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Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 101-108
24-34 31-33 25-18 21-23
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game110.7
ChinaCBARound 8· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangzhou
13 Jan 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN96
29 Oct 2024
SHEN101
GUAN108
24 Mar 2024
SHEN106
GUAN115
04 Nov 2023
SHEN105
GUAN108
17 Jan 2023
SHEN89
GUAN114
17 Mar 2022
SHEN114
GUAN120
07 Jan 2021
SHEN112
GUAN103
05 Jan 2020
SHEN96
GUAN90
06 Nov 2019
SHEN103
GUAN119
03 Mar 2019
SHEN97
GUAN117
21 Oct 2018
SHEN123
GUAN107
03 Mar 2018
SHEN121
GUAN113
11 Feb 2018
SHEN138
GUAN121
30 Oct 2016
SHEN110
GUAN106
01 Nov 2015
SHEN116
GUAN111
26 Dec 2014
SHEN122
GUAN110
10 Nov 2013
SHEN97
GUAN107
20 Jan 2013
SHEN141
GUAN133
07 Dec 2011
SHEN117
GUAN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
77avg 97
A18/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
93-132
93
132
-39
84avg 97
A20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
71avg 97
H23/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
91-104
91
104
-13
86avg 97
A13/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
117-130
117
130
-13
116avg 97
A15/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
121-100
121
100
+21
123avg 97
H18/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
100-120
100
120
-20
97avg 97
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
114-103
114
103
+11
87avg 97
A22/10
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
118-121 OT
118
121
-3
114avg 97
A24/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
93-111
93
111
-18
69avg 97
H26/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
22-28
13-38
22-33
20-29
28-24
19-40
26-39
19-26
21-25
19-28
21-23
21-31
26-20
22-27
22-26
19-42
32-39
34-26
32-23
33-32
35-34
27-20
26-14
30-26
30-41
21-19
19-34
27-31
37-20
30-24
20-28
30-34
27-33
25-11
22-26
23-25
23-21
28-36
19-29
216.1Avg total
101.4Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)107.7112.7220.4-5.029%
Season at home (2)107.0105.5212.5+1.550%
Season away (5)108.0115.6223.6-7.620%
Last 10 (10)101.4114.7216.1-13.320%
Last 5 (5)109.2111.0220.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)97.3114.2211.5-16.910%
vs Similar (13)104.6104.4209.0+0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)107.399.1206.4+8.186%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-108
91
108
-17
73avg 93
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
86-113
86
113
-27
67avg 93
A21/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
105-83
105
83
+22
93avg 93
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 93
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
59avg 93
A14/10
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 93
H18/10
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
90-105
90
105
-15
71avg 93
A20/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
105-107
105
107
-2
100avg 93
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
110-122
110
122
-12
104avg 93
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
112-101
112
101
+11
114avg 93
A27/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
23-30
23-23
20-32
21-26
22-31
24-34
19-22
25-20
33-20
27-26
20-17
18-18
22-23
15-31
16-21
16-26
23-26
15-33
26-24
21-26
29-27
23-30
15-37
26-29
32-22
12-29
20-25
32-35
24-26
20-22
29-24
28-32
27-27
31-35
24-28
30-30
28-18
27-23
27-30
199.9Avg total
93.8Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.5110.7208.2-13.217%
Season at home (2)99.0121.0220.0-22.00%
Season away (4)96.8105.5202.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)93.8106.1199.9-12.320%
Last 5 (5)101.0111.0212.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)94.3105.9200.2-11.618%
vs Similar (11)103.2100.5203.7+2.664%
vs Weaker (8)106.591.5198.0+15.088%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
ShenzhenGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A18/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H23/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
A15/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H18/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A22/10
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A24/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/10
CBA
111.9Avg total
53.3Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.255.1108.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.752.1104.8+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)53.657.8111.4-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)53.358.6111.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)59.059.4118.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)50.657.9108.5-7.310%-
vs Similar (13)53.455.1108.5-1.731%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)56.451.3107.7+5.186%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A21/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A14/10
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/10
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A20/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A27/10
CBA
102.0Avg total
50.5Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.650.5102.1+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.849.4102.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)50.551.6102.1-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)50.551.5102.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)55.454.4109.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)51.552.0103.5-0.536%-
vs Similar (11)50.951.3102.2-0.427%-
vs Weaker (8)52.647.5100.1+5.175%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.828.0
54.1%
52.6%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.8
36.2%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws28.120.9
74.4%
76.3%20.9
They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.525.5
48.6%
52.6%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.6%
35.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.216.7
72.0%
76.3%16.7
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LLWLWLLLLL
Guangzhou
WLLLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#16
-11.8
Net rating
-18.6
103.5
Offensive rating
97.2
115.3
Defensive rating
115.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
28.6%
62.5%
Assist %
47.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 97.2Defence115.3 · 115.8Shooting54.1% · 46.6%3-point %36.2% · 28.6%Ball care18.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds21.3% · 34.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shenzhen wins
6
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou106-115
05/02/24Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-96
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
07/01/21Shenzhen v Guangzhou112-103
20/12/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen96-98
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HSichuan93-111
24/10/24AShandong118-121 OT
22/10/24ATianjin114-103
20/10/24AShanxi Zhongyu100-120
18/10/24HJiangsu Dragons121-100
15/10/24AXinjiang117-130
13/10/24ANanjing Tongxi91-104
23/04/24HLiaoning80-102
20/04/24ALiaoning93-132
18/04/24ALiaoning87-124
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AFujian112-101
25/10/24HNanjing Tongxi110-122
23/10/24ABeijing Royal Fighters105-107
20/10/24ABeijing90-105
18/10/24HLiaoning88-120
14/10/24AQingdao80-109
26/04/24HXinjiang71-93
24/04/24HXinjiang105-83
21/04/24AXinjiang86-113
19/04/24AXinjiang91-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game107.7107.0108.0
Allowed / game112.7105.5115.6
Point differential-5.0+1.5-7.6
Avg total220.4212.5223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game97.599.096.8
Allowed / game110.7121.0105.5
Point differential-13.2-22.0-8.8
Avg total208.2220.0202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanxi Zhongyu76186%113.9103.9+10.0
2 Zhejiang Guangsha76186%107.097.4+9.6
3 Beijing76186%100.392.7+7.6
4 Liaoning86275%107.894.9+12.9
5 Xinjiang75271%110.4105.0+5.4
6 Beijing Royal Fighters75271%105.9101.6+4.3
7 Qingdao85362%99.496.4+3.0
8 Guangdong74357%109.9104.9+5.0
9 Jilin74357%107.7104.0+3.7
10 Shandong74357%107.4105.7+1.7
11 Nanjing Tongxi74357%108.4112.3-3.9
12 Zhejiang Chouzhou84450%109.4105.9+3.5
13 Tianjin63350%105.0107.7-2.7
14 Ningbo Rockets73443%106.6111.3-4.7
15 Sichuan72529%105.0109.3-4.3
16 Shenzhen72529%107.7112.7-5.0
17 Guangzhou61517%97.5110.7-13.2
18 Shanghai81712%100.1111.1-11.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons7070%98.4109.9-11.4
20 Fujian7070%102.1116.1-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen24312521101
Guangzhou34331823108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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