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Nara vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 86-70
18-17 26-17 20-13 22-23
Position#11
Record1-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game81.5
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#9
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Shizuoka
15 Dec 2024
NARA76
SHIZ79
14 Dec 2024
NARA67
SHIZ82
12 Nov 2023
NARA86
SHIZ70
11 Nov 2023
NARA56
SHIZ81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 57
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
58-96
58
96
-38
48avg 57
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
48avg 57
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 57
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 57
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 57
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 57
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
55avg 57
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
56-81
56
81
-25
41avg 57
H11/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
11-20
27-22
15-18
17-25
10-19
19-24
12-28
16-26
18-21
22-21
10-28
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
17-18
12-20
15-18
24-18
15-21
22-14
18-15
17-24
20-22
18-12
21-21
17-15
15-19
14-23
20-22
19-16
13-24
19-19
12-18
12-20
147.0Avg total
67.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)68.881.5150.3-12.78%
Season at home (7)66.984.0150.9-17.114%
Season away (5)71.678.0149.6-6.40%
Last 10 (10)67.080.0147.0-13.010%
Last 5 (5)68.075.8143.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.283.0150.2-15.85%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.182.9156.0-9.820%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 75
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 75
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
57avg 75
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
71-67
71
67
+4
67avg 75
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
91avg 75
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 75
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 75
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 75
H04/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
no box
H05/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
81-56
81
56
+25
79avg 75
A11/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
27-12
17-20
21-14
16-16
18-11
19-16
19-27
15-18
15-22
19-19
15-15
25-19
17-14
17-19
12-15
30-21
31-13
18-17
20-21
17-13
18-14
18-16
28-16
22-24
26-21
13-11
24-11
18-23
24-20
13-22
19-23
19-20
21-18
13-21
22-16
24-13
19-19
18-12
20-12
151.8Avg total
80.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.074.7155.7+6.358%
Season at home (9)84.077.7161.7+6.356%
Season away (3)72.065.7137.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)80.171.7151.8+8.470%
Last 5 (5)80.871.8152.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.571.8153.2+9.862%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
NaraShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/11
B2.League
71.7Avg total
31.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.840.072.8-7.131%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.839.871.6-8.024%-
Last 30 away (12)34.240.274.4-5.942%-
Last 10 (10)31.540.271.7-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.471.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.841.372.1-10.516%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.737.574.2-0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H05/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/11
B2.League
78.8Avg total
42.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)41.436.678.0+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (9)42.437.179.6+5.367%-
Last 30 away (3)38.335.073.3+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.078.8+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.078.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.036.277.2+4.862%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.2
47.8%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.4
25.0%
33.6%16.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
71.0%13.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.1
51.8%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.7
36.7%
33.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws13.610.6
77.9%
71.0%10.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LLWLLLLLLL
Shizuoka
WLLWWWWLWW
#11
League position
#9
-20.1
Net rating
+13.2
92.5
Offensive rating
112.0
112.7
Defensive rating
98.9
44.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.0%
3-point %
36.7%
52.5%
Assist %
57.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 112.0Defence112.7 · 98.9Shooting44.1% · 53.1%3-point %25.0% · 36.7%Ball care18.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Nara   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
1
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Nara v Shizuoka56-81
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HShizuoka56-81
05/11/23HYamagata Wyverns68-80
04/11/23HYamagata Wyverns76-70
28/10/23AFukuoka72-74
27/10/23AFukuoka68-74
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64
22/10/23HShiga78-88
21/10/23HShiga66-96
15/10/23HKobe58-96
14/10/23HKobe66-77
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ANara81-56
05/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-89 OT
04/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas74-88
29/10/23HFukushima85-67
28/10/23HFukushima81-59
25/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings99-72
22/10/23AIwate71-67
21/10/23AIwate64-74
15/10/23HNiigata72-70
14/10/23HNiigata91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL8%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game68.866.971.6
Allowed / game81.584.078.0
Point differential-12.7-17.1-6.4
Avg total150.3150.9149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %58%56%67%
Points / game81.084.072.0
Allowed / game74.777.765.7
Point differential+6.3+6.3+6.3
Avg total155.7161.7137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka1110191%79.069.7+9.3
2 Altiri Chiba1311285%87.276.4+10.8
3 Koshigaya Alphas1310377%87.072.4+14.6
4 Aomori117464%83.784.2-0.5
5 Shiga138562%82.674.7+7.9
6 Kobe138562%78.976.7+2.2
7 Kumamoto138562%81.480.9+0.5
8 Shizuoka127558%81.074.7+6.3
9 Yamagata Wyverns136746%80.382.8-2.5
10 Ehime Orange Vikings135838%76.882.5-5.7
11 Fukushima134931%81.485.2-3.8
12 Iwate1321115%68.877.8-9.0
13 Nara121118%68.881.5-12.7
14 Niigata131128%68.184.7-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1826202286
Shizuoka1717132370
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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