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Akita vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 61-70
17-20 4-23 17-12 23-15
Position#14
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.5
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akita v Saga
07 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
06 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
03 May 2026
AKIT70
SAGA87
02 May 2026
AKIT72
SAGA85
20 Oct 2024
AKIT74
SAGA72
19 Oct 2024
AKIT61
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
59-89
59
89
-30
51avg 68
A20/04
B League
Gunma
#13
W
101-72
101
72
+29
104avg 68
A21/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
73-65
73
65
+8
70avg 68
H27/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
65-54
65
54
+11
61avg 68
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
62avg 68
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
83avg 68
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-68
89
68
+21
85avg 68
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 68
A13/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
13-24
17-27
13-22
30-21
29-16
23-17
19-18
22-17
20-25
15-7
16-16
16-17
16-9
17-10
16-18
15-27
20-15
19-27
18-19
26-23
28-14
7-22
12-14
20-16
13-25
17-20
23-20
18-12
27-12
20-24
24-20
19-15
18-15
19-16
21-19
15-24
17-12
13-19
26-23
152.1Avg total
77.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.374.8152.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)80.676.0156.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.081.3152.3-10.330%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.774.5152.2+3.254%
vs Weaker (7)80.772.7153.4+8.071%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 68
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 68
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 68
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 68
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 68
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 68
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 68
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 68
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 68
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 68
A13/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
13-6
21-20
22-24
25-14
27-25
22-21
22-17
19-18
149.4Avg total
75.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.071.5145.5+2.575%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)74.071.5145.5+2.575%
Last 10 (10)75.573.9149.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)72.873.2146.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.080.4150.4-10.414%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.777.3153.1-1.640%
vs Weaker (8)79.164.8143.9+14.488%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
AkitaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A20/04
B League
Gunma
#13
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A21/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/10
B League
75.3Avg total
39.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.578.1+1.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.538.977.4-0.531%-
Last 30 away (17)40.538.178.6+2.435%-
Last 10 (10)39.835.575.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.673.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.542.579.0-6.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.936.977.8+4.046%-
vs Weaker (7)41.635.677.1+6.043%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A13/10
B League
76.0Avg total
37.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.076.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.838.575.3-1.742%-
Last 30 away (18)39.837.777.5+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.576.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.873.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.440.777.1-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.739.478.1-0.740%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.073.4+7.488%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.1
46.2%
51.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.3
35.2%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
72.7%11.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.7
49.2%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.410.2
58.6%
72.7%10.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LWWLWLWWWL
Saga
WWWLLLWLWL
#14
League position
#18
+2.7
Net rating
+0.8
102.2
Offensive rating
104.9
99.5
Defensive rating
104.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.2%
3-point %
35.3%
73.7%
Assist %
72.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 104.9Defence99.5 · 104.0Shooting49.1% · 50.8%3-point %35.2% · 35.3%Ball care21.3% · 15.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 28.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Akita   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Akita wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Saga v Akita70-64
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya71-78
12/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-65
06/10/24ABrave Thunders89-68
05/10/24ABrave Thunders73-81
05/05/24HChiba93-88 OT
04/05/24HChiba72-88
28/04/24HHokkaido65-54
27/04/24HHokkaido73-65
21/04/24AGunma101-72
20/04/24AGunma59-89
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AHiroshima D.90-81
12/10/24AHiroshima D.81-64
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52
20/04/24AKyoto87-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
Home--
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %50%-50%
Points / game77.5-77.5
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential+4.5-+4.5
Avg total150.5-150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
Home--
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %75%-75%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game71.5-71.5
Point differential+2.5-+2.5
Avg total145.5-145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%-25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka440100%85.068.8+16.2
2 Shimane440100%79.564.5+15.0
3 Alvark440100%83.569.2+14.2
4 Ryukyu43175%87.073.5+13.5
5 Chiba43175%83.873.2+10.5
6 Diamond Dolphins43175%82.072.5+9.5
7 Kyoto43175%74.567.8+6.8
8 Nagasaki43175%69.063.8+5.2
9 NeoPhoenix43175%84.079.2+4.8
10 Saga43175%74.071.5+2.5
11 Yokohama53260%76.878.2-1.4
12 Gunma42250%76.870.2+6.5
13 Akita42250%77.573.0+4.5
14 Utsunomiya Brex42250%82.281.5+0.8
15 SeaHorses Mikawa42250%73.072.5+0.5
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya42250%67.269.2-2.0
17 Ibaraki Robots41325%68.078.2-10.2
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41325%66.079.5-13.5
19 Brave Thunders51420%75.685.0-9.4
20 Sendai4040%70.576.2-5.8
21 Shiga4040%76.889.5-12.8
22 Hokkaido4040%62.077.2-15.2
23 Hiroshima D.4040%67.283.0-15.8
24 Koshigaya Alphas4040%63.285.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita174172361
Saga2023121570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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