PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shinshu vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 76-80
22-25 20-24 17-16 17-15
Position#23
Record7-45
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#10
Record28-24
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.1
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Brave Thunders
04 Apr 2027
SHIN v BRAV
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
SHIN v BRAV
upcoming
14 Apr 2024
SHIN76
BRAV80
13 Apr 2024
SHIN82
BRAV90
06 Mar 2024
SHIN88
BRAV92
05 Apr 2023
SHIN71
BRAV76
05 Feb 2023
SHIN75
BRAV74
04 Feb 2023
SHIN77
BRAV79
25 Oct 2020
SHIN62
BRAV80
24 Oct 2020
SHIN72
BRAV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 65
A20/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 65
H23/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
70-78
70
78
-8
60avg 65
H24/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
58-65
58
65
-7
48avg 65
A27/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 65
H30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 65
H31/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
73avg 65
A06/04
B League
Gunma
#13
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
86avg 65
A07/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
84-66
84
66
+18
91avg 65
A10/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
83avg 65
H13/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
18-22
17-24
24-15
17-19
27-23
22-22
20-25
17-26
22-23
14-8
17-21
10-19
13-14
17-14
18-18
16-22
12-21
22-17
19-16
21-24
19-19
26-23
9-17
15-22
23-15
17-20
17-15
15-24
26-21
13-21
25-13
15-14
26-17
24-15
19-20
19-25
26-26
19-15
18-24
157.3Avg total
76.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)72.083.3155.4-11.313%
Season at home (27)72.182.9155.0-10.915%
Season away (25)72.083.8155.8-11.812%
Last 10 (10)76.680.7157.3-4.110%
Last 5 (5)81.882.8164.6-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)69.682.1151.7-12.57%
vs Similar (2)67.581.5149.0-14.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
101-78
101
78
+23
101avg 75
H20/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
74-65
74
65
+9
76avg 75
H23/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 75
H24/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 75
A27/03
B League
Chiba
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 75
A30/03
B League
Chiba
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
63avg 75
A31/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
52avg 75
H06/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
87-98
87
98
-11
85avg 75
H07/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-52
80
52
+28
77avg 75
H10/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 75
A13/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
24-21
19-18
29-19
21-14
11-20
21-17
21-14
23-23
15-22
21-19
19-23
16-15
21-22
18-17
20-9
11-25
29-27
17-22
20-17
28-19
11-27
7-24
25-25
16-20
13-21
14-30
17-23
11-31
19-26
24-19
33-22
23-9
16-17
25-14
16-12
25-19
26-26
15-19
24-18
159.8Avg total
79.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)80.378.1158.4+2.254%
Season at home (26)78.874.2153.0+4.658%
Season away (26)81.882.0163.8-0.150%
Last 10 (10)79.380.5159.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.684.2161.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.390.3175.7-5.033%
vs Similar (18)77.178.9155.9-1.839%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.076.3161.3+8.767%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
ShinshuBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H24/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A27/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H31/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/04
B League
Gunma
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H13/04
B League
79.2Avg total
37.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.243.278.4-8.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.743.779.5-8.013%-
Last 30 away (15)34.642.777.3-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.079.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.143.578.5-8.414%-
vs Similar (2)36.540.076.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/03
B League
Toyama
#24
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A27/03
B League
Chiba
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/03
B League
Chiba
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A31/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H06/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
30-57
30
57
-27
H07/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A13/04
B League
81.2Avg total
38.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.740.679.3-1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.842.282.0-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.481.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.080.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.045.790.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (18)36.741.077.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.240.782.9+1.656%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.0
51.6%
50.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.0
30.4%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.610.8
74.0%
72.0%10.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.415.2
51.7%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.0
34.3%
33.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
72.0%15.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LWLLLLLLLL
Brave Thunders
WWLLLLWLWW
#23
League position
#10
-5.2
Net rating
-1.3
101.2
Offensive rating
104.5
106.4
Defensive rating
105.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.4%
3-point %
34.3%
67.1%
Assist %
77.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 104.5Defence106.4 · 105.8Shooting48.9% · 51.5%3-point %30.4% · 34.3%Ball care19.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 22.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Shinshu   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shinshu wins
8
Brave Thunders wins
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HBrave Thunders82-90
10/04/24AYokohama84-66
07/04/24AGunma85-89 OT
06/04/24AGunma83-86 OT
31/03/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles75-83
30/03/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles69-76
27/03/24ASun Rockers Shibuya58-65
24/03/24HOsaka70-78
23/03/24HOsaka86-89
20/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AShinshu90-82
10/04/24HSun Rockers Shibuya80-52
07/04/24HHiroshima D.87-98
06/04/24HHiroshima D.60-94
31/03/24AChiba71-95
30/03/24AChiba77-91
27/03/24AToyama75-63
24/03/24HSaga78-87
23/03/24HSaga74-65
20/03/24HNeoPhoenix101-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL13%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522725
Win %13%15%12%
Points / game72.072.172.0
Allowed / game83.382.983.8
Point differential-11.3-10.9-11.8
Avg total155.4155.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+2%0%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game80.378.881.8
Allowed / game78.174.282.0
Point differential+2.2+4.6-0.1
Avg total158.4153.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)0% (2)56% (9)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5244885%81.469.5+11.9
2 Alvark52421081%81.669.7+11.9
3 NeoPhoenix52421081%90.279.0+11.1
4 Ryukyu53381572%82.477.2+5.2
5 Diamond Dolphins52351767%84.179.5+4.6
6 Chiba52322062%84.981.4+3.5
7 Shimane53312258%83.078.3+4.8
8 Hiroshima D.52302258%79.473.7+5.7
9 SeaHorses Mikawa52302258%80.476.4+4.0
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya52292356%75.274.4+0.8
11 Brave Thunders52282454%80.378.1+2.2
12 Gunma52282454%79.781.1-1.4
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52272552%75.075.2-0.2
14 Saga53272651%74.874.5+0.3
15 Akita52252748%73.574.8-1.2
16 Sendai52232944%78.680.6-2.0
17 Yokohama52223042%77.682.1-4.5
18 Nagasaki53223142%80.583.6-3.1
19 Osaka52213140%79.083.0-4.1
20 Hokkaido52163631%75.782.1-6.5
21 Kyoto52143827%76.884.4-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots5294317%76.186.4-10.4
23 Shinshu5274513%72.083.3-11.3
24 Toyama524488%72.886.7-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2220171776
Brave Thunders2524161580
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.