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Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 105-108
22-40 28-22 29-14 26-32
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game89.8
Shenzhen
China
vs
Guangzhou 🏆
China
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game96.4
ChinaCBARound 6· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangzhou
13 Jan 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN96
29 Oct 2024
SHEN101
GUAN108
24 Mar 2024
SHEN106
GUAN115
04 Nov 2023
SHEN105
GUAN108
17 Jan 2023
SHEN89
GUAN114
17 Mar 2022
SHEN114
GUAN120
07 Jan 2021
SHEN112
GUAN103
05 Jan 2020
SHEN96
GUAN90
06 Nov 2019
SHEN103
GUAN119
03 Mar 2019
SHEN97
GUAN117
21 Oct 2018
SHEN123
GUAN107
03 Mar 2018
SHEN121
GUAN113
11 Feb 2018
SHEN138
GUAN121
30 Oct 2016
SHEN110
GUAN106
01 Nov 2015
SHEN116
GUAN111
26 Dec 2014
SHEN122
GUAN110
10 Nov 2013
SHEN97
GUAN107
20 Jan 2013
SHEN141
GUAN133
07 Dec 2011
SHEN117
GUAN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
A25/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
103-92
103
92
+11
no box
A27/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
98-81
98
81
+17
no box
H30/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
92-93
92
93
-1
no box
H02/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
A04/05
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
88-69
88
69
+19
77avg 92
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
115-104
115
104
+11
108avg 92
H26/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
103-96
103
96
+7
102avg 92
H28/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 92
A30/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
A01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
22-30
27-18
12-22
31-26
15-32
18-10
39-24
20-16
28-31
16-14
34-20
26-21
19-27
25-20
22-25
21-26
23-23
25-15
21-27
15-19
23-20
23-18
27-12
27-25
29-23
22-30
37-26
31-29
21-21
26-23
25-23
18-23
25-21
19-19
27-17
20-29
20-18
19-16
30-26
186.0Avg total
96.3Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.689.8188.4+8.880%
Season at home (2)109.0100.0209.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)91.783.0174.7+8.767%
Last 10 (10)96.389.7186.0+6.660%
Last 5 (5)98.689.8188.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)95.094.6189.6+0.438%
vs Similar ◀ (7)98.495.3193.7+3.171%
vs Weaker (15)105.293.5198.7+11.787%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jilin
#12
W
104-87
104
87
+17
no box
A05/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
A09/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H11/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
91-114
91
114
-23
no box
A17/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
100-113
100
113
-13
no box
H19/04
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
114-81
114
81
+33
119avg 99
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
99-84
99
84
+15
96avg 99
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
109-103
109
103
+6
109avg 99
H27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
75avg 99
A29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
104-117
104
117
-13
93avg 99
H01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-25
25-16
29-25
20-22
27-18
18-13
28-23
19-23
31-14
17-17
22-26
23-32
27-24
20-28
21-30
22-27
29-27
19-27
30-32
33-13
33-15
28-21
20-32
25-23
32-23
15-21
27-17
27-23
24-30
21-28
37-22
17-25
27-22
22-29
18-21
34-34
23-27
24-34
23-22
193.9Avg total
98.7Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)102.096.4198.4+5.660%
Season at home (4)106.596.2202.8+10.275%
Season away (1)84.097.0181.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)98.795.2193.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)102.096.4198.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.094.0181.0-7.029%
vs Similar ◀ (8)92.293.1185.4-0.938%
vs Weaker (15)104.392.0196.3+12.387%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
ShenzhenGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A25/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A27/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H30/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H02/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A04/05
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H26/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H28/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A30/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/11
CBA
94.1Avg total
46.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.246.794.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.846.297.0+4.577%-
Last 30 away (17)46.247.193.3-0.835%-
Last 10 (10)46.048.194.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.691.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.649.894.4-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)47.746.193.9+1.643%-
vs Weaker (15)50.345.395.7+5.073%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A05/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A17/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H19/04
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H01/11
CBA
99.1Avg total
52.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.546.597.0+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.445.696.9+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)49.647.697.1+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)52.346.899.1+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)55.047.0102.0+8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.946.793.6+0.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.548.196.6+0.438%-
vs Weaker (15)53.345.598.9+7.873%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.828.0
55.2%
52.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
76.0%16.2
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.428.2
52.8%
52.7%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.2
37.4%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
76.0%17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LWWWWLLWWL
Guangzhou
LLWWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#9
+15.5
Net rating
+6.5
111.9
Offensive rating
109.9
96.4
Defensive rating
103.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
11.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
37.4%
58.2%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 109.9Defence96.4 · 103.4Shooting51.7% · 53.8%3-point %30.4% · 37.4%Ball care11.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 30.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shenzhen wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
07/01/21Shenzhen v Guangzhou112-103
20/12/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen96-98
21/01/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen97-120
05/01/20Shenzhen v Guangzhou96-90
20/11/19Guangzhou v Shenzhen116-88
06/11/19Shenzhen v Guangzhou103-119
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23AZhejiang Guangsha98-100 OT
30/10/23ANanjing Tongxi89-80
28/10/23HNingbo Rockets103-96
26/10/23HBeijing Royal Fighters115-104
22/10/23ASichuan88-69
04/05/23AZhejiang Chouzhou90-91
02/05/23HZhejiang Chouzhou92-93
30/04/23HZhejiang Chouzhou98-81
27/04/23AZhejiang Chouzhou103-92
25/04/23AZhejiang Chouzhou87-91
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HBeijing Royal Fighters104-117
29/10/23AZhejiang Guangsha84-97
27/10/23HFujian109-103
25/10/23HXinjiang99-84
23/10/23HShandong114-81
19/04/23HZhejiang Chouzhou100-113
17/04/23AZhejiang Chouzhou91-114
11/04/23HShandong89-80
09/04/23AShandong93-76
05/04/23AJilin104-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game98.6109.091.7
Allowed / game89.8100.083.0
Point differential+8.8+9.0+8.7
Avg total188.4209.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game102.0106.584.0
Allowed / game96.496.297.0
Point differential+5.6+10.2-13.0
Avg total198.4202.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning550100%106.488.4+18.0
2 Beijing550100%111.699.2+12.4
3 Shenzhen54180%98.689.8+8.8
4 Xinjiang54180%97.091.4+5.6
5 Zhejiang Chouzhou53260%110.097.6+12.4
6 Fujian53260%107.699.0+8.6
7 Guangzhou53260%102.096.4+5.6
8 Guangdong53260%106.2103.2+3.0
9 Beijing Royal Fighters53260%108.0106.2+1.8
10 Zhejiang Guangsha53260%103.2102.8+0.4
11 Qingdao53260%103.6104.4-0.8
12 Tianjin52340%105.6107.0-1.4
13 Shandong52340%101.0105.2-4.2
14 Jilin52340%94.699.8-5.2
15 Shanghai51420%102.4106.6-4.2
16 Shanxi Zhongyu51420%104.6110.8-6.2
17 Jiangsu Dragons51420%94.4103.0-8.6
18 Nanjing Tongxi51420%91.2102.2-11.0
19 Ningbo Rockets51420%89.0105.0-16.0
20 Sichuan5050%93.6112.6-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen22282926105
Guangzhou40221432108
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