%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.6
35.3%
35.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
73.6%14.9
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWWLWWWLLW
Guangdong
WWWLWLLWLW
#8
League position
#6
+3.4
Net rating
+12.1
105.5
Offensive rating
105.5
102.2
Defensive rating
93.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
35.3%
65.2%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 105.5Defence102.2 · 93.3Shooting54.7% · 56.8%3-point %32.4% · 35.3%Ball care14.2% · 12.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Shandong   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shandong wins
6
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
26/12/25Guangdong v Shandong94-88
04/01/25Guangdong v Shandong98-93
15/10/24Shandong v Guangdong115-105
20/03/24Guangdong v Shandong127-101
08/11/23Shandong v Guangdong112-88
02/04/23Guangdong v Shandong102-93
19/10/22Shandong v Guangdong96-95 OT
22/03/22Shandong v Guangdong111-110 OT
01/03/22Guangdong v Shandong127-101
22/04/21Shandong v Guangdong112-118
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26ANingbo Rockets66-96
01/04/26HFujian102-93
30/03/26HTianjin111-103
27/03/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-100
25/03/26AXinjiang102-82
23/03/26ASichuan116-83
20/03/26HTianjin115-91
18/03/26AShanghai96-112
16/03/26HZhejiang Chouzhou83-96
14/03/26HQingdao85-76
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha100-80
31/03/26HJiangsu Dragons101-92
29/03/26ASichuan102-54
27/03/26HBeijing93-96
25/03/26HSichuan93-51
23/03/26AShanghai81-97
20/03/26AJiangsu Dragons92-93
17/03/26HXinjiang111-89
15/03/26HLiaoning73-89
13/03/26AShenzhen101-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%88%41%
Points / game94.897.891.8
Allowed / game89.787.192.2
Point differential+5.1+10.6-0.5
Avg total184.4184.9184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %68%67%69%
Points / game94.594.794.3
Allowed / game88.490.486.2
Point differential+6.1+4.3+8.1
Avg total182.9185.1180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai3531489%99.282.0+17.2
2 Zhejiang Guangsha3427779%90.680.2+10.4
3 Guangdong34231168%94.588.4+6.1
4 Shenzhen34231168%98.393.5+4.9
5 Beijing34221265%89.683.3+6.4
6 Shandong34221265%94.889.7+5.1
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou35211460%86.982.2+4.7
8 Qingdao34201459%87.283.0+4.2
9 Ningbo Rockets34191556%85.683.1+2.5
10 Liaoning35191654%84.982.9+2.1
11 Shanxi Zhongyu34181653%91.689.3+2.3
12 Beijing Royal Fighters34151944%89.293.9-4.7
13 Guangzhou34142041%87.188.9-1.8
14 Jilin35142140%83.189.5-6.3
15 Fujian35132237%90.993.8-2.9
16 Xinjiang34122235%84.385.6-1.2
17 Nanjing Tongxi34122235%90.795.1-4.4
18 Tianjin3492526%92.197.1-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons3492526%81.491.2-9.8
20 Sichuan350350%70.399.3-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong2828232099
Guangdong2316272086
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