PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Akita vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 78-69
31-22 12-15 6-21 29-11
Position#14
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.3
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#20
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game85.5
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akita v Koshigaya Alphas
12 Apr 2026
AKIT87
KOSH85
11 Apr 2026
AKIT94
KOSH85
23 Oct 2024
AKIT78
KOSH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
73-65
73
65
+8
70avg 68
H27/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
65-54
65
54
+11
61avg 68
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
62avg 68
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
83avg 68
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-68
89
68
+21
85avg 68
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 68
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-70
61
70
-9
52avg 68
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
70avg 68
H20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
20-25
15-7
16-16
16-17
16-9
17-10
16-18
15-27
20-15
19-27
18-19
26-23
28-14
7-22
12-14
20-16
13-25
17-20
23-20
18-12
27-12
20-24
24-20
19-15
18-15
19-16
21-19
15-24
17-12
13-19
26-23
17-20
4-23
17-12
23-15
25-16
16-17
18-14
15-25
147.7Avg total
74.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.272.3146.5+1.850%
Season at home (2)67.571.0138.5-3.550%
Season away (4)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)74.872.9147.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)74.470.6145.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.081.3152.3-10.330%
vs Similar (15)76.374.1150.4+2.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.272.4148.6+3.860%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
91avg 78
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 78
A12/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
81avg 78
A18/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 78
A19/05
B2.League
Alvark
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
47avg 78
A05/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
68avg 78
A06/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
58avg 78
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
52avg 78
H13/10
B League
Shimane
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 78
H19/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 78
H20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-16
21-29
14-14
17-19
22-14
16-16
20-23
21-26
25-18
17-21
16-14
25-27
22-25
19-19
21-18
15-16
7-15
18-20
17-24
19-24
18-28
14-22
21-17
15-24
10-19
15-21
25-23
16-14
14-25
11-20
18-28
22-18
20-27
24-9
22-27
14-23
18-27
21-18
22-24
162.5Avg total
76.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.385.5154.8-16.217%
Season at home (4)71.886.8158.5-15.025%
Season away (2)64.583.0147.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)76.286.3162.5-10.130%
Last 5 (5)71.887.6159.4-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.084.8159.8-9.830%
vs Similar (5)80.084.8164.8-4.820%
vs Weaker (15)87.576.5164.1+11.073%
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
AkitaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/04
B League
Chiba
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H04/05
B League
Chiba
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H05/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A06/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/10
B League
72.6Avg total
37.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.577.0-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.876.3-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.472.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.268.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.542.579.0-6.010%-
vs Similar (15)39.637.176.7+2.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.835.073.8+3.840%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A19/05
B2.League
Alvark
#4
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A05/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H13/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H20/10
B League
79.9Avg total
36.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.083.2+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.481.3+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.785.1-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.079.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.245.879.0-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.643.479.0-7.820%-
vs Similar (5)42.243.485.6-1.240%-
vs Weaker (15)46.638.785.3+7.967%-
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.814.9
44.1%
51.2%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.0
36.3%
33.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
72.7%11.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.2
49.9%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
33.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
72.7%13.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLWWLWLWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLLLLLLWW
#14
League position
#20
+3.0
Net rating
-13.7
101.7
Offensive rating
98.0
98.7
Defensive rating
111.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
21.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.3%
3-point %
31.3%
75.7%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 98.0Defence98.7 · 111.7Shooting49.0% · 48.8%3-point %36.3% · 31.3%Ball care21.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds34.5% · 27.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Akita   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akita wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HSaga74-72
19/10/24HSaga61-70
13/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya71-78
12/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-65
06/10/24ABrave Thunders89-68
05/10/24ABrave Thunders73-81
05/05/24HChiba93-88 OT
04/05/24HChiba72-88
28/04/24HHokkaido65-54
27/04/24HHokkaido73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HShimane75-92
19/10/24HShimane88-81
13/10/24HRyukyu59-87
12/10/24HRyukyu65-87
06/10/24AAlvark72-91
05/10/24AAlvark57-75
19/05/24AShiga87-89
18/05/24AShiga87-96 OT
12/05/24AAltiri Chiba75-72
11/05/24AAltiri Chiba97-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.267.577.5
Allowed / game72.371.073.0
Point differential+1.8-3.5+4.5
Avg total146.5138.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game69.371.864.5
Allowed / game85.586.883.0
Point differential-16.2-15.0-18.5
Avg total154.8158.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane65183%81.870.2+11.7
2 Chiba65183%82.572.3+10.2
3 Alvark65183%80.371.0+9.3
4 Ryukyu64267%89.575.8+13.7
5 Diamond Dolphins64267%85.075.2+9.8
6 Osaka64267%81.876.2+5.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%79.073.5+5.5
8 NeoPhoenix64267%80.877.5+3.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex64267%82.079.0+3.0
10 Nagasaki64267%71.068.2+2.8
11 Saga64267%73.070.2+2.8
12 Gunma63350%76.871.8+5.0
13 Akita63350%74.272.3+1.8
14 Kyoto63350%73.271.8+1.3
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya63350%69.569.0+0.5
16 Yokohama63350%77.579.8-2.3
17 Brave Thunders62433%77.784.3-6.7
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles62433%69.275.8-6.7
19 Ibaraki Robots62433%72.282.5-10.3
20 Hiroshima D.61517%67.780.0-12.3
21 Hokkaido61517%64.276.7-12.5
22 Shiga61517%78.091.2-13.2
23 Koshigaya Alphas61517%69.385.5-16.2
24 Sendai6060%71.778.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita311262978
Koshigaya Alphas2215211169
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.