PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shenzhen vs Guangdong Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game87.3
ChinaCBARound 43· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangdong
28 Mar 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN101
06 Jan 2025
SHEN84
GUAN91
03 Feb 2024
SHEN97
GUAN90
31 Mar 2023
SHEN98
GUAN95
28 Oct 2021
SHEN90
GUAN106
17 Mar 2021
SHEN98
GUAN109
20 Oct 2020
SHEN126
GUAN134
22 Jun 2020
SHEN104
GUAN139
15 Apr 2019
SHEN117
GUAN135
13 Apr 2019
SHEN106
GUAN111
13 Mar 2019
SHEN114
GUAN128
24 Dec 2017
SHEN111
GUAN126
19 Mar 2017
SHEN90
GUAN103
17 Mar 2017
SHEN81
GUAN90
15 Mar 2017
SHEN109
GUAN90
02 Nov 2016
SHEN89
GUAN88
15 Nov 2015
SHEN92
GUAN88
12 Feb 2015
SHEN89
GUAN102
06 Feb 2015
SHEN117
GUAN116
23 Jan 2015
SHEN114
GUAN128
16 Feb 2014
SHEN112
GUAN110
07 Dec 2012
SHEN93
GUAN107
05 Feb 2012
SHEN97
GUAN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
77avg 96
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 96
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 96
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
27-27
24-19
19-21
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
173.1Avg total
80.1Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.794.4171.1-17.743%
Season at home (2)82.593.0175.5-10.550%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.193.0173.1-12.940%
Last 5 (5)76.095.6171.6-19.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.794.4171.1-17.743%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (13)105.192.3197.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
86avg 90
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 90
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 90
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#12
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
20-24
19-31
26-22
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
176.9Avg total
86.9Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.787.3173.0-1.643%
Season at home (3)88.078.3166.3+9.7100%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)86.990.0176.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)85.483.8169.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar (13)89.891.2181.0-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.181.5174.6+11.664%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
ShenzhenGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
90.1Avg total
39.8Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.848.899.6+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.247.8102.0+6.577%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.850.390.1-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.053.091.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.351.488.7-14.114%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (13)56.546.2102.7+10.292%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
89.8Avg total
42.6Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.791.1+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.144.191.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.289.8-4.610%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.287.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar (13)44.347.291.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.040.390.3+9.771%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LWWLLWLLWL
Guangdong
LWLWWLLLWL
#14
League position
#11
-14.8
Net rating
+6.1
88.7
Offensive rating
102.5
103.5
Defensive rating
96.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
36.5%
65.1%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 102.5Defence103.5 · 96.4Shooting51.4% · 56.0%3-point %33.5% · 36.5%Ball care15.4% · 14.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shenzhen wins
7
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Shenzhen v Guangdong97-101
07/01/26Guangdong v Shenzhen110-105
06/01/25Shenzhen v Guangdong84-91
03/11/24Guangdong v Shenzhen123-88
03/02/24Shenzhen v Guangdong97-90
25/12/23Guangdong v Shenzhen120-93
31/03/23Shenzhen v Guangdong98-95
15/10/22Guangdong v Shenzhen90-91
28/10/21Shenzhen v Guangdong90-106
16/10/21Guangdong v Shenzhen106-83
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
18/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha85-92
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
06/05/26ABeijing94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game76.782.574.4
Allowed / game94.493.095.0
Point differential-17.7-10.5-20.6
Avg total171.1175.5169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game85.788.084.0
Allowed / game87.378.394.0
Point differential-1.6+9.7-10.0
Avg total173.0166.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai76186%97.186.3+10.9
3 Liaoning76186%96.687.0+9.6
4 Beijing Royal Fighters75271%99.181.0+18.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian74357%91.788.3+3.4
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
11 Guangdong73443%85.787.3-1.6
12 Shandong73443%91.093.6-2.6
13 Xinjiang73443%86.089.9-3.9
14 Shenzhen73443%76.794.4-17.7
15 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
16 Qingdao72529%88.691.0-2.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi72529%87.497.3-9.9
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.