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Xinjiang vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 87-106
18-29 18-28 23-25 28-24
Position#5
Record26-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game102.1
Xinjiang
China
vs
Guangdong 🏆
China
Position#8
Record24-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game98.3
ChinaCBARound 38· Hongshan Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Xinjiang v Guangdong
23 Dec 2026
XINJ v GUAN
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
XINJ82
GUAN80
10 Mar 2025
XINJ87
GUAN106
15 Dec 2023
XINJ110
GUAN88
28 Oct 2022
XINJ81
GUAN100
03 Mar 2022
XINJ109
GUAN107
02 Jan 2021
XINJ95
GUAN132
21 Jan 2020
XINJ101
GUAN112
03 May 2019
XINJ98
GUAN103
01 May 2019
XINJ118
GUAN128
09 Jan 2019
XINJ89
GUAN115
01 Jan 2019
XINJ130
GUAN126
22 Mar 2018
XINJ94
GUAN118
14 Mar 2018
XINJ114
GUAN130
05 Jan 2018
XINJ104
GUAN96
02 Apr 2017
XINJ103
GUAN97
31 Mar 2017
XINJ122
GUAN105
13 Jan 2017
XINJ129
GUAN109
16 Dec 2015
XINJ108
GUAN100
23 Nov 2014
XINJ118
GUAN101
08 Dec 2013
XINJ104
GUAN88
10 Mar 2013
XINJ76
GUAN86
25 Nov 2012
XINJ103
GUAN92
04 Mar 2012
XINJ92
GUAN95
10 Feb 2012
XINJ106
GUAN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 104
A14/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
116-97
116
97
+19
119avg 104
H18/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
105avg 104
H20/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
137-120
137
120
+17
140avg 104
A23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
109-118
109
118
-9
96avg 104
A25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
H09/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
W
105-89
105
89
+16
no box
H11/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
110-103
110
103
+7
98avg 104
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 104
A08/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
21-18
28-16
16-27
34-27
26-20
24-26
32-24
28-19
29-30
25-21
21-13
35-31
32-23
36-29
34-37
19-34
27-32
39-20
24-32
28-21
23-25
26-22
25-15
32-23
22-31
22-13
29-22
16-13
26-25
19-22
19-29
33-23
26-35
24-16
27-29
34-18
29-14
19-23
19-24
199.8Avg total
105.5Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)110.8102.1212.9+8.772%
Season at home (19)117.1104.4221.5+12.689%
Season away (17)103.899.5203.3+4.253%
Last 10 (10)105.594.3199.8+11.280%
Last 5 (5)99.688.6188.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.591.5176.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.9104.3214.2+5.669%
vs Weaker (15)110.996.3207.2+14.780%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
120-111
120
111
+9
121avg 106
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 106
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
96avg 106
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 106
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-92
116
92
+24
131avg 106
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-94
112
94
+18
114avg 106
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-115
81
115
-34
68avg 106
A22/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
111-82
111
82
+29
117avg 106
H24/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
127-83
127
83
+44
126avg 106
H05/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
115-117
115
117
-2
100avg 106
A07/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
44-25
30-33
24-29
24-28
23-28
34-23
24-17
25-24
30-21
22-25
22-28
18-28
11-20
33-11
23-18
29-20
27-20
30-25
30-27
32-20
30-27
28-31
22-16
23-31
17-27
17-25
24-32
29-22
24-21
32-25
26-14
31-20
31-24
30-17
35-22
26-32
32-38
36-23
21-24
203.6Avg total
107.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)105.098.3203.3+6.665%
Season at home (19)107.497.7205.1+9.674%
Season away (18)102.498.9201.4+3.556%
Last 10 (10)107.196.5203.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)109.298.2207.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.799.3192.0-6.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.1100.1200.1+0.057%
vs Weaker (13)105.089.8194.8+15.285%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
XinjiangGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H18/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H20/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H11/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A08/03
CBA
103.0Avg total
54.7Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.150.1107.2+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.151.4109.6+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)55.948.5104.4+7.479%-
Last 10 (10)54.748.3103.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)53.845.699.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.036.584.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.753.2110.9+4.554%-
vs Weaker (15)57.849.1106.9+8.787%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A22/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H05/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A07/03
CBA
102.8Avg total
52.8Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.250.0102.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.649.5102.1+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)51.750.5102.2+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)52.850.0102.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)55.052.4107.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.353.0100.3-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.652.6103.2-2.129%-
vs Weaker (13)55.046.4101.4+8.685%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.827.1
53.3%
52.6%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.2
35.0%
35.1%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.718.4
81.1%
76.3%18.4
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.626.6
58.3%
52.6%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.1
37.9%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws22.716.8
74.0%
76.3%16.8
They take 77.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
WWLWWLWWWW
Guangdong
LWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#8
+9.5
Net rating
+11.3
114.5
Offensive rating
117.5
105.0
Defensive rating
106.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
57.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
37.9%
72.5%
Assist %
70.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.5Defence105.0 · 106.2Shooting53.0% · 57.7%3-point %35.0% · 37.9%Ball care16.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Xinjiang wins
7
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Guangdong v Xinjiang102-95
07/01/24Guangdong v Xinjiang110-114
15/12/23Xinjiang v Guangdong110-88
05/04/23Guangdong v Xinjiang108-95
28/10/22Xinjiang v Guangdong81-100
20/03/22Guangdong v Xinjiang118-99
03/03/22Xinjiang v Guangdong109-107
02/01/21Xinjiang v Guangdong95-132
16/12/20Guangdong v Xinjiang115-102
21/01/20Xinjiang v Guangdong101-112
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AJiangsu Dragons101-79
05/03/25ANingbo Rockets110-103
15/02/25HShanghai80-89
11/02/25HShanxi Zhongyu105-89
09/02/25HZhejiang Chouzhou102-83
25/01/25AShenzhen109-118
23/01/25AJilin137-120
20/01/25HQingdao103-83
18/01/25HGuangzhou116-97
14/01/25AJiangsu Dragons92-82
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AShanxi Zhongyu115-117
05/03/25HLiaoning127-83
24/01/25HGuangzhou111-82
22/01/25AShanghai81-115
20/01/25ANanjing Tongxi112-94
18/01/25AFujian116-92
16/01/25AGuangzhou85-77
12/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters99-98
10/01/25HQingdao105-96
08/01/25ATianjin120-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeLWLWW89%
AwayWWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %72%89%53%
Points / game110.8117.1103.8
Allowed / game102.1104.499.5
Point differential+8.7+12.6+4.2
Avg total212.9221.5203.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %65%74%56%
Points / game105.0107.4102.4
Allowed / game98.397.798.9
Point differential+6.6+9.6+3.5
Avg total203.3205.1201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%32%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3832684%103.592.4+11.1
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3829976%114.0107.6+6.4
3 Xinjiang36261072%110.8102.1+8.7
4 Beijing38261268%102.196.2+5.9
5 Shandong38261268%104.5100.0+4.5
6 Liaoning38251366%105.399.4+5.9
7 Qingdao38251366%104.299.7+4.5
8 Shanghai37241365%111.2102.4+8.8
9 Guangdong37241365%105.098.3+6.6
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou38241463%113.1105.3+7.8
11 Beijing Royal Fighters37211657%106.8102.1+4.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi38182047%106.1107.8-1.8
13 Shenzhen38152339%104.8106.5-1.7
14 Jilin38132534%102.4110.9-8.5
15 Tianjin38112729%102.6111.6-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets38102826%103.4113.8-10.4
17 Sichuan3883021%100.4110.1-9.7
18 Guangzhou3883021%96.9107.8-10.9
19 Fujian3763116%103.1115.4-12.4
20 Jiangsu Dragons3863216%93.4103.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang1818232887
Guangdong29282524106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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