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Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 99-68
22-18 27-10 26-15 24-25
Position#7
Record6-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#6
Record8-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
no box
H31/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
92-87
92
87
+5
82avg 73
H03/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
76avg 73
H07/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
A09/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 73
A12/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 73
H28/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 73
H03/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 73
A06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 73
H09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
60-96
60
96
-36
47avg 73
A14/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
22-31
26-29
31-20
23-24
27-17
18-23
24-23
22-23
15-25
29-20
19-30
26-24
24-23
21-24
24-24
26-28
14-23
22-17
19-19
15-19
19-27
24-15
17-21
29-23
17-28
16-16
22-19
19-14
18-19
27-21
24-16
9-19
14-25
34-24
17-20
16-18
20-19
14-31
10-28
175.0Avg total
84.3Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.891.4173.2-9.625%
Season at home (12)84.489.5173.9-5.133%
Season away (12)79.293.2172.4-14.117%
Last 10 (10)84.390.7175.0-6.420%
Last 5 (5)76.284.4160.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.393.2173.5-12.915%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.988.5172.5-4.638%
vs Weaker (4)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
97avg 72
H24/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
70avg 72
A27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
103avg 72
H06/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 72
H09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 72
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
58-98
58
98
-40
37avg 72
A03/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
60avg 72
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
59-80
59
80
-21
56avg 72
H13/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-17
29-20
21-17
15-24
14-11
19-18
28-26
20-28
29-17
20-21
30-27
15-10
26-23
22-16
18-15
21-15
14-23
18-17
19-29
11-21
22-19
18-25
18-21
26-22
11-27
17-16
18-20
17-22
13-24
16-29
12-23
28-10
18-15
13-28
7-19
5-22
18-15
18-18
18-25
155.4Avg total
74.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.884.3161.2-7.533%
Season at home (12)80.184.5164.6-4.450%
Season away (12)73.684.2157.8-10.617%
Last 10 (10)74.481.0155.4-6.630%
Last 5 (5)64.884.2149.0-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.988.9162.8-15.17%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.978.1156.9+0.857%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H31/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H03/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A09/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A12/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H28/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
LKL
84.9Avg total
39.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.986.1-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.044.087.0-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.885.3-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.484.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.277.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.446.285.6-6.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.844.587.2-1.754%-
vs Weaker (4)42.242.084.2+0.225%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H24/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H06/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/03
LKL
CBet
#5
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H13/03
LKL
74.5Avg total
36.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.079.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.581.0-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.440.578.9-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.074.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.473.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.743.180.7-5.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.239.079.2+1.243%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.4
54.7%
54.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.7
34.5%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
75.2%14.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
54.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.211.9
65.4%
75.2%11.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LLWLLLLLWL
Neptunas
LLLLLLWWLW
#7
League position
#6
-8.3
Net rating
-6.8
105.7
Offensive rating
101.3
114.0
Defensive rating
108.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
21.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
32.7%
73.2%
Assist %
63.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 101.3Defence114.0 · 108.1Shooting53.5% · 52.0%3-point %34.5% · 32.7%Ball care19.9% · 21.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Siauliai wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
10/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai88-94
07/01/21Siauliai v Neptunas76-91
08/11/20Siauliai v Neptunas93-88
08/03/20Neptunas v Siauliai90-70
17/11/19Siauliai v Neptunas95-102
05/10/19Neptunas v Siauliai90-94
05/05/19Neptunas v Siauliai96-75
26/01/19Siauliai v Neptunas103-106 OT
23/12/18Neptunas v Siauliai80-76
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas60-96
09/03/21HZalgiris Kaunas74-88
06/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes88-70
03/03/21HLietkabelis84-86
28/02/21HAlytaus Dzukija75-82
12/02/21AAlytaus Dzukija81-87
09/02/21ALietkabelis105-108 OT
07/02/21HRytas85-98
03/02/21HJuventus92-87
31/01/21HCBet99-105
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HRytas59-80
07/03/21ACBet66-72
03/03/21AJuventus58-98
28/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-85
14/02/21HJuventus69-86
13/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-84
09/02/21HAlytaus Dzukija81-64
06/02/21HPieno Zvaigzdes99-93
27/01/21ANevezis-OPTIBET76-79
24/01/21HCBet92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game81.884.479.2
Allowed / game91.489.593.2
Point differential-9.6-5.1-14.1
Avg total173.2173.9172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game76.880.173.6
Allowed / game84.384.584.2
Point differential-7.5-4.4-10.6
Avg total161.2164.6157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%89.868.0+21.8
2 Rytas2419579%88.278.8+9.5
3 Lietkabelis2517868%83.978.1+5.8
4 Juventus2517868%87.984.9+3.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes24101442%78.981.8-2.9
6 CBet2591636%84.689.2-4.7
7 Alytaus Dzukija2381535%80.783.7-3.0
8 Neptunas2481633%76.884.3-7.5
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET2571828%75.284.8-9.6
10 Siauliai2461825%81.891.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai2227262499
Neptunas1810152568
← all games of the day
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