PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shimane vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 04:35
Projected 84-82
Projected total 165.6
Final 83-69
21-24 22-15 17-21 23-9
Position#15
Record6-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.9
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Vs
57%
43%
■ SHIM 57%■ UTSU 43%
Pythia win probability
Utsunomiya Brex
Japan
Position#17
Record7-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.6
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shimane v Utsunomiya Brex
15 Nov 2026
SHIM83
UTSU69
07 Mar 2021
SHIM73
UTSU77
06 Mar 2021
SHIM68
UTSU72
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Shimane hosts Utsunomiya Brex on 15 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Shimane at 58% versus 42% for the Brex, projecting a close 84-82 finish and a total of 165.5 points. Shimane finished the season 6-8, scoring 84.1 points per game while allowing 81.6, and sit 17th in the league; at home they are 3-5, averaging 85.2 points and conceding 82.1. Their last five games yielded two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 95-74 victory over Brave Thunders on 11 November and a 108-75 win at home against Toyama on 9 November, before falling 73-74 to Hiroshima D. Utsunomiya Brex are 7-8 overall, 81.9 points per game and 83.6 points allowed, positioned 15th; on the road they are 2-4, scoring 83.0 and conceding 87.3. Their recent five games also include two wins and three losses, with a 94-70 win over Kyoto on 11 November and a 79-76 win over Ryukyu on 7 November, but a 71-106 loss to Alvark away on 1 November. In head-to-head history the Brex lead 6-4, most recently defeating Shimane 93-76 on 12 October 2025, and the game is expected to be decided by a narrow margin.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
57.0%fair 1.75
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winLost
43.0%fair 2.33
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
55avg 72
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
78-97
78
97
-19
66avg 72
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
80-69
80
69
+11
73avg 72
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 72
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
81avg 72
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 72
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
42avg 72
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
108-75
108
75
+33
no box
H09/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
no box
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-30
16-27
21-15
16-23
30-23
15-22
17-29
18-26
23-15
19-10
20-18
17-20
20-29
16-14
26-19
23-26
21-18
25-17
16-25
24-23
23-22
16-23
25-27
19-25
21-16
22-15
11-18
20-13
32-20
26-23
30-19
26-14
24-24
27-19
18-17
27-23
16-22
16-19
17-23
166.0Avg total
83.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.581.9165.5+1.640%
Season at home (9)84.282.7166.9+1.633%
Season away (6)82.580.8163.3+1.750%
Last 10 (10)83.182.9166.0+0.230%
Last 5 (5)88.081.0169.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.783.0154.7-11.30%
vs Similar (10)81.784.5166.2-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.279.1163.3+5.167%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Akita
#23
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 81
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
78avg 81
A17/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
79avg 81
H19/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
62avg 81
H21/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 81
H24/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 81
H26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 81
A31/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
71-106
71
106
-35
63avg 81
A01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
H07/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
H11/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
16-18
15-17
22-26
23-14
22-20
13-27
23-24
16-27
21-14
19-19
27-20
19-24
26-24
15-31
9-19
22-12
28-28
10-21
27-19
26-17
20-24
25-22
18-29
20-25
26-19
18-31
26-25
15-26
10-25
31-24
15-31
11-11
7-15
26-9
12-21
26-18
15-17
29-18
24-17
168.3Avg total
81.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.983.6165.5-1.747%
Season at home (9)81.281.1162.3+0.156%
Season away (6)83.087.3170.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)81.486.9168.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)84.688.8173.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.985.0165.9-4.150%
vs Similar (13)81.680.2161.8+1.446%
vs Weaker (7)84.475.7160.1+8.786%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165Actual: Under 165
Over 165
50.6%
Under 165
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170
Over 170
38.5%
Under 170
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175Actual: Under 175
Over 175
27.6%
Under 175
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Shimane total 81.5Actual: Shimane over 81.5
Over 81.5
58.7%
Under 81.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 85.5Actual: Shimane under 85.5
Over 85.5
43.2%
Under 85.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 89.5Actual: Shimane under 89.5
Over 89.5
28.9%
Under 89.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsunomiya Brex total 80.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex under 80.5
Over 80.5
54.6%
Under 80.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsunomiya Brex total 84.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex under 84.5
Over 84.5
39.4%
Under 84.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsunomiya Brex total 88.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex under 88.5
Over 88.5
25.8%
Under 88.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Shimane -3Actual: Shimane -3
SHIM -3
48.0%
UTSU +3
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
SHIM
No market prices yet.
UTSU
No market prices yet.
Spread Shimane 0Actual: Shimane 0
SHIM 0
57.0%
UTSU 0
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
SHIM
No market prices yet.
UTSU
No market prices yet.
Spread Shimane +3Actual: Shimane +3
SHIM +3
65.9%
UTSU -3
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
SHIM
No market prices yet.
UTSU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
ShimaneUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H09/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/11
B League
86.2Avg total
43.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.483.0-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.842.182.9-1.339%-
Last 30 away (12)40.342.883.1-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.086.2+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.486.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.343.179.4-6.818%-
vs Similar (10)42.342.384.6+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.141.685.7+2.644%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#23
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H21/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A31/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H07/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H11/11
B League
78.6Avg total
38.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.780.2+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.478.9+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)42.939.182.0+3.885%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.978.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.474.6-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.540.679.1-2.150%-
vs Similar (13)42.537.780.2+4.877%-
vs Weaker (7)44.137.982.0+6.386%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.610.4
71.2%
73.8%10.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.9
56.1%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.8
33.3%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.3%
73.8%12.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LWWLLLLWLL
Utsunomiya Brex
WWLLLWLWLL
#15
League position
#17
-5.9
Net rating
-5.8
91.9
Offensive rating
98.4
97.8
Defensive rating
104.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.4%
3-point %
33.3%
62.7%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 98.4Defence97.8 · 104.2Shooting52.5% · 53.1%3-point %33.4% · 33.3%Ball care14.7% · 12.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Shimane   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shimane wins
6
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane93-76
11/10/25Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane101-81
03/11/24Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane83-78
02/11/24Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane72-58
24/12/23Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane60-76
23/12/23Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane83-68
19/03/23Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane61-73
18/03/23Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane60-70
26/12/21Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane70-95
25/12/21Utsunomiya Brex v Shimane81-64
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSendai76-87
11/11/26ABrave Thunders95-74
09/11/26HToyama108-75
01/11/26HHiroshima D.73-74
31/10/26HHiroshima D.88-95
26/10/26HSendai85-86
24/10/26AToyama79-82
19/10/26HBrave Thunders80-69
17/10/26AChiba78-97
10/10/26ARyukyu69-90
Utsunomiya Brexlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HKyoto94-70
07/11/26HRyukyu79-76 OT
01/11/26AAlvark71-106
31/10/26AAlvark90-100
26/10/26HBrave Thunders89-92
24/10/26HShinshu87-80
21/10/26HDiamond Dolphins69-98
19/10/26HGunma83-80
17/10/26ASendai81-85
11/10/26HAkita71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game83.584.282.5
Allowed / game81.982.780.8
Point differential+1.6+1.6+1.7
Avg total165.5166.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%56%33%
Points / game81.981.283.0
Allowed / game83.681.187.3
Point differential-1.7+0.1-4.3
Avg total165.5162.3170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1610662%96.794.6+2.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Utsunomiya Brex157847%81.983.6-1.7
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
18 Shimane156940%83.581.9+1.6
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
24 Akita1741324%83.491.5-8.2
25 Saga151147%77.894.9-17.1
26 Osaka161156%70.190.9-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane2122172383
Utsunomiya Brex241521969
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.