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Siauliai vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-85
20-13 27-33 20-16 20-23
Position#7
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game94.8
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
Position#10
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game80.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Siauliai v Nevezis-OPTIBET
28 Apr 2021
SIA85
NOP73
22 Nov 2020
SIA87
NOP85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A08/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A20/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H23/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
71-102
71
102
-31
H27/09
LKL
CBet
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A04/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-107
80
107
-27
A10/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A17/10
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A25/10
LKL
Neptunas 2
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-34
15-12
24-19
16-25
21-23
11-22
7-24
17-20
21-21
17-11
24-24
18-25
24-32
17-21
11-22
19-27
27-16
25-29
14-24
21-25
19-28
24-29
20-28
17-22
18-17
14-32
22-25
22-27
20-18
16-29
18-17
23-32
18-23
22-22
23-19
19-23
27-16
29-26
19-25
18-21
170.7Avg total
77.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.594.8172.2-17.212%
Season at home (3)81.390.3171.7-9.033%
Season away (5)75.297.4172.6-22.20%
Last 10 (10)77.293.5170.7-16.310%
Last 5 (5)81.695.8177.4-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.990.6167.4-13.714%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.984.5166.4-2.540%
vs Weaker (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A03/10
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H18/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
24-18
13-17
25-26
25-16
17-14
19-18
15-22
20-21
21-15
15-19
14-21
10-20
20-20
27-20
19-23
23-12
17-29
26-16
26-31
18-20
29-16
17-18
32-23
23-20
27-24
21-29
29-21
16-14
22-25
20-22
16-19
163.2Avg total
83.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.280.0163.2+3.262%
Season at home (4)91.082.2173.2+8.8100%
Season away (4)75.577.8153.2-2.225%
Last 10 (8)83.280.0163.2+3.262%
Last 5 (5)87.684.4172.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.581.8163.2-0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.078.2163.2+6.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
SiauliaiNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/09
LKL
CBet
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A04/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A10/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A17/10
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/10
LKL
Neptunas 2
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H08/11
LKL
86.1Avg total
40.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.883.6-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.039.880.8+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)38.946.585.4-7.628%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.186.1-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.089.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.046.284.2-8.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.441.582.9-0.153%-
vs Weaker (1)40.045.085.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A03/10
LKL
CBet
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/11
LKL
78.4Avg total
41.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)41.536.978.4+4.662%-
Last 30 at home (4)44.837.882.5+7.075%-
Last 30 away (4)38.236.074.2+2.250%-
Last 10 (8)41.536.978.4+4.662%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.035.578.5+7.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.2
50.2%
54.2%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.6%
36.6%26.6
🏀 Free throws19.515.1
77.6%
75.2%15.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.2
56.2%
54.2%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.1
26.6%
36.6%18.4
🏀 Free throws21.817.4
79.9%
75.2%17.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
WLLLLLLLLL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#10
-23.9
Net rating
+3.9
99.4
Offensive rating
105.6
123.3
Defensive rating
101.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
61.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
21.4%
Turnover %
21.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
26.6%
74.2%
Assist %
52.8%
10%
Form (last 10/8)
62%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 105.6Defence123.3 · 101.8Shooting50.3% · 50.4%3-point %33.6% · 26.6%Ball care21.4% · 21.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 36.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/8)10% · 62%
■ Siauliai   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Siauliai wins
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
25/10/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Siauliai96-77
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/20HNeptunas93-88
27/10/20ANeptunas 282-87
25/10/20ANevezis-OPTIBET77-96
17/10/20ALietkabelis76-101
10/10/20ARytas80-107
04/10/20ACBet87-94
27/09/20HAlytaus Dzukija71-102
23/09/20HPieno Zvaigzdes80-81
20/09/20AZalgiris Kaunas56-89
08/03/20ANeptunas70-90
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/20AAlytaus Dzukija74-80
31/10/20HRytas100-94
25/10/20HSiauliai96-77
18/10/20HCBet92-88
03/10/20AJuventus76-83
28/09/20ANeptunas70-76
24/09/20HLietkabelis76-70
19/09/20APieno Zvaigzdes82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game77.581.375.2
Allowed / game94.890.397.4
Point differential-17.2-9.0-22.2
Avg total172.2171.7172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game83.291.075.5
Allowed / game80.082.277.8
Point differential+3.2+8.8-2.2
Avg total163.2173.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas87188%86.670.5+16.1
2 Lietkabelis75271%82.074.4+7.6
3 Rytas107370%94.280.4+13.8
4 Nevezis-OPTIBET85362%83.280.0+3.2
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes105550%80.885.1-4.3
6 Juventus84450%83.889.2-5.5
7 Neptunas83538%78.187.4-9.2
8 CBet114736%88.289.5-1.4
9 Alytaus Dzukija82625%81.685.6-4.0
10 Siauliai81712%77.594.8-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai2027202087
Nevezis-OPTIBET1333162385
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