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Shizuoka vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 75-62
17-27 25-14 15-11 18-10
Position#9
Record19-27
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#11
Record18-28
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game77.4
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shizuoka v Nara
20 Apr 2025
SHIZ81
NARA74
19 Apr 2025
SHIZ70
NARA75
15 Mar 2025
SHIZ93
NARA91
14 Mar 2025
SHIZ76
NARA83
10 Mar 2024
SHIZ75
NARA62
09 Mar 2024
SHIZ69
NARA70
21 Jan 2024
SHIZ75
NARA71
20 Jan 2024
SHIZ66
NARA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
83-100
83
100
-17
79avg 73
H04/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
82-100
82
100
-18
68avg 73
A10/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
63avg 73
A11/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 73
A17/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
93-98
93
98
-5
93avg 73
A18/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 73
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 73
H25/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
no box
A02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
82avg 73
A03/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
69-70
69
70
-1
62avg 73
H09/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
24-16
21-32
20-22
22-26
16-21
19-21
25-32
12-24
26-18
15-19
22-17
20-21
18-19
23-20
27-19
25-23
31-19
21-29
16-27
18-20
23-20
30-19
16-20
25-17
21-20
26-17
20-18
22-21
18-13
21-22
21-26
25-26
10-20
27-22
23-18
15-12
22-20
9-19
23-19
172.5Avg total
85.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)80.781.8162.5-1.241%
Season at home (24)80.978.8159.7+2.154%
Season away (22)80.585.2165.6-4.727%
Last 10 (10)85.587.0172.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)86.883.0169.8+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.093.7170.7-16.70%
vs Similar ◀ (23)81.782.2163.9-0.443%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 66
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 66
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
54avg 66
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
89avg 66
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 66
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 66
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
no box
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
91-75
91
75
+16
90avg 66
H02/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-78
64
78
-14
53avg 66
H03/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 66
A09/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
15-21
23-15
18-27
12-13
21-15
19-29
14-15
20-16
7-29
19-18
17-13
26-30
25-19
21-24
22-24
28-20
15-25
27-18
25-12
17-11
26-14
14-10
11-21
12-17
16-12
19-21
15-12
29-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
12-22
20-15
15-16
17-25
12-15
20-22
19-9
19-23
150.8Avg total
75.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)73.877.4151.2-3.739%
Season at home (22)75.679.9155.5-4.345%
Season away (24)72.175.1147.2-3.033%
Last 10 (10)75.974.9150.8+1.040%
Last 5 (5)72.669.8142.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.976.6149.5-3.736%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.675.9149.5-2.247%
vs Weaker (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
ShizuokaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A18/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H25/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A03/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/03
B2.League
81.7Avg total
41.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.479.6-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.538.276.7+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.382.2-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.681.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.746.184.9-7.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.438.778.0+0.752%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H02/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/03
B2.League
74.4Avg total
37.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.774.5-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.977.0-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)33.838.672.4-4.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.074.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.069.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.737.472.1-2.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.238.673.8-3.529%-
vs Weaker (2)47.047.094.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.1
52.9%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.8
38.0%
33.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.911.2
75.2%
71.0%11.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.6
50.5%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.2
34.4%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
71.0%13.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
LLLWWLWLLL
Nara
WLWLWWLLLL
#9
League position
#11
+0.3
Net rating
-0.4
114.5
Offensive rating
106.5
114.2
Defensive rating
106.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.0%
3-point %
34.4%
67.6%
Assist %
64.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 106.5Defence114.2 · 106.9Shooting54.5% · 50.9%3-point %38.0% · 34.4%Ball care14.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shizuoka wins
3
Nara wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Shizuoka v Nara69-70
21/01/24Shizuoka v Nara75-71
20/01/24Shizuoka v Nara66-75
12/11/23Nara v Shizuoka86-70
11/11/23Nara v Shizuoka56-81
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HNara69-70
03/03/24AKumamoto85-86
02/03/24AKumamoto101-108 OT
25/02/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-72
24/02/24HEhime Orange Vikings87-79
18/02/24AFukushima93-98
17/02/24AFukushima88-79
11/02/24AShiga75-78
10/02/24AShiga82-100
04/02/24HKumamoto83-100
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AShizuoka70-69
03/03/24HIwate64-78
02/03/24HIwate91-75
24/02/24AKobe70-71 OT
23/02/24AKobe68-56
18/02/24HNiigata95-75
17/02/24HNiigata94-97
10/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings63-76
09/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings66-72
04/02/24AYamagata Wyverns78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %41%54%27%
Points / game80.780.980.5
Allowed / game81.878.885.2
Point differential-1.2+2.1-4.7
Avg total162.5159.7165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)50% (6)22% (9)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW39%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %39%45%33%
Points / game73.875.672.1
Allowed / game77.479.975.1
Point differential-3.7-4.3-3.0
Avg total151.2155.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)60% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %7%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4643393%91.576.3+15.2
2 Shiga45331273%88.180.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka45311469%78.074.2+3.7
4 Kumamoto47311666%85.583.3+2.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas47272057%83.574.7+8.8
6 Aomori47262155%85.686.8-1.2
7 Yamagata Wyverns47222547%81.685.9-4.3
8 Kobe46192741%78.778.5+0.2
9 Shizuoka46192741%80.781.8-1.2
10 Fukushima47192840%81.384.7-3.4
11 Nara46182839%73.877.4-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings47163134%78.985.0-6.1
13 Iwate47153232%71.575.1-3.6
14 Niigata4764113%73.687.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka1725151875
Nara2714111062
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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