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Nara vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 56-81
13-24 19-19 12-18 12-20
Position#11
Record1-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#9
Record6-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.4
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Shizuoka
15 Dec 2024
NARA76
SHIZ79
14 Dec 2024
NARA67
SHIZ82
12 Nov 2023
NARA86
SHIZ70
11 Nov 2023
NARA56
SHIZ81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 59
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 59
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
58-96
58
96
-38
48avg 59
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
48avg 59
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 59
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 59
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 59
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 59
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
55avg 59
H05/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-24
19-24
12-16
13-17
11-20
27-22
15-18
17-25
10-19
19-24
12-28
16-26
18-21
22-21
10-28
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
17-18
12-20
15-18
24-18
15-21
22-14
18-15
17-24
20-22
18-12
21-21
17-15
15-19
14-23
20-22
19-16
149.2Avg total
69.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.081.5151.5-11.59%
Season at home (6)68.784.5153.2-15.817%
Season away (5)71.678.0149.6-6.40%
Last 10 (10)69.080.2149.2-11.210%
Last 5 (5)69.272.4141.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)67.782.9150.6-15.25%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.083.1158.1-8.122%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 74
H06/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 74
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 74
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
57avg 74
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
71-67
71
67
+4
67avg 74
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
91avg 74
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 74
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 74
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 74
H04/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
no box
H05/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-19
27-20
23-30
26-29
27-12
17-20
21-14
16-16
18-11
19-16
19-27
15-18
15-22
19-19
15-15
25-19
17-14
17-19
12-15
30-21
31-13
18-17
20-21
17-13
18-14
18-16
28-16
22-24
26-21
13-11
24-11
18-23
24-20
13-22
19-23
19-20
21-18
13-21
22-16
155.0Avg total
80.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.076.4157.4+4.655%
Season at home (9)84.077.7161.7+6.356%
Season away (2)67.570.5138.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.274.8155.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)84.475.0159.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.674.0155.6+7.657%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
NaraShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H05/11
B2.League
73.0Avg total
32.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.140.073.1-6.931%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.839.671.4-7.825%-
Last 30 away (13)34.740.475.1-5.738%-
Last 10 (10)32.840.273.0-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.269.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)31.241.472.6-10.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.236.974.1+0.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H06/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H05/11
B2.League
78.2Avg total
41.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)41.337.078.3+4.364%-
Last 30 at home (9)42.437.179.6+5.367%-
Last 30 away (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.578.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.482.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.736.977.6+3.957%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.5
46.7%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.9
28.5%
33.6%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
71.0%13.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.6
52.0%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws13.610.7
78.7%
71.0%10.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLLLLLLLL
Shizuoka
LLWWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#9
-18.3
Net rating
+8.9
94.2
Offensive rating
110.5
112.6
Defensive rating
101.6
45.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
28.5%
3-point %
35.6%
52.5%
Assist %
58.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 110.5Defence112.6 · 101.6Shooting45.4% · 52.6%3-point %28.5% · 35.6%Ball care18.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Nara   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
0
Shizuoka wins
No previous meetings.
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HYamagata Wyverns68-80
04/11/23HYamagata Wyverns76-70
28/10/23AFukuoka72-74
27/10/23AFukuoka68-74
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64
22/10/23HShiga78-88
21/10/23HShiga66-96
15/10/23HKobe58-96
14/10/23HKobe66-77
08/10/23AAltiri Chiba76-83
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-89 OT
04/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas74-88
29/10/23HFukushima85-67
28/10/23HFukushima81-59
25/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings99-72
22/10/23AIwate71-67
21/10/23AIwate64-74
15/10/23HNiigata72-70
14/10/23HNiigata91-75
06/10/23HKobe82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL9%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game70.068.771.6
Allowed / game81.584.578.0
Point differential-11.5-15.8-6.4
Avg total151.5153.2149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %55%56%50%
Points / game81.084.067.5
Allowed / game76.477.770.5
Point differential+4.6+6.3-3.0
Avg total157.4161.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka1110191%79.069.7+9.3
2 Altiri Chiba1210283%87.176.9+10.2
3 Koshigaya Alphas129375%86.373.5+12.8
4 Kumamoto128467%83.279.8+3.5
5 Kobe117464%80.276.8+3.4
6 Aomori117464%83.784.2-0.5
7 Shiga127558%83.176.2+6.8
8 Shizuoka116555%81.076.4+4.6
9 Yamagata Wyverns126650%81.282.4-1.2
10 Ehime Orange Vikings135838%76.882.5-5.7
11 Fukushima134931%81.485.2-3.8
12 Iwate111109%67.578.8-11.4
13 Nara111109%70.081.5-11.5
14 Niigata121118%69.185.3-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1319121256
Shizuoka2419182081
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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