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Shiga vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 82-107
23-25 26-28 19-23 14-31
Position#18
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game75.8
JapanB League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shiga v Nagasaki
23 Oct 2026
SHIG89
NAGA85
14 Dec 2025
SHIG84
NAGA106
13 Dec 2025
SHIG82
NAGA107
29 Jan 2025
SHIG89
NAGA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 72
H02/11
B League
Saga
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 72
A05/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
74avg 72
A08/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
99-108
99
108
-9
94avg 72
A09/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 72
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 72
A15/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
91-68
91
68
+23
88avg 72
A16/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
75avg 72
A05/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
80-105
80
105
-25
74avg 72
A06/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
75avg 72
A10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
30-19
19-18
12-19
27-20
25-17
15-24
16-16
19-23
17-30
25-19
22-23
28-19
17-28
28-30
26-31
23-19
25-22
9-30
12-21
23-23
23-22
24-22
10-22
22-16
29-12
22-26
18-14
24-27
12-25
30-12
16-34
23-23
21-26
22-27
14-29
28-21
13-27
25-14
17-31
173.7Avg total
83.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.184.5165.6-3.343%
Season at home (8)77.875.2153.0+2.562%
Season away (13)83.290.2173.4-6.931%
Last 10 (10)83.989.8173.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)83.290.6173.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)81.088.2169.1-7.224%
vs Similar (7)78.176.3154.4+1.957%
vs Weaker (2)77.069.5146.5+7.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 77
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 77
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 77
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 77
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 77
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 77
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 77
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 77
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 77
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
105-74
105
74
+31
109avg 77
A10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
26-20
23-17
23-17
19-16
27-23
21-15
28-15
21-8
19-14
28-13
22-5
22-26
31-18
27-19
20-18
21-21
18-11
33-21
23-15
31-27
173.1Avg total
95.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)93.475.8169.1+17.690%
Season at home (11)93.076.3169.3+16.791%
Season away (10)93.875.2169.0+18.690%
Last 10 (10)95.477.7173.1+17.790%
Last 5 (5)96.667.8164.4+28.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.285.2157.4-13.00%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.375.4167.6+16.991%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
ShigaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H02/11
B League
Saga
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A05/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A08/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A16/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A05/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A10/12
B League
89.3Avg total
45.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.484.6-2.227%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.839.279.0+0.542%-
Last 30 away (18)42.246.288.3-4.017%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.689.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.045.786.7-4.614%-
vs Similar (7)40.038.678.6+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)47.036.583.5+10.550%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A10/12
B League
90.0Avg total
49.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.784.6+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.983.0+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)45.740.586.1+5.253%-
Last 10 (10)49.340.790.0+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.634.284.8+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.840.877.6-4.00%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.239.486.6+7.982%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.1
57.0%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
73.1%13.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.413.4
41.4%
33.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws17.213.8
80.2%
73.1%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
LLLWLLLLWW
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWLWW
#18
League position
#1
-9.4
Net rating
+23.5
109.2
Offensive rating
120.5
118.6
Defensive rating
97.0
55.2%
Effective FG%
59.1%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.4%
3-point %
41.4%
70.2%
Assist %
73.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 120.5Defence118.6 · 97.0Shooting55.2% · 59.1%3-point %35.4% · 41.4%Ball care20.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Shiga   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shiga wins
4
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Nagasaki v Shiga69-67 OT
29/01/25Shiga v Nagasaki89-101
15/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga83-73
14/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga84-79
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25ANeoPhoenix83-93
06/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa80-105
05/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-98
16/11/25AYokohama91-68
15/11/25AYokohama80-89
12/11/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles69-92
09/11/25AHokkaido99-108
08/11/25AHokkaido83-95
05/11/25ASaga83-77
02/11/25HAkita89-73
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25AHiroshima D.105-74
07/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas99-76
06/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas91-58
16/11/25HAkita97-61
15/11/25HAkita91-70
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %43%62%31%
Points / game81.177.883.2
Allowed / game84.575.290.2
Point differential-3.3+2.5-6.9
Avg total165.6153.0173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%91%90%
Points / game93.493.093.8
Allowed / game75.876.375.2
Point differential+17.6+16.7+18.6
Avg total169.1169.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2119290%93.475.8+17.6
2 Diamond Dolphins2219386%83.270.3+12.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex2117481%84.376.4+7.9
4 Chiba2117481%82.775.0+7.6
5 Hokkaido2117481%88.083.3+4.7
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2115671%85.578.9+6.7
7 Gunma2114767%83.576.2+7.3
8 Ryukyu2114767%82.375.5+6.8
9 Shimane2112957%84.281.4+2.8
10 Hiroshima D.21111052%85.382.6+2.8
11 Alvark21111052%76.178.4-2.3
12 Sendai21101148%78.080.4-2.4
13 NeoPhoenix2191243%81.481.2+0.1
14 Saga2191243%81.483.0-1.6
15 Osaka2191243%82.785.0-2.3
16 Shiga2191243%81.184.5-3.3
17 Koshigaya Alphas2191243%73.277.3-4.0
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2181338%78.681.1-2.5
19 Yokohama2181338%78.782.4-3.7
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya2181338%77.781.8-4.1
21 Altiri Chiba2171433%80.683.6-3.0
22 Kyoto2161529%72.479.0-6.6
23 Toyama2161529%82.991.4-8.5
24 Brave Thunders2141719%74.284.2-10.0
25 Akita2131814%69.384.4-15.1
26 Ibaraki Robots2231914%73.681.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga2326191482
Nagasaki25282331107
← all games of the day
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