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Shimane vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 04:35
Final 93-71
28-17 19-24 28-16 18-14
Position#8
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game68.9
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game71.9
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shimane v Akita
20 Apr 2027
SHIM v AKIT
upcoming
27 Oct 2024
SHIM95
AKIT90
26 Oct 2024
SHIM93
AKIT71
16 Oct 2022
SHIM76
AKIT70
15 Oct 2022
SHIM78
AKIT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
40avg 74
H28/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 74
A04/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 74
A05/05
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 74
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-63
75
63
+12
64avg 74
H06/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 74
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 74
H12/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
81-88
81
88
-7
76avg 74
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
92-75
92
75
+17
97avg 74
A20/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
98-61
98
61
+37
97avg 74
H23/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
15-13
14-13
6-24
12-20
19-29
17-29
25-14
12-21
20-20
22-16
13-17
22-20
18-12
20-13
27-11
8-19
22-13
23-18
22-13
19-6
13-18
19-19
20-19
27-21
16-21
25-22
17-13
18-22
27-20
9-24
27-22
23-14
27-18
18-21
24-22
23-17
18-14
31-6
26-24
149.3Avg total
78.0Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.168.9153.0+15.386%
Season at home (5)83.263.8147.0+19.4100%
Season away (2)86.581.5168.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)78.071.3149.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)85.472.6158.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.376.7165.0+11.767%
vs Similar (13)73.475.3148.7-1.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.076.4158.4+5.664%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
65-54
65
54
+11
61avg 68
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
62avg 68
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
83avg 68
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-68
89
68
+21
85avg 68
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 68
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-70
61
70
-9
52avg 68
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
70avg 68
H20/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
78-69
78
69
+9
62avg 68
H23/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
16-9
17-10
16-18
15-27
20-15
19-27
18-19
26-23
28-14
7-22
12-14
20-16
13-25
17-20
23-20
18-12
27-12
20-24
24-20
19-15
18-15
19-16
21-19
15-24
17-12
13-19
26-23
17-20
4-23
17-12
23-15
25-16
16-17
18-14
15-25
31-22
12-15
6-21
29-11
148.6Avg total
75.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.771.9146.6+2.957%
Season at home (3)71.070.3141.3+0.767%
Season away (4)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)75.373.3148.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)72.270.8143.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.381.8153.1-10.433%
vs Similar (15)76.374.1150.4+2.353%
vs Weaker (6)76.571.8148.3+4.767%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
ShimaneAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H28/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A04/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A05/05
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H06/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A20/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H23/10
B League
72.8Avg total
37.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.275.5+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.934.170.1+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)40.840.281.0+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.372.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.276.4+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.040.783.7+2.367%-
vs Similar (13)35.237.973.1-2.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.435.776.1+4.679%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/10
B League
72.2Avg total
37.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.577.2+0.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.776.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.972.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.870.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.942.979.8-6.011%-
vs Similar (15)39.637.176.7+2.547%-
vs Weaker (6)39.535.374.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.1
68.2%
72.7%10.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.0
42.9%
51.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
33.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.311.5
66.5%
72.7%11.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WWLWWWWLLL
Akita
WWLLWWLWLW
#8
League position
#14
+10.3
Net rating
+3.1
109.7
Offensive rating
101.4
99.4
Defensive rating
98.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.5%
3-point %
36.2%
60.9%
Assist %
76.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 101.4Defence99.4 · 98.3Shooting53.3% · 48.2%3-point %35.5% · 36.2%Ball care16.5% · 20.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Shimane   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shimane wins
3
Akita wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Akita v Shimane65-85
14/10/23Akita v Shimane87-93 OT
16/10/22Shimane v Akita76-70
15/10/22Shimane v Akita78-63
13/12/20Akita v Shimane75-49
12/12/20Akita v Shimane88-76
17/11/19Akita v Shimane72-81
16/11/19Akita v Shimane98-55
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HRyukyu98-61
20/10/24AKoshigaya Alphas92-75
19/10/24AKoshigaya Alphas81-88
12/10/24HSendai85-77
11/10/24HSendai71-62
06/10/24HHokkaido75-63
05/10/24HHokkaido87-56
05/05/24AOsaka67-74
04/05/24AOsaka73-92
28/04/24HHiroshima D.51-65
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HKoshigaya Alphas78-69
20/10/24HSaga74-72
19/10/24HSaga61-70
13/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya71-78
12/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-65
06/10/24ABrave Thunders89-68
05/10/24ABrave Thunders73-81
05/05/24HChiba93-88 OT
04/05/24HChiba72-88
28/04/24HHokkaido65-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game84.183.286.5
Allowed / game68.963.881.5
Point differential+15.3+19.4+5.0
Avg total153.0147.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game74.771.077.5
Allowed / game71.970.373.0
Point differential+2.9+0.7+4.5
Avg total146.6141.3150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane76186%84.168.9+15.3
2 Chiba76186%82.072.6+9.4
3 Alvark76186%80.471.9+8.6
4 SeaHorses Mikawa75271%78.971.4+7.4
5 NeoPhoenix75271%83.376.7+6.6
6 Utsunomiya Brex75271%80.677.6+3.0
7 Nagasaki75271%72.469.7+2.7
8 Ryukyu74357%85.479.0+6.4
9 Diamond Dolphins74357%83.178.4+4.7
10 Osaka74357%81.476.9+4.6
11 Akita74357%74.771.9+2.9
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya74357%69.466.9+2.6
13 Saga74357%73.171.4+1.7
14 Gunma84450%77.470.6+6.8
15 Kyoto73443%73.973.3+0.6
16 Yokohama73443%74.979.6-4.7
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles72529%70.376.6-6.3
18 Hiroshima D.72529%70.079.3-9.3
19 Hokkaido72529%66.676.6-10.0
20 Ibaraki Robots72529%72.682.7-10.1
21 Brave Thunders82625%72.883.0-10.2
22 Sendai71614%73.178.0-4.9
23 Shiga71614%77.789.7-12.0
24 Koshigaya Alphas71614%69.384.4-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane2819281893
Akita1724161471
← all games of the day
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