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Shinshu vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 86-89
17-19 27-23 22-22 20-25
Position#23
Record6-37
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Osaka 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record15-28
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game82.5
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Osaka
13 Dec 2026
SHIN v OSAK
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
SHIN v OSAK
upcoming
24 Mar 2024
SHIN70
OSAK78
23 Mar 2024
SHIN86
OSAK89
30 Jan 2022
SHIN87
OSAK83
29 Jan 2022
SHIN89
OSAK79
20 Dec 2020
SHIN58
OSAK68
19 Dec 2020
SHIN70
OSAK77
02 Dec 2020
SHIN73
OSAK66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 64
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 64
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 64
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 64
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 64
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 64
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
75avg 64
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
50-74
50
74
-24
41avg 64
A03/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 64
H06/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 64
A20/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
14-15
18-23
20-14
16-27
22-28
18-20
15-24
19-24
22-21
22-32
14-16
25-25
17-12
12-20
14-24
7-18
23-16
20-32
24-26
21-18
15-24
18-22
17-24
24-15
153.4Avg total
70.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)71.084.0155.0-13.014%
Season at home (22)71.182.9154.0-11.818%
Season away (21)71.085.2156.1-14.210%
Last 10 (10)70.083.4153.4-13.40%
Last 5 (5)73.888.2162.0-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)68.184.4152.5-16.34%
vs Similar (3)73.385.7159.0-12.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
71avg 71
A31/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
63avg 71
H03/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 71
H04/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H07/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 71
A10/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
80-89
80
89
-9
73avg 71
A11/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
55avg 71
A01/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
86avg 71
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
55avg 71
H06/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 71
A20/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-15
19-29
17-21
9-28
24-27
25-24
19-18
19-23
25-22
12-27
21-17
17-26
16-13
23-24
20-13
17-14
23-21
13-18
14-21
19-21
21-31
17-26
23-11
14-24
16-17
17-20
14-12
22-17
26-19
20-21
20-18
16-19
26-22
14-16
14-20
16-26
22-18
21-22
20-22
159.6Avg total
76.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)77.482.5159.9-5.135%
Season at home (22)80.081.5161.5-1.550%
Season away (21)74.783.5158.2-8.819%
Last 10 (10)76.383.3159.6-7.020%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)71.484.6156.0-13.25%
vs Similar (9)82.482.4164.9+0.056%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
ShinshuOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A03/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H06/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/03
B League
79.3Avg total
35.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.944.280.0-8.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.643.478.9-7.87%-
Last 30 away (16)36.144.981.0-8.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.943.479.3-7.50%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.483.2-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.544.580.0-9.011%-
vs Similar (3)39.041.080.0-2.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H03/02
B League
Chiba
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H07/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A20/03
B League
81.3Avg total
38.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.381.2-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.142.580.6-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.844.181.8-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.481.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.882.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.744.180.8-7.424%-
vs Similar (9)40.741.682.2-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.9
54.8%
50.9%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.89.7
28.7%
33.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws12.08.2
68.3%
72.0%8.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.7
50.1%
50.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.8
33.2%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.3
66.1%
72.0%12.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLLLLLL
Osaka
LLWLLLWLLL
#23
League position
#18
-18.8
Net rating
-11.2
96.3
Offensive rating
102.8
115.1
Defensive rating
114.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.7%
3-point %
33.2%
74.2%
Assist %
62.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 102.8Defence115.1 · 114.0Shooting48.5% · 50.0%3-point %28.7% · 33.2%Ball care20.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Shinshu   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shinshu wins
4
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
16/10/22Osaka v Shinshu63-79
15/10/22Osaka v Shinshu63-57
30/01/22Shinshu v Osaka87-83
29/01/22Shinshu v Osaka89-79
24/10/21Osaka v Shinshu79-95
23/10/21Osaka v Shinshu82-85
03/03/21Osaka v Shinshu86-79
20/12/20Shinshu v Osaka58-68
19/12/20Shinshu v Osaka70-77
02/12/20Shinshu v Osaka73-66
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa74-85
06/03/24HBrave Thunders88-92
03/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles50-74
02/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-94
11/02/24HHiroshima D.74-96
10/02/24HHiroshima D.68-79
07/02/24HSaga58-74
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ARyukyu79-88
06/03/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles70-77
02/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa88-75
01/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa61-73
11/02/24AGunma80-89
10/02/24AGunma67-74
07/02/24HKyoto87-85 OT
04/02/24HChiba77-89
03/02/24HChiba77-97
31/01/24ADiamond Dolphins77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %14%18%10%
Points / game71.071.171.0
Allowed / game84.082.985.2
Point differential-13.0-11.8-14.2
Avg total155.0154.0156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %35%50%19%
Points / game77.480.074.7
Allowed / game82.581.583.5
Point differential-5.1-1.5-8.8
Avg total159.9161.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)57% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4336784%79.968.3+11.7
2 Alvark4335881%82.570.2+12.3
3 NeoPhoenix4334979%89.679.1+10.5
4 Ryukyu43311272%82.377.1+5.2
5 Chiba43281565%86.082.0+4.0
6 Diamond Dolphins43281565%82.579.0+3.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa43271663%81.576.4+5.0
8 Shimane43251858%84.178.9+5.3
9 Brave Thunders43241956%81.077.5+3.5
10 Gunma43241956%79.680.6-1.0
11 Hiroshima D.43232053%78.873.8+5.0
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya43232053%75.374.1+1.2
13 Saga43222151%75.174.9+0.3
14 Akita43222151%74.174.5-0.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles43212249%73.474.7-1.2
16 Yokohama43202347%77.181.6-4.4
17 Sendai43192444%78.379.5-1.3
18 Nagasaki43172640%81.285.0-3.8
19 Osaka43152835%77.482.5-5.1
20 Kyoto43133030%77.284.6-7.3
21 Hokkaido43123128%74.380.9-6.6
22 Ibaraki Robots4373616%74.485.7-11.3
23 Shinshu4363714%71.084.0-13.0
24 Toyama434399%73.985.7-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1727222086
Osaka1923222589
← all games of the day
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