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Akita vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 74-72
25-16 16-17 18-14 15-25
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.4
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game69.4
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akita v Saga
07 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
06 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
03 May 2026
AKIT70
SAGA87
02 May 2026
AKIT72
SAGA85
20 Oct 2024
AKIT74
SAGA72
19 Oct 2024
AKIT61
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
101-72
101
72
+29
104avg 68
A21/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
73-65
73
65
+8
70avg 68
H27/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
65-54
65
54
+11
61avg 68
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
62avg 68
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
83avg 68
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-68
89
68
+21
85avg 68
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 68
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-70
61
70
-9
52avg 68
H19/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
29-16
23-17
19-18
22-17
20-25
15-7
16-16
16-17
16-9
17-10
16-18
15-27
20-15
19-27
18-19
26-23
28-14
7-22
12-14
20-16
13-25
17-20
23-20
18-12
27-12
20-24
24-20
19-15
18-15
19-16
21-19
15-24
17-12
13-19
26-23
17-20
4-23
17-12
23-15
150.4Avg total
77.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.272.4146.6+1.840%
Season at home (1)61.070.0131.0-9.00%
Season away (4)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.572.9150.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)74.272.4146.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.081.3152.3-10.330%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.574.2150.7+2.350%
vs Weaker (6)80.272.5152.7+7.767%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 67
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 67
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 67
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 67
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 67
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 67
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 67
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 67
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 67
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
62avg 67
A19/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
13-6
21-20
22-24
25-14
27-25
22-21
22-17
19-18
20-17
23-4
12-17
15-23
145.0Avg total
73.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.269.4142.6+3.880%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)73.269.4142.6+3.880%
Last 10 (10)73.871.2145.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)73.269.4142.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.080.4150.4-10.414%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.976.1152.0-0.347%
vs Weaker (8)79.164.8143.9+14.488%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
AkitaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A21/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H19/10
B League
74.8Avg total
39.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.677.6+0.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.239.276.4-2.029%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.078.6+2.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.874.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.868.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.542.579.0-6.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.537.476.9+2.143%-
vs Weaker (6)42.234.877.0+7.350%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A19/10
B League
72.7Avg total
36.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.676.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.339.176.4-1.845%-
Last 30 away (19)40.036.876.8+3.258%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.872.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.472.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.440.777.1-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.538.778.1+0.847%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.073.4+7.488%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.7
45.8%
51.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
33.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.111.6
67.8%
72.7%11.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.6
48.6%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.811.1
62.4%
72.7%11.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLWWLWLWWW
Saga
WWWWLLLWLW
#14
League position
#18
+6.1
Net rating
+2.3
104.3
Offensive rating
103.4
98.2
Defensive rating
101.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
34.4%
74.0%
Assist %
71.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 103.4Defence98.2 · 101.1Shooting49.1% · 49.8%3-point %35.5% · 34.4%Ball care20.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds37.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Akita wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Akita v Saga61-70
05/11/23Saga v Akita70-64
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HSaga61-70
13/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya71-78
12/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-65
06/10/24ABrave Thunders89-68
05/10/24ABrave Thunders73-81
05/05/24HChiba93-88 OT
04/05/24HChiba72-88
28/04/24HHokkaido65-54
27/04/24HHokkaido73-65
21/04/24AGunma101-72
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AAkita70-61
13/10/24AHiroshima D.90-81
12/10/24AHiroshima D.81-64
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game74.261.077.5
Allowed / game72.470.073.0
Point differential+1.8-9.0+4.5
Avg total146.6131.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
Home--
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %80%-80%
Points / game73.2-73.2
Allowed / game69.4-69.4
Point differential+3.8-+3.8
Avg total142.6-142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%-20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark550100%80.067.2+12.8
2 Shimane54180%79.869.2+10.6
3 Chiba54180%85.475.4+10.0
4 Osaka54180%82.072.4+9.6
5 Nagasaki54180%70.865.4+5.4
6 Saga54180%73.269.4+3.8
7 Ryukyu53260%85.876.6+9.2
8 Diamond Dolphins53260%81.074.8+6.2
9 Kyoto53260%76.472.6+3.8
10 SeaHorses Mikawa53260%75.872.0+3.8
11 NeoPhoenix53260%79.076.6+2.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya53260%69.668.0+1.6
13 Utsunomiya Brex53260%81.079.6+1.4
14 Yokohama63350%77.579.8-2.3
15 Gunma52340%75.871.8+4.0
16 Akita52340%74.272.4+1.8
17 Ibaraki Robots52340%71.278.0-6.8
18 Brave Thunders62433%77.784.3-6.7
19 Shiga51420%79.287.8-8.6
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles51420%69.080.2-11.2
21 Hokkaido51420%66.278.0-11.8
22 Koshigaya Alphas51420%68.284.2-16.0
23 Sendai5050%70.876.2-5.4
24 Hiroshima D.5050%66.482.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita2516181574
Saga1617142572
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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