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Nara vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 67-82
14-25 19-21 15-11 19-25
Position#9
Record9-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#6
Record11-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.5
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Shizuoka
15 Dec 2024
NARA76
SHIZ79
14 Dec 2024
NARA67
SHIZ82
12 Nov 2023
NARA86
SHIZ70
11 Nov 2023
NARA56
SHIZ81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 69
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 69
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
48avg 69
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 69
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
48avg 69
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 69
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 69
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 69
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 69
A08/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
21-19
15-16
15-17
27-17
19-17
14-20
10-23
13-18
19-18
15-24
10-16
22-17
25-11
16-23
13-18
14-14
18-21
18-18
10-22
17-21
17-28
26-8
28-21
17-17
23-15
11-25
12-12
23-21
24-18
20-17
20-19
22-23
14-24
11-20
19-17
25-22
146.1Avg total
70.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.578.2154.7-1.743%
Season at home (11)74.079.5153.5-5.527%
Season away (10)79.276.8156.0+2.460%
Last 10 (10)70.875.3146.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)75.077.8152.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.576.4146.9-5.936%
vs Similar (10)84.081.1165.1+2.960%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
70avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
79avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
51avg 74
H16/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
76avg 74
H17/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-51
60
51
+9
49avg 74
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
72avg 74
A26/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
61avg 74
H30/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 74
H01/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
72-64
72
64
+8
69avg 74
A07/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
66-53
66
53
+13
63avg 74
A08/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
24-22
13-20
22-13
21-15
20-13
21-20
17-21
19-13
12-24
16-23
26-19
14-30
23-23
19-27
27-22
10-11
13-17
19-19
18-4
17-15
23-18
18-28
13-13
16-20
15-30
19-24
21-12
19-30
23-22
16-25
26-14
17-20
22-18
15-16
18-10
17-13
14-14
17-12
18-14
148.4Avg total
73.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.675.5151.0+0.152%
Season at home (10)79.782.4162.1-2.740%
Season away (11)71.869.2141.0+2.664%
Last 10 (10)73.375.1148.4-1.840%
Last 5 (5)72.873.6146.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.288.2162.5-14.00%
vs Similar (18)79.775.5155.2+4.272%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)72.867.0139.8+5.875%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +6.4+6.4
NaraShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/12
B2.League
73.2Avg total
35.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.578.6-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.578.3+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.573.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.138.274.3-2.143%-
vs Similar (10)42.240.582.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A10/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H17/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A25/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H30/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H01/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A08/12
B2.League
74.9Avg total
35.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.577.6-1.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.842.281.0-3.542%-
Last 30 away (18)37.637.775.3-0.267%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.574.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.076.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.647.483.0-11.812%-
vs Similar (18)39.236.976.2+2.372%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.535.573.0+2.075%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.217.5
41.5%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.4
35.7%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.912.8
64.3%
70.7%12.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.1
48.9%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.4
28.9%
32.9%16.2
🏀 Free throws17.811.7
65.7%
70.7%11.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLWLWLLWL
Shizuoka
WWLLLWLLWL
#9
League position
#6
-5.5
Net rating
-3.3
94.2
Offensive rating
98.0
99.8
Defensive rating
101.3
45.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
28.9%
67.9%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 98.0Defence99.8 · 101.3Shooting45.5% · 47.3%3-point %35.7% · 28.9%Ball care17.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 34.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nara   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nara wins
3
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Shizuoka v Nara75-62
09/03/24Shizuoka v Nara69-70
21/01/24Shizuoka v Nara75-71
20/01/24Shizuoka v Nara66-75
12/11/23Nara v Shizuoka86-70
11/11/23Nara v Shizuoka56-81
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AFukui69-83
07/12/24AFukui86-77
01/12/24HKumamoto69-73
30/11/24HKumamoto88-74
26/11/24AShinshu63-82
25/11/24AShinshu68-66
17/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise66-75
16/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise56-78
10/11/24HFukushima78-69
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AFukushima66-53
07/12/24AFukushima72-64
01/12/24HToyama84-91
30/11/24HToyama71-86
26/11/24AKumamoto71-74
25/11/24AKumamoto60-51
17/11/24HFukuoka83-102
16/11/24HFukuoka73-79
10/11/24AAomori79-69
09/11/24AAomori74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLLWL27%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%27%60%
Points / game76.574.079.2
Allowed / game78.279.576.8
Point differential-1.7-5.5+2.4
Avg total154.7153.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%40%64%
Points / game75.679.771.8
Allowed / game75.582.469.2
Point differential+0.1-2.7+2.6
Avg total151.0162.1141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2221195%92.575.7+16.9
2 Toyama2116576%87.678.2+9.4
3 Fukui2216673%83.377.8+5.5
4 Fukuoka2115671%84.574.6+9.9
5 Shinshu2215768%88.175.4+12.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise2214864%82.078.8+3.2
7 Shizuoka21111052%75.675.5+0.1
8 Nara2191243%76.578.2-1.7
9 Kobe2291341%83.286.1-2.9
10 Aomori2291341%78.186.8-8.7
11 Yamagata Wyverns2281436%79.984.0-4.1
12 Fukushima2251723%73.582.2-8.7
13 Kumamoto2231914%74.586.6-12.1
14 Ehime Orange Vikings221215%74.593.1-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1419151967
Shizuoka2521112582
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