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Brave Thunders vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 78-87
23-23 15-22 21-19 19-23
Position#10
Record25-19
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record22-22
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena (Kawasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Saga
13 Nov 2026
BRAV v SAGA
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
BRAV84
SAGA91
26 Dec 2025
BRAV73
SAGA82
24 Mar 2024
BRAV78
SAGA87
23 Mar 2024
BRAV74
SAGA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
L
77-81
77
81
-4
72avg 75
A03/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
101-64
101
64
+37
98avg 75
A04/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 75
H07/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 75
H10/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 75
H11/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
83-67
83
67
+16
80avg 75
H02/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
73-84
73
84
-11
71avg 75
H03/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-88
92
88
+4
91avg 75
A06/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
101-78
101
78
+23
101avg 75
H20/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
74-65
74
65
+9
76avg 75
H23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
18-16
13-24
31-20
33-10
29-23
19-18
20-13
19-19
14-26
21-24
21-18
24-22
23-31
18-16
16-16
21-16
23-21
22-22
27-14
24-23
17-13
26-14
16-17
7-30
10-15
27-15
29-24
16-23
32-20
26-24
18-21
29-20
24-21
19-18
29-19
21-14
11-20
21-17
21-14
162.2Avg total
85.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)80.977.2158.1+3.657%
Season at home (22)79.372.7152.0+6.664%
Season away (22)82.581.8164.3+0.750%
Last 10 (10)85.077.2162.2+7.860%
Last 5 (5)84.676.4161.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.287.2173.3-1.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.875.2153.1+2.650%
vs Weaker (12)81.879.7161.4+2.142%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 67
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 67
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 67
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 67
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 67
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
76avg 67
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 67
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 67
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 67
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 67
A23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
24-30
24-18
13-14
12-18
27-8
13-13
20-14
21-17
19-16
19-25
27-21
22-10
17-19
16-29
16-17
17-20
23-19
24-32
24-9
9-11
14-21
20-11
17-21
14-21
147.9Avg total
73.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)74.974.8149.7+0.050%
Season at home (23)73.676.9150.5-3.343%
Season away (21)76.372.6148.9+3.757%
Last 10 (10)73.574.4147.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)75.870.8146.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.389.3160.6-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.778.5150.3-6.836%
vs Weaker (12)82.963.9146.8+19.0100%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
Brave ThundersSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A04/02
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H10/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/02
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H02/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
17-45
17
45
-28
H03/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/03
B League
81.4Avg total
41.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.880.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.978.6-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.782.8-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.481.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.878.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.345.792.0+0.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.239.276.4-2.142%-
vs Weaker (12)39.439.979.3-0.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/03
B League
78.5Avg total
40.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.279.8-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)41.137.478.6+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.578.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.147.184.3-10.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.940.479.3-1.536%-
vs Weaker (12)43.432.876.2+10.683%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.4
54.2%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.4
38.5%
33.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
72.0%15.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.4
52.4%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.89.8
58.3%
72.0%9.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
WWWLWWLLWL
Saga
LWLWWLLWLL
#10
League position
#15
+11.3
Net rating
-1.4
115.9
Offensive rating
101.5
104.6
Defensive rating
102.9
55.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.5%
3-point %
33.0%
80.2%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 101.5Defence104.6 · 102.9Shooting55.9% · 51.1%3-point %38.5% · 33.0%Ball care15.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds25.5% · 24.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brave Thunders wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga74-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HSaga74-65
20/03/24HNeoPhoenix101-78
06/03/24AShinshu92-88
03/03/24HYokohama73-84
02/03/24HYokohama83-67
11/02/24HIbaraki Robots93-73
10/02/24HIbaraki Robots81-85
07/02/24HRyukyu75-87
04/02/24AKyoto101-64
03/02/24AKyoto77-81
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ABrave Thunders65-74
20/03/24ANagasaki80-71
06/03/24HHiroshima D.66-85
03/03/24AHokkaido87-72
02/03/24AHokkaido81-52
11/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game80.979.382.5
Allowed / game77.272.781.8
Point differential+3.6+6.6+0.7
Avg total158.1152.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)0% (2)56% (9)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %50%43%57%
Points / game74.973.676.3
Allowed / game74.876.972.6
Point differential+0.0-3.3+3.7
Avg total149.7150.5148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4538784%80.868.8+12.0
2 Alvark4536980%82.270.0+12.2
3 NeoPhoenix4536980%89.579.1+10.4
4 Ryukyu44311370%82.277.2+5.0
5 SeaHorses Mikawa45291664%81.375.8+5.6
6 Chiba45291664%85.181.7+3.4
7 Diamond Dolphins45281762%82.279.2+3.1
8 Shimane45271860%84.478.7+5.6
9 Gunma45261958%79.980.1-0.2
10 Brave Thunders44251957%80.977.2+3.6
11 Hiroshima D.45252056%78.973.9+5.0
12 Akita44232152%74.274.6-0.3
13 Sun Rockers Shibuya45232251%75.574.8+0.8
14 Saga44222250%74.974.8+0.0
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45212447%73.575.3-1.8
16 Yokohama45212447%77.781.5-3.8
17 Sendai45192642%78.480.4-2.0
18 Nagasaki45182740%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka45172838%77.782.3-4.6
20 Hokkaido45133229%75.381.5-6.2
21 Kyoto45133229%76.684.3-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4583718%75.286.2-11.0
23 Shinshu4563913%71.384.0-12.6
24 Toyama454419%73.785.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders2315211978
Saga2322192387
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