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Shinshu vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 69-76
16-22 12-21 22-17 19-16
Position#23
Record6-40
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#11
Record22-24
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game75.1
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
31 Mar 2024
SHIN75
NAGO83
30 Mar 2024
SHIN69
NAGO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 64
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 64
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 64
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
75avg 64
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
50-74
50
74
-24
41avg 64
A03/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 64
H06/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 64
A20/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 64
H23/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
70-78
70
78
-8
60avg 64
H24/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
58-65
58
65
-7
48avg 64
A27/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
14-15
18-23
20-14
16-27
22-28
18-20
15-24
19-24
22-21
22-32
14-16
25-25
17-12
12-20
14-24
7-18
23-16
20-32
24-26
21-18
15-24
18-22
17-24
24-15
17-19
27-23
22-22
20-25
17-26
22-23
14-8
17-21
10-19
13-14
17-14
18-18
153.5Avg total
70.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)71.083.6154.6-12.513%
Season at home (24)71.782.9154.6-11.217%
Season away (22)70.484.3154.6-13.99%
Last 10 (10)70.982.6153.5-11.70%
Last 5 (5)75.281.8157.0-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)68.583.8152.4-15.34%
vs Similar (2)67.581.5149.0-14.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 65
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
100avg 65
A10/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 65
A11/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 65
H02/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-50
74
50
+24
70avg 65
H03/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 65
A06/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 65
A20/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 65
H23/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
75-97
75
97
-22
59avg 65
H24/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
80-64
80
64
+16
75avg 65
H27/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
25-25
21-24
25-23
29-24
24-20
19-20
22-8
30-24
18-24
14-13
18-12
21-22
32-22
16-14
25-25
12-17
20-12
24-14
18-7
19-16
22-26
16-14
20-14
16-19
19-22
12-13
18-18
15-22
14-20
23-20
24-20
23-19
22-28
15-25
15-25
22-24
16-8
20-16
22-16
156.2Avg total
80.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)73.775.1148.7-1.448%
Season at home (25)73.274.4147.7-1.248%
Season away (21)74.175.8150.0-1.748%
Last 10 (10)80.475.8156.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)74.677.0151.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
vs Similar (20)72.174.2146.3-2.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.467.6145.0+9.880%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
ShinshuNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A03/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H06/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H24/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A27/03
B League
78.7Avg total
35.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.644.179.7-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.543.980.4-7.414%-
Last 30 away (16)34.844.279.1-9.419%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.578.7-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.680.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.544.479.9-8.914%-
vs Similar (2)36.540.076.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A10/02
B League
Saga
#15
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A11/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H02/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H03/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H23/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H27/03
B League
83.4Avg total
41.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.076.8-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.036.973.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)38.841.380.1-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.783.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.878.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.448.085.4-10.60%-
vs Similar (20)37.237.574.8-0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.635.676.2+5.080%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.2
52.8%
50.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.89.2
28.0%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.210.2
71.8%
72.0%10.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.0
51.9%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.7
67.3%
72.0%10.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLLLLLL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLLLWWWWWL
#23
League position
#11
-15.7
Net rating
+6.4
98.4
Offensive rating
106.2
114.1
Defensive rating
99.8
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.0%
3-point %
31.7%
67.7%
Assist %
59.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 106.2Defence114.1 · 99.8Shooting47.2% · 50.2%3-point %28.0% · 31.7%Ball care19.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 33.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Shinshu   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shinshu wins
3
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24ASun Rockers Shibuya58-65
24/03/24HOsaka70-78
23/03/24HOsaka86-89
20/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa74-85
06/03/24HBrave Thunders88-92
03/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles50-74
02/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-94
11/02/24HHiroshima D.74-96
10/02/24HHiroshima D.68-79
07/02/24HSaga58-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HYokohama80-64
24/03/24HShimane75-97
23/03/24HShimane76-82
20/03/24ASun Rockers Shibuya65-72
06/03/24AOsaka77-70
03/03/24HShinshu74-50
02/03/24HShinshu94-83
11/02/24ASaga80-73
10/02/24ASaga94-72
07/02/24HNeoPhoenix89-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %13%17%9%
Points / game71.071.770.4
Allowed / game83.682.984.3
Point differential-12.5-11.2-13.9
Avg total154.6154.6154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWWLLW48%
AwayLWWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %48%48%48%
Points / game73.773.274.1
Allowed / game75.174.475.8
Point differential-1.4-1.2-1.7
Avg total148.7147.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4639785%81.068.8+12.2
2 Alvark4637980%82.570.0+12.5
3 NeoPhoenix4637980%89.879.2+10.6
4 Ryukyu46331372%82.076.6+5.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa46291763%81.476.3+5.0
6 Diamond Dolphins46291763%82.479.2+3.2
7 Chiba46291763%84.882.0+2.8
8 Shimane46271959%83.978.4+5.5
9 Brave Thunders46262057%80.777.2+3.5
10 Gunma46262057%79.680.2-0.6
11 Hiroshima D.46252154%78.774.0+4.6
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya46242252%75.374.4+0.9
13 Saga46242252%75.074.7+0.3
14 Akita46242252%74.274.6-0.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles46222448%73.775.1-1.4
16 Yokohama46212546%77.481.5-4.1
17 Sendai46202643%78.480.2-1.8
18 Nagasaki46182839%80.885.0-4.2
19 Osaka46182839%77.882.0-4.2
20 Hokkaido46133328%75.281.8-6.7
21 Kyoto46133328%76.784.4-7.7
22 Ibaraki Robots4683817%75.286.1-10.9
23 Shinshu4664013%71.083.6-12.5
24 Toyama464429%73.585.5-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1612221969
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2221171676
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