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Shandong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 98-77
19-24 34-15 21-15 24-23
Position#6
Record28-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game100.4
vs
Position#16
Record10-31
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game106.8
ChinaCBARound 42· Shandong Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shandong v Guangzhou
18 Dec 2026
SHAN v GUAN
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
SHAN83
GUAN80
19 Mar 2025
SHAN98
GUAN77
22 Jan 2024
SHAN112
GUAN105
31 Dec 2023
SHAN103
GUAN83
09 Apr 2023
SHAN76
GUAN93
26 Dec 2022
SHAN112
GUAN109
14 Nov 2021
SHAN89
GUAN107
16 Apr 2021
SHAN119
GUAN107
22 Dec 2020
SHAN113
GUAN103
25 Oct 2020
SHAN94
GUAN96
10 Nov 2019
SHAN100
GUAN99
27 Jan 2019
SHAN111
GUAN91
17 Nov 2017
SHAN129
GUAN102
18 Jan 2017
SHAN122
GUAN100
25 Nov 2015
SHAN144
GUAN107
28 Nov 2014
SHAN98
GUAN118
10 Jan 2014
SHAN110
GUAN102
25 Nov 2012
SHAN97
GUAN85
30 Dec 2011
SHAN108
GUAN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
102-86
102
86
+16
94avg 99
H19/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
112-102
112
102
+10
114avg 99
H21/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
104-103
104
103
+1
94avg 99
A25/01
CBA
Beijing
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
H10/02
CBA Club Cup
Beijing
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
82avg 99
A05/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
118-114
118
114
+4
112avg 99
A08/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
83-102
83
102
-19
66avg 99
A10/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
119-120
119
120
-1
112avg 99
H13/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
111-100
111
100
+11
111avg 99
A15/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
106-98
106
98
+8
103avg 99
A17/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
18-15
24-16
28-26
36-17
27-28
17-27
32-30
23-22
27-40
30-23
24-18
19-15
17-23
18-26
14-24
35-28
18-28
23-27
18-20
26-31
38-24
27-29
27-30
28-28
19-20
16-26
20-28
26-26
26-25
35-37
32-32
30-34
32-27
22-28
27-11
24-22
27-25
39-29
16-22
203.3Avg total
101.7Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)105.0100.4205.5+4.668%
Season at home (20)108.099.5207.6+8.580%
Season away (21)102.2101.2203.5+1.057%
Last 10 (10)101.7101.6203.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)107.4106.8214.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)98.9101.2200.1-2.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)108.597.5206.0+10.980%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 87
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 87
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 87
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 87
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 87
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 87
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 87
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 87
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 87
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
64avg 87
H16/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
21-35
24-25
25-23
10-33
202.6Avg total
94.6Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)96.2106.8203.0-10.624%
Season at home (21)97.0106.9203.9-9.924%
Season away (20)95.4106.7202.1-11.325%
Last 10 (10)94.6108.0202.6-13.430%
Last 5 (5)91.697.4189.0-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)92.5112.3204.8-19.90%
vs Similar (9)98.092.2190.2+5.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
ShandongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H19/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H21/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A25/01
CBA
Beijing
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/02
CBA Club Cup
Beijing
#3
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A05/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A08/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A10/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H13/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A17/03
CBA
103.5Avg total
52.8Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.850.5104.3+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.145.897.9+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)55.154.1109.1+1.059%-
Last 10 (10)52.850.7103.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.4107.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)50.651.4102.0-0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)56.949.6106.5+7.380%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H16/03
CBA
100.3Avg total
47.2Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.752.2100.9-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.252.1101.3-2.941%-
Last 30 away (13)48.252.2100.4-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)47.253.1100.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.091.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.355.5104.8-6.229%-
vs Similar (9)47.444.391.8+3.167%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.326.4
48.6%
52.6%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.4
35.3%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws28.021.7
77.5%
76.3%21.7
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.323.7
51.2%
52.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.8
35.4%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.317.0
79.8%
76.3%17.0
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
WWLLWLLWWW
Guangzhou
LWWWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#16
+0.5
Net rating
-15.0
110.1
Offensive rating
103.7
109.6
Defensive rating
118.7
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.3%
3-point %
35.4%
63.1%
Assist %
54.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 103.7Defence109.6 · 118.7Shooting50.1% · 51.9%3-point %35.3% · 35.4%Ball care17.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds34.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Shandong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shandong wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
13/01/25Guangzhou v Shandong89-121
22/01/24Shandong v Guangzhou112-105
31/12/23Shandong v Guangzhou103-83
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
12/12/22Guangzhou v Shandong81-86
22/01/22Guangzhou v Shandong116-106
14/11/21Shandong v Guangzhou89-107
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25AJiangsu Dragons106-98
15/03/25AShenzhen111-100
13/03/25HShanxi Zhongyu119-120
10/03/25AShanghai83-102
08/03/25ABeijing Royal Fighters118-114
05/03/25ABeijing94-103
10/02/25HBeijing68-88
25/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters104-103
21/01/25HNingbo Rockets112-102
19/01/25HJiangsu Dragons102-86
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HXinjiang80-116
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %68%80%57%
Points / game105.0108.0102.2
Allowed / game100.499.5101.2
Point differential+4.6+8.4+1.0
Avg total205.5207.6203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (3)75% (8)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL24%
HomeLLWWL24%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %24%24%25%
Points / game96.297.095.4
Allowed / game106.8106.9106.7
Point differential-10.6-9.9-11.3
Avg total203.0203.9202.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4135685%104.392.9+11.4
2 Shanxi Zhongyu41311076%114.8108.8+6.0
3 Xinjiang41291271%110.1102.0+8.1
4 Beijing41291271%103.196.3+6.8
5 Shandong41281368%105.0100.4+4.6
6 Liaoning41271466%105.699.3+6.3
7 Guangdong42271564%104.798.0+6.7
8 Qingdao41261563%105.2101.0+4.3
9 Shanghai40251562%111.1103.2+8.0
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou42261662%112.3105.2+7.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters40231757%106.1102.1+4.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi42212150%106.1107.4-1.3
13 Shenzhen41162539%104.8106.6-1.8
14 Jilin41132832%103.0112.3-9.3
15 Tianjin41113027%102.0110.9-8.9
16 Guangzhou41103124%96.2106.8-10.6
17 Ningbo Rockets41103124%103.2114.3-11.2
18 Sichuan4193222%99.9109.7-9.8
19 Fujian4083220%103.8114.9-11.1
20 Jiangsu Dragons4163515%93.5103.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong1934212498
Guangzhou2415152377
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