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Shiga vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 89-101
22-34 27-15 20-26 20-26
Position#24
Record3-28
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#16
Record13-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game76.3
JapanB League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shiga v Nagasaki
23 Oct 2026
SHIG89
NAGA85
14 Dec 2025
SHIG84
NAGA106
13 Dec 2025
SHIG82
NAGA107
29 Jan 2025
SHIG89
NAGA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
83-91
83
91
-8
73avg 73
H18/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
67-83
67
83
-16
59avg 73
A21/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 73
A22/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
62-89
62
89
-27
49avg 73
H29/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
78-88
78
88
-10
65avg 73
H30/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
88-109
88
109
-21
78avg 73
H04/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
65-93
65
93
-28
53avg 73
H11/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
61-81
61
81
-20
50avg 73
H12/01
B League
Sendai
#23
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 73
A25/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 73
A26/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
23-24
19-17
23-20
10-20
23-21
13-20
21-22
27-15
22-21
19-25
22-27
18-21
29-26
4-17
11-25
21-22
17-30
21-15
19-21
33-21
16-48
22-23
17-17
11-28
18-12
20-32
16-21
16-14
15-18
13-22
17-27
22-26
12-34
24-15
32-25
22-23
21-14
19-21
18-18
166.2Avg total
76.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.487.7162.1-13.310%
Season at home (14)74.490.3164.7-15.97%
Season away (17)74.485.5159.9-11.212%
Last 10 (10)76.489.8166.2-13.420%
Last 5 (5)76.891.8168.6-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.787.6161.3-14.07%
vs Similar (2)85.088.0173.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-75
91
75
+16
89avg 69
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
86avg 69
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 69
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 69
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 69
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 69
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 69
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 69
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 69
H26/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-25
13-15
30-15
15-18
16-31
25-15
24-16
27-8
14-15
18-25
20-18
29-21
9-20
20-13
12-22
22-21
13-12
24-23
16-23
23-27
16-16
12-22
16-25
31-20
16-7
12-24
12-27
23-21
14-23
18-15
15-23
16-24
28-18
17-17
15-21
24-27
19-15
13-16
22-25
156.8Avg total
77.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.776.3150.1-2.641%
Season at home (18)71.776.2147.9-4.533%
Season away (14)76.376.5152.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)77.479.4156.8-2.030%
Last 5 (5)72.482.6155.0-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.879.0150.8-7.233%
vs Similar (13)71.276.1147.3-4.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.277.1159.4+5.162%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
ShigaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H18/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A22/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H30/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H04/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H11/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H12/01
B League
Sendai
#23
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A25/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/01
B League
86.2Avg total
39.4Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.682.6-4.520%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.844.984.8-5.18%-
Last 30 away (17)38.542.581.0-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.446.886.2-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.684.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.143.282.3-4.118%-
vs Similar (2)38.548.587.0-10.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H26/01
B League
79.2Avg total
40.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.677.3-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.038.975.9-1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.378.9-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.979.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.681.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.942.877.7-7.922%-
vs Similar (13)37.837.475.2+0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.939.580.4+1.475%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.7
49.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.711.5
78.2%
72.7%11.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.3
47.1%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.6
36.4%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
72.7%13.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
WLLLLLLWLL
Nagasaki
LLLLLLLWWW
#24
League position
#16
-17.8
Net rating
-2.8
102.1
Offensive rating
105.9
120.0
Defensive rating
108.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
36.4%
57.2%
Assist %
64.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 105.9Defence120.0 · 108.7Shooting49.1% · 50.2%3-point %32.5% · 36.4%Ball care19.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 33.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Shiga   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shiga wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga83-73
14/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga84-79
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ASendai80-76
25/01/25ASendai90-100
12/01/25HShimane61-81
11/01/25HShimane65-93
04/01/25HNeoPhoenix88-109
30/12/24HKoshigaya Alphas78-88
29/12/24HKoshigaya Alphas62-89
22/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya90-88
21/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya67-83
18/12/24HRyukyu83-91
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HBrave Thunders78-83
25/01/25HBrave Thunders76-80
11/01/25AHiroshima D.70-82
10/01/25AHiroshima D.71-78
05/01/25HYokohama67-90
04/01/25HYokohama75-79
29/12/24ASendai70-76
28/12/24ASendai79-66
22/12/24AIbaraki Robots97-85 OT
21/12/24AIbaraki Robots91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW10%
HomeLLLLL7%
AwayLLWLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %10%7%12%
Points / game74.474.474.4
Allowed / game87.790.385.5
Point differential-13.3-15.9-11.2
Avg total162.1164.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %41%33%50%
Points / game73.771.776.3
Allowed / game76.376.276.5
Point differential-2.6-4.5-0.2
Avg total150.1147.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)27% (11)-
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3127487%92.378.0+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex3226681%86.076.4+9.6
3 Ryukyu3224875%84.476.4+8.0
4 Gunma3223972%78.671.2+7.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa32221069%80.674.2+6.4
6 Alvark32221069%76.471.1+5.3
7 Chiba32211166%81.276.9+4.3
8 Shimane32201262%80.674.7+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%75.271.7+3.5
10 Diamond Dolphins32171553%83.082.6+0.4
11 Kyoto32161650%81.280.3+0.9
12 Osaka32161650%82.381.7+0.6
13 Akita32161650%72.873.3-0.5
14 Hiroshima D.32151747%77.481.2-3.9
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%76.080.3-4.3
16 Nagasaki32131941%73.776.3-2.6
17 Yokohama32122038%76.280.4-4.2
18 Saga32112134%74.176.7-2.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas32112134%77.881.2-3.4
20 Hokkaido32112134%73.979.6-5.8
21 Brave Thunders32102231%75.984.6-8.7
22 Sendai3282425%73.781.8-8.1
23 Ibaraki Robots3272522%73.082.1-9.2
24 Shiga3132810%74.487.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga2227202089
Nagasaki34152626101
← all games of the day
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