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Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 88-76
30-15 25-14 17-21 16-26
Position#3
Record12-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#5
Record8-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game74.5
KazakhstanHigher League· Zhaksy
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay
26 Apr 2026
SHYM115
CHEL64
09 Apr 2025
SHYM96
CHEL45
03 Mar 2025
SHYM65
CHEL48
28 Jan 2025
SHYM88
CHEL76
12 Dec 2024
SHYM108
CHEL65
20 Oct 2024
SHYM91
CHEL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
88-60
88
60
+28
82avg 80
H09/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
89avg 80
A10/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
56avg 80
H12/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
71avg 80
A13/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
108-65
108
65
+43
110avg 80
H12/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
115-67
115
67
+48
120avg 80
A13/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
88-61
88
61
+27
79avg 80
H14/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 80
A15/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 80
H17/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
57avg 80
A27/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
28-9
23-9
14-28
29-19
24-20
27-17
13-25
14-10
16-12
18-24
19-21
33-18
17-24
11-18
18-15
23-26
25-11
30-11
30-17
33-14
31-10
29-27
22-16
33-13
21-12
24-24
10-12
17-21
27-12
22-26
19-14
24-13
22-17
11-15
24-19
21-20
13-17
27-18
13-20
158.2Avg total
88.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.970.9157.8+16.075%
Season at home (8)88.168.6156.8+19.575%
Season away (8)85.673.1158.8+12.575%
Last 10 (10)88.469.8158.2+18.680%
Last 5 (5)88.668.0156.6+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.374.3146.7-2.033%
vs Similar (6)82.784.2166.8-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.867.0156.8+22.895%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
41-97
41
97
-56
26avg 64
A09/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
71-55
71
55
+16
70avg 64
H11/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
90-57
90
57
+33
86avg 64
A12/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
92-56
92
56
+36
82avg 64
H13/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#3
L
65-108
65
108
-43
52avg 64
A12/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 64
H13/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
A14/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
74-64
74
64
+10
70avg 64
H16/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
70avg 64
A17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
62avg 64
H27/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
16-21
8-38
6-13
17-18
18-11
24-11
12-15
25-16
38-14
19-12
8-15
16-11
27-11
19-15
30-19
26-23
11-25
11-30
17-30
21-26
13-23
24-11
10-19
12-21
18-16
20-31
17-24
21-15
20-19
9-15
24-15
22-18
12-17
20-22
20-14
18-31
25-13
15-27
14-18
148.2Avg total
71.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.974.5146.4-2.650%
Season at home (8)73.466.8140.1+6.662%
Season away (8)70.582.2152.8-11.838%
Last 10 (10)71.476.8148.2-5.450%
Last 5 (5)71.079.0150.0-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.683.6150.2-17.06%
vs Similar (3)78.363.7142.0+14.767%
vs Weaker (10)67.659.9127.5+7.790%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.2+8.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.2+8.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
ShymkentChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H09/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A10/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H12/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H12/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
64-24
64
24
+40
A13/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H14/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A15/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H17/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/01
Higher League
78.6Avg total
47.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.033.680.6+13.483%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.331.477.7+14.992%-
Last 30 away (16)47.535.482.9+12.175%-
Last 10 (10)47.431.278.6+16.290%-
Last 5 (5)48.429.878.2+18.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.728.766.3+9.0100%-
vs Similar (6)41.342.083.3-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.031.881.8+18.295%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A09/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H11/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A12/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H13/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/12
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H13/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/01
Higher League
76.1Avg total
38.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.339.074.4-3.738%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.139.974.0-5.736%-
Last 30 away (15)36.538.374.7-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.476.1+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.943.176.0-10.124%-
vs Similar (3)40.331.071.3+9.367%-
vs Weaker (9)38.234.172.3+4.156%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Shymkent wins
0
ChelSU Kostanay wins
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25ABars Petropavlovsk74-75
17/12/24HTuran81-64
15/12/24ATigers-KazATU85-73
14/12/24HCHAMP1ON88-61
13/12/24AKaraganda115-67
12/12/24HChelSU Kostanay108-65
13/11/24ABars Petropavlovsk79-75
12/11/24HTuran73-77 OT
10/11/24ATigers-KazATU93-81
09/11/24HCHAMP1ON88-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25HTigers-KazATU72-89
17/12/24ACHAMP1ON74-71
16/12/24HKaraganda74-64
14/12/24ABars Petropavlovsk67-92
13/12/24HTuran68-79
12/12/24AShymkent65-108
13/11/24HTigers-KazATU92-56
12/11/24ACHAMP1ON90-57
11/11/24HKaraganda71-55
09/11/24ABars Petropavlovsk41-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.988.185.6
Allowed / game70.968.673.1
Point differential+16.0+19.5+12.5
Avg total157.8156.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%62%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game71.973.470.5
Allowed / game74.566.882.2
Point differential-2.6+6.6-11.8
Avg total146.4140.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan1614288%81.161.4+19.7
2 Bars Petropavlovsk1714382%85.461.8+23.6
3 Shymkent1612475%86.970.9+16.0
4 ChelSU Kostanay168850%71.974.5-2.6
5 Tigers-KazATU1651131%68.379.1-10.8
6 CHAMP1ON1731418%59.885.3-25.5
7 Karaganda161156%60.180.4-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent3025171688
ChelSU Kostanay1514212676
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