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Shinshu vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 88-92
23-16 20-32 24-26 21-18
Position#23
Record6-35
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#10
Record22-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.3
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Brave Thunders
04 Apr 2027
SHIN v BRAV
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
SHIN v BRAV
upcoming
14 Apr 2024
SHIN76
BRAV80
13 Apr 2024
SHIN82
BRAV90
06 Mar 2024
SHIN88
BRAV92
05 Apr 2023
SHIN71
BRAV76
05 Feb 2023
SHIN75
BRAV74
04 Feb 2023
SHIN77
BRAV79
25 Oct 2020
SHIN62
BRAV80
24 Oct 2020
SHIN72
BRAV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 63
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
56-90
56
90
-34
45avg 63
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 63
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 63
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 63
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 63
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 63
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 63
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
75avg 63
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
50-74
50
74
-24
41avg 63
A03/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-14
20-21
20-16
16-24
18-20
11-21
11-25
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
14-15
18-23
20-14
16-27
22-28
18-20
15-24
19-24
22-21
22-32
14-16
25-25
17-12
12-20
14-24
7-18
149.3Avg total
67.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)70.583.8154.3-13.215%
Season at home (21)70.382.4152.7-12.119%
Season away (20)70.885.2156.0-14.410%
Last 10 (10)67.382.0149.3-14.710%
Last 5 (5)66.683.4150.0-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)66.883.7150.5-16.94%
vs Similar (4)70.582.8153.2-12.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
90avg 74
H26/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 74
H27/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 74
H31/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
77-81
77
81
-4
72avg 74
A03/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
101-64
101
64
+37
98avg 74
A04/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 74
H07/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 74
H10/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 74
H11/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
83-67
83
67
+16
80avg 74
H02/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
73-84
73
84
-11
71avg 74
H03/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
23-20
19-12
13-17
25-12
16-25
25-18
14-12
20-22
19-21
13-16
21-20
15-21
18-16
13-24
31-20
33-10
29-23
19-18
20-13
19-19
14-26
21-24
21-18
24-22
23-31
18-16
16-16
21-16
23-21
22-22
27-14
24-23
17-13
26-14
16-17
7-30
10-15
27-15
29-24
157.9Avg total
82.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)80.377.3157.6+3.054%
Season at home (20)78.572.8151.2+5.760%
Season away (21)82.081.5163.6+0.548%
Last 10 (10)82.375.6157.9+6.750%
Last 5 (5)81.079.2160.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.289.0172.2-5.820%
vs Similar (13)78.174.0152.1+4.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.377.2157.6+3.142%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
ShinshuBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A03/03
B League
77.6Avg total
35.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.343.678.9-8.417%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.043.078.0-8.08%-
Last 30 away (17)35.544.179.6-8.624%-
Last 10 (10)35.642.077.6-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.477.4-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.044.079.0-9.012%-
vs Similar (4)37.241.278.5-4.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H26/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A04/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H10/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H02/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
17-45
17
45
-28
H03/03
B League
81.8Avg total
41.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.079.2-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.038.676.6-0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.682.2-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.681.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.279.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.046.691.6-1.640%-
vs Similar (13)37.838.876.5-1.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.438.576.9-0.150%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.4
51.4%
50.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.5
28.5%
33.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws11.87.9
66.9%
72.0%7.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.6
52.4%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.2
36.3%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.216.1
79.7%
72.0%16.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLLLLLW
Brave Thunders
LWWLLWLLWW
#23
League position
#10
-21.5
Net rating
+10.5
93.4
Offensive rating
115.2
114.9
Defensive rating
104.6
47.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
20.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.5%
3-point %
36.3%
70.3%
Assist %
78.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 115.2Defence114.9 · 104.6Shooting47.2% · 53.3%3-point %28.5% · 36.3%Ball care20.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Shinshu   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shinshu wins
6
Brave Thunders wins
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles50-74
02/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-94
11/02/24HHiroshima D.74-96
10/02/24HHiroshima D.68-79
07/02/24HSaga58-74
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
28/01/24AHokkaido56-90
27/01/24AHokkaido79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HYokohama73-84
02/03/24HYokohama83-67
11/02/24HIbaraki Robots93-73
10/02/24HIbaraki Robots81-85
07/02/24HRyukyu75-87
04/02/24AKyoto101-64
03/02/24AKyoto77-81
31/01/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-79
27/01/24HAkita80-67
26/01/24HAkita87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %15%19%10%
Points / game70.570.370.8
Allowed / game83.882.485.2
Point differential-13.2-12.1-14.4
Avg total154.3152.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayLLLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %54%60%48%
Points / game80.378.582.0
Allowed / game77.372.881.5
Point differential+3.0+5.7+0.5
Avg total157.6151.2163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (2)50% (8)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4235783%79.768.4+11.3
2 Alvark4234881%82.369.8+12.6
3 NeoPhoenix4234881%89.878.6+11.3
4 Ryukyu41291271%81.677.0+4.6
5 Diamond Dolphins42281467%82.378.5+3.8
6 Chiba42271564%85.782.0+3.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa42261662%81.476.5+4.9
8 Shimane42241857%83.778.6+5.1
9 Gunma42241857%79.480.4-1.0
10 Brave Thunders41221954%80.377.3+3.0
11 Hiroshima D.42222052%78.974.1+4.8
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya42222052%75.474.3+1.1
13 Akita42222052%74.474.1+0.2
14 Saga42212150%75.075.0+0.0
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles42212150%73.674.7-1.1
16 Yokohama42192345%77.081.9-4.9
17 Sendai42182443%78.480.0-1.5
18 Nagasaki42172540%81.585.2-3.7
19 Osaka42152736%77.482.4-5.0
20 Kyoto41132832%77.684.3-6.7
21 Hokkaido42123029%74.681.1-6.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4273517%74.285.4-11.2
23 Shinshu4163515%70.583.8-13.2
24 Toyama4243810%74.085.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2320242188
Brave Thunders1632261892
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