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Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game94.4
Shenzhen
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
ChinaCBARound 26· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangzhou
13 Jan 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN96
29 Oct 2024
SHEN101
GUAN108
24 Mar 2024
SHEN106
GUAN115
04 Nov 2023
SHEN105
GUAN108
17 Jan 2023
SHEN89
GUAN114
17 Mar 2022
SHEN114
GUAN120
07 Jan 2021
SHEN112
GUAN103
05 Jan 2020
SHEN96
GUAN90
06 Nov 2019
SHEN103
GUAN119
03 Mar 2019
SHEN97
GUAN117
21 Oct 2018
SHEN123
GUAN107
03 Mar 2018
SHEN121
GUAN113
11 Feb 2018
SHEN138
GUAN121
30 Oct 2016
SHEN110
GUAN106
01 Nov 2015
SHEN116
GUAN111
26 Dec 2014
SHEN122
GUAN110
10 Nov 2013
SHEN97
GUAN107
20 Jan 2013
SHEN141
GUAN133
07 Dec 2011
SHEN117
GUAN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
77avg 95
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 95
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 95
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
27-27
24-19
19-21
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
173.1Avg total
80.1Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.794.4171.1-17.743%
Season at home (2)82.593.0175.5-10.550%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.193.0173.1-12.940%
Last 5 (5)76.095.6171.6-19.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.794.4171.1-17.743%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (13)105.192.3197.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
70avg 79
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
96avg 79
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 79
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 79
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar (9)91.689.9181.4+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
ShenzhenGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
90.1Avg total
39.8Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.848.899.6+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.247.8102.0+6.577%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.850.390.1-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.053.091.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.351.488.7-14.114%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (13)56.546.2102.7+10.292%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (9)45.744.690.2+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LWWLLWLLWL
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
#14
League position
#10
-14.8
Net rating
-11.7
88.7
Offensive rating
90.5
103.5
Defensive rating
102.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.5%
3-point %
33.2%
65.1%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 90.5Defence103.5 · 102.2Shooting51.4% · 47.4%3-point %33.5% · 33.2%Ball care15.4% · 14.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shenzhen wins
6
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
24/04/26Guangzhou v Shenzhen86-99
16/03/26Shenzhen v Guangzhou97-96
08/03/25Guangzhou v Shenzhen86-104
29/10/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou101-108
24/03/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou106-115
05/02/24Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-96
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
18/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha85-92
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game76.782.574.4
Allowed / game94.493.095.0
Point differential-17.7-10.5-20.6
Avg total171.1175.5169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai76186%97.186.3+10.9
3 Liaoning76186%96.687.0+9.6
4 Beijing Royal Fighters75271%99.181.0+18.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian74357%91.788.3+3.4
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
11 Guangdong73443%85.787.3-1.6
12 Shandong73443%91.093.6-2.6
13 Xinjiang73443%86.089.9-3.9
14 Shenzhen73443%76.794.4-17.7
15 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
16 Qingdao72529%88.691.0-2.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi72529%87.497.3-9.9
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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