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Nagasaki vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 69-67 (OT)
18-20 22-16 5-15 16-10 8-6
Position#16
Record23-29
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#24
Record7-44
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game90.2
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shiga
13 Dec 2026
NAGA v SHIG
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
NAGA v SHIG
upcoming
16 Apr 2025
NAGA69
SHIG67
15 Dec 2024
NAGA83
SHIG73
14 Dec 2024
NAGA84
SHIG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 69
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 69
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 69
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 69
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 69
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
47avg 69
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 69
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 69
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
87avg 69
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 69
A13/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
16-15
17-28
12-20
21-10
21-13
24-15
18-25
26-23
18-20
19-23
14-12
17-27
16-23
11-20
26-13
11-21
22-14
19-13
25-17
17-23
18-24
10-19
20-29
19-19
22-10
15-27
20-23
12-18
21-17
7-17
23-20
19-25
9-28
29-12
20-12
16-24
23-15
17-24
22-20
154.1Avg total
74.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)76.078.1154.1-2.144%
Season at home (26)74.376.8151.1-2.638%
Season away (26)77.879.3157.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)74.979.2154.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)74.683.0157.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.980.3157.2-3.438%
vs Similar (10)77.781.4159.1-3.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.679.1163.7+5.457%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 70
H22/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
65avg 70
H23/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
75-95
75
95
-20
67avg 70
H27/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
89avg 70
A29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
90avg 70
A30/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 70
H05/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 70
H06/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
73-104
73
104
-31
60avg 70
A09/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 70
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
70avg 70
A13/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
31-24
17-24
25-19
23-26
26-21
10-28
21-20
20-30
21-21
14-25
20-19
31-24
26-16
19-30
17-10
19-22
15-12
23-17
21-27
27-15
19-28
19-17
14-20
18-15
19-20
23-23
17-24
22-29
17-29
18-24
16-22
15-21
18-19
21-17
20-26
11-25
21-21
21-16
21-26
169.4Avg total
81.2Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)76.990.2167.1-13.314%
Season at home (25)77.291.4168.6-14.112%
Season away (26)76.689.1165.7-12.515%
Last 10 (10)81.288.2169.4-7.030%
Last 5 (5)75.487.4162.8-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.093.0172.0-14.118%
vs Similar (2)85.088.0173.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
NagasakiShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/04
B League
76.1Avg total
36.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.480.8+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.241.681.8-1.358%-
Last 30 away (18)40.539.680.1+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.476.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.675.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.140.077.1-2.931%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.183.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.041.683.6+0.457%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H22/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H27/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H06/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A09/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A13/04
B League
85.9Avg total
41.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.247.287.4-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.946.587.5-5.624%-
Last 30 away (13)39.348.187.4-8.823%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.085.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.481.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.447.187.5-6.821%-
vs Similar (2)38.548.587.0-10.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.5
49.6%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws12.910.3
79.8%
72.7%10.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.3
50.0%
51.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.8
37.5%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws11.78.2
70.1%
72.7%8.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWLLLWLLWL
Shiga
LLLLLWWLLW
#16
League position
#24
-6.8
Net rating
-9.2
98.4
Offensive rating
105.6
105.2
Defensive rating
114.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.17
33.7%
3-point %
37.5%
59.5%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 105.6Defence105.2 · 114.8Shooting50.0% · 52.4%3-point %33.7% · 37.5%Ball care20.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
0
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Shiga v Nagasaki89-101
15/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga83-73
14/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga84-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa78-83
12/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa91-86 OT
09/04/25AShimane63-72
06/04/25ANeoPhoenix76-79
05/04/25ANeoPhoenix65-95
30/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex77-65
29/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex70-83
26/03/25HHiroshima D.77-78
23/03/25AKyoto84-63
22/03/25AKyoto68-88
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AHiroshima D.74-88
12/04/25AHiroshima D.74-83
09/04/25ARyukyu73-104
06/04/25HSaga77-82
05/04/25HSaga79-80
30/03/25ADiamond Dolphins94-86 OT
29/03/25ADiamond Dolphins93-80
27/03/25HKyoto75-95
23/03/25HChiba80-95
22/03/25HChiba93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game76.074.377.8
Allowed / game78.176.879.3
Point differential-2.1-2.6-1.5
Avg total154.1151.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%19%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)31% (13)50% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Shiga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayWWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %14%12%15%
Points / game76.977.276.6
Allowed / game90.291.489.1
Point differential-13.3-14.1-12.5
Avg total167.1168.6165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+2%0%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)25% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix5144786%92.279.4+12.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex5243983%85.675.7+9.9
3 Ryukyu52391375%84.976.2+8.6
4 Alvark52371571%76.571.1+5.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa52341865%81.475.4+6.0
6 Chiba52341865%81.776.9+4.8
7 Shimane52331963%80.274.5+5.7
8 Gunma52331963%77.672.5+5.0
9 Diamond Dolphins52292356%81.880.6+1.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya52282454%73.971.1+2.8
11 Osaka52272552%82.082.8-0.8
12 Kyoto52262650%81.780.7+1.0
13 Akita52252748%73.274.4-1.2
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52252748%77.879.0-1.2
15 Hiroshima D.52252748%79.482.2-2.7
16 Nagasaki52232944%76.078.1-2.1
17 Yokohama52232944%76.078.7-2.7
18 Hokkaido52193337%75.679.6-4.0
19 Saga52183435%75.979.2-3.2
20 Koshigaya Alphas52163631%75.880.8-4.9
21 Brave Thunders52153729%78.586.9-8.3
22 Ibaraki Robots52114121%72.680.6-8.0
23 Sendai5294317%72.583.5-11.1
24 Shiga5174414%76.990.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nagasaki1822516869
Shiga20161510667
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