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Nagasaki vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 83-73
16-14 21-16 25-13 21-30
Position#16
Record8-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#24
Record1-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game86.8
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shiga
13 Dec 2026
NAGA v SHIG
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
NAGA v SHIG
upcoming
16 Apr 2025
NAGA69
SHIG67
15 Dec 2024
NAGA83
SHIG73
14 Dec 2024
NAGA84
SHIG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 68
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 68
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
51avg 68
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
54-55
54
55
-1
44avg 68
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
51-80
51
80
-29
37avg 68
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
88avg 68
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
52-89
52
89
-37
37avg 68
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
62avg 68
H08/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
68avg 68
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 68
H14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-23
16-17
19-20
19-19
19-23
9-16
20-22
20-12
16-25
20-14
12-20
22-21
9-8
13-13
10-13
13-23
12-15
10-22
16-20
21-17
22-23
18-20
32-18
17-19
12-26
14-20
9-24
26-24
17-18
16-19
16-14
17-22
26-22
27-16
12-28
23-21
22-23
15-21
24-14
149.2Avg total
70.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.275.2146.4-3.940%
Season at home (12)69.674.5144.1-4.933%
Season away (8)73.876.1149.9-2.450%
Last 10 (10)70.678.6149.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)78.483.4161.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.778.8151.5-6.138%
vs Similar (13)73.572.8146.3+0.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.282.0169.2+5.275%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 77
A03/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
69-83
69
83
-14
60avg 77
H06/11
B League
Shimane
#8
L
62-83
62
83
-21
55avg 77
A09/11
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-92
55
92
-37
43avg 77
A10/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
66-73
66
73
-7
63avg 77
A30/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 77
A01/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
66-93
66
93
-27
50avg 77
H07/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
81-93
81
93
-12
66avg 77
H08/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 77
A11/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 77
A14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-23
16-23
11-32
20-23
18-16
15-20
16-24
12-24
18-20
17-25
15-14
15-26
16-15
9-25
15-26
16-17
17-23
23-18
10-15
17-14
18-19
13-22
25-22
17-25
20-19
8-22
21-27
24-34
16-11
14-29
27-19
17-35
23-17
22-19
20-22
21-23
23-22
21-15
14-24
157.1Avg total
69.8Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.586.8160.3-13.45%
Season at home (8)75.689.1164.8-13.512%
Season away (12)72.085.3157.3-13.30%
Last 10 (10)69.887.3157.1-17.50%
Last 5 (5)76.288.0164.2-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.586.8160.3-13.45%
vs Similar (4)84.882.0166.8+2.875%
vs Weaker (6)88.279.2167.3+9.083%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
NagasakiShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
B League
77.9Avg total
37.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.378.8-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.777.5-2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.777.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.083.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.444.281.5-6.831%-
vs Similar (13)38.537.876.4+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.535.578.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A03/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/11
B League
Shimane
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/11
B League
Shimane
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A01/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/12
B League
79.6Avg total
36.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.183.3-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.285.5+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.180.7-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.079.6-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.883.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.542.181.6-2.625%-
vs Similar (4)43.042.585.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)45.342.087.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.2
48.5%
51.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.9
30.9%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.610.7
68.6%
72.7%10.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.0
47.4%
51.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.0
26.4%
33.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
72.7%11.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLLWLLLLL
Shiga
LLLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#24
-10.8
Net rating
-24.6
96.7
Offensive rating
93.8
107.5
Defensive rating
118.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
44.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
20.3%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.9%
3-point %
26.4%
51.4%
Assist %
68.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 93.8Defence107.5 · 118.4Shooting47.5% · 44.2%3-point %30.9% · 26.4%Ball care20.3% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
0
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga84-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HShiga84-79
11/12/24AHiroshima D.82-88
08/12/24HAlvark81-83 OT
07/12/24HAlvark52-89
02/12/24ASaga93-78
01/12/24ASaga51-80
10/11/24HAkita54-55
09/11/24HAkita68-71
06/11/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-80
03/11/24HDiamond Dolphins74-83
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ANagasaki79-84
11/12/24AKyoto82-93
08/12/24HIbaraki Robots81-93
07/12/24HIbaraki Robots66-93
01/12/24AAkita73-77
30/11/24AAkita66-73
10/11/24AShimane55-92
09/11/24AShimane62-83
06/11/24HSaga69-83
03/11/24AGunma65-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game71.269.673.8
Allowed / game75.274.576.1
Point differential-3.9-4.9-2.4
Avg total146.4144.1149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%8%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)29% (7)-
Overtime %5%8%0%
Shiga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %5%12%0%
Points / game73.575.672.0
Allowed / game86.889.185.3
Point differential-13.4-13.5-13.3
Avg total160.3164.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2118386%79.969.9+10.0
2 NeoPhoenix2117481%91.579.1+12.4
3 Utsunomiya Brex2117481%83.074.5+8.5
4 Chiba2116576%82.075.1+6.9
5 Shimane2115671%81.573.0+8.4
6 Ryukyu2115671%83.876.4+7.4
7 Gunma2114767%79.471.2+8.2
8 SeaHorses Mikawa2114767%80.375.1+5.2
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya2113862%76.571.4+5.1
10 Akita2112957%72.272.1+0.1
11 Osaka21111052%81.980.7+1.2
12 Kyoto21101148%80.679.8+0.9
13 Diamond Dolphins21101148%81.882.8-1.0
14 Hiroshima D.2191243%77.282.4-5.2
15 Nagasaki2081240%71.275.2-3.9
16 Hokkaido2181338%73.779.4-5.7
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2181338%74.881.5-6.7
18 Saga2171433%74.376.8-2.5
19 Ibaraki Robots2171433%75.181.1-6.0
20 Yokohama2171433%74.680.7-6.1
21 Koshigaya Alphas2161529%77.082.0-5.0
22 Sendai2141719%72.480.7-8.3
23 Brave Thunders2141719%75.086.1-11.1
24 Shiga201195%73.586.8-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1621252183
Shiga1416133073
← all games of the day
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