Siena vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 101-65

25-20 16-16 31-14 29-15

Position#4

Record7-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game63.6

Siena 🏆

Avellino

Position#11

Record3-6

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game81.8

Lega ARound 10

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Siena v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

81-56

+25

A29/10

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#19

93-90

H02/11

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

66-71

-5

H05/11

Lega A

Gdynia

#25

101-66

101

+35

A09/11

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

81-70

+11

A12/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#17

75-73

A15/11

Euroleague

Caserta

#12

86-66

+20

H18/11

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

89-87

H23/11

Euroleague

Cantu

67-54

+13

A26/11

Lega A

Unicaja

91-72

+19

H30/11

Euroleague

22-20

17-6

20-14

22-16

23-30

27-25

23-20

20-15

16-21

10-18

19-17

21-15

21-22

21-13

37-12

22-19

25-11

18-16

17-22

21-21

21-17

18-17

21-18

15-21

18-13

23-20

27-17

18-16

21-23

23-18

15-24

30-22

19-14

17-10

9-13

22-17

30-20

26-20

18-19

17-13

153.5Avg total

83.0Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	74.0	63.6	137.6	+10.4	78%
Season at home (4)	77.2	65.5	142.8	+11.8	75%
Season away (5)	71.4	62.0	133.4	+9.4	80%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	70.5	153.5	+12.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	70.4	152.0	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	78.5	157.0	+0.0	50%
vs Similar (7)	74.6	69.7	144.3	+4.9	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	85.0	70.9	155.9	+14.0	85%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

95-90

A06/05

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

74-82

-8

H30/09

Lega A

Varese

83-91

-8

A06/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

80-58

+22

H15/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

83-94

-11

A21/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

87-77

+10

H28/10

Lega A

Cantu

67-79

-12

A04/11

Lega A

Sassari

81-102

102

-21

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

74-82

-8

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

81-71

+10

H25/11

Lega A

30-26

20-20

20-21

25-23

13-22

24-21

8-17

29-22

22-23

28-26

13-13

20-29

18-20

22-11

21-14

19-13

25-24

19-23

17-24

22-23

26-15

21-17

21-16

19-29

10-19

18-14

16-28

23-18

17-30

19-23

23-26

22-23

20-16

15-25

19-20

20-21

15-15

19-25

15-11

32-20

163.1Avg total

80.5Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.9	81.8	160.7	-2.9	33%
Season at home (5)	79.2	74.0	153.2	+5.2	60%
Season away (4)	78.5	91.5	170.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	82.6	163.1	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	82.2	160.2	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	75.5	86.2	161.7	-10.6	9%
vs Similar (17)	76.6	78.6	155.2	-2.0	59%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	16.4	36.5	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	18.4	37.9	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.3	41.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	21.3	39.7	-2.8	27%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	15.1	33.7	+3.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.7	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.5	27%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.6	18.1	35.6	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

39-26

+13

A29/10

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#19

50-55

-5

H02/11

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

26-39

-13

H05/11

Lega A

Gdynia

#25

42-35

A09/11

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

43-27

+16

A12/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#17

39-34

A15/11

Euroleague

Caserta

#12

41-33

H18/11

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

44-41

H23/11

Euroleague

Cantu

36-24

+12

A26/11

Lega A

Unicaja

56-40

+16

H30/11

Euroleague

77.0Avg total

41.6Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	34.6	76.1	+7.0	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	37.2	81.2	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	31.5	70.2	+7.2	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	34.4	77.6	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	36.0	74.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.9	34.1	72.0	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.1	34.5	77.6	+8.6	85%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

50-46

A06/05

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

37-43

-6

H30/09

Lega A

Varese

50-49

A06/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-31

H15/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

44-47

-3

A21/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

47-32

+15

H28/10

Lega A

Cantu

28-33

-5

A04/11

Lega A

Sassari

36-53

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

35-41

-6

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

34-40

-6

H25/11

Lega A

81.6Avg total

40.1Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	39.7	77.5	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	37.6	75.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	41.5	81.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	39.8	75.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.2	42.5	80.7	-4.4	27%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.8	37.5	75.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.6	38.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	18.2	39.4	+2.9	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	16.5	36.3	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	23.9	41.0	-6.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.4	39.2	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	16.3	34.4	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.5	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	24.2	44.2	-4.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	27%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	34.9	75.6	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	38.4	77.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	35.1	76.5	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.0	74.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	42.5	82.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.4	34.0	69.4	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.9	36.5	78.3	+5.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.4	42.7	81.1	-4.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	37.6	77.3	+2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	48.1	85.2	-10.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.1	81.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.4	84.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.4	43.6	81.0	-6.3	9%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.4	41.2	80.7	-1.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
19/04/12	Siena v Avellino	109-79
11/12/11	Avellino v Siena	77-83 OT
30/04/11	Siena v Avellino	77-82
06/01/11	Avellino v Siena	75-79
27/03/10	Siena v Avellino	91-74
29/11/09	Avellino v Siena	57-86
22/04/09	Siena v Avellino	84-68
07/12/08	Avellino v Siena	77-85

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/12	H	Unicaja	91-72
26/11/12	A	Cantu	67-54
23/11/12	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	89-87
18/11/12	H	Caserta	86-66
15/11/12	A	Alba Berlin	75-73
12/11/12	A	Virtus Roma	81-70
09/11/12	A	Gdynia	101-66
05/11/12	H	Olimpia Milano	66-71
02/11/12	H	Chalon/Saone	93-90
29/10/12	A	Biella	81-56

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/12	H	Brindisi	81-71
18/11/12	H	Biella	74-82
11/11/12	A	Sassari	81-102
04/11/12	A	Cantu	67-79
28/10/12	H	Virtus Bologna	87-77
21/10/12	A	Cremona	83-94
15/10/12	H	Olimpia Milano	80-58
06/10/12	A	Varese	83-91
30/09/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	74-82
06/05/12	A	Venezia	95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	78%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	78%	75%	80%
Points / game	74.0	77.2	71.4
Allowed / game	63.6	65.5	62.0
Point differential	+10.4	+11.8	+9.4
Avg total	137.6	142.8	133.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	33%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	60%	0%
Points / game	78.9	79.2	78.5
Allowed / game	81.8	74.0	91.5
Point differential	-2.9	+5.2	-13.0
Avg total	160.7	153.2	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Varese	10	9	1	90%	85.7	77.6	+8.1
2	Sassari	10	8	2	80%	85.2	80.6	+4.6
3	Siena	9	7	2	78%	74.0	63.6	+10.4
4	Cantu	10	6	4	60%	75.6	68.9	+6.7
5	Virtus Roma	10	6	4	60%	78.0	75.2	+2.8
6	Virtus Bologna	10	6	4	60%	74.6	72.5	+2.1
7	Reggiana	10	5	5	50%	73.8	69.6	+4.2
8	Olimpia Milano	10	5	5	50%	78.3	77.0	+1.3
9	Brindisi	10	5	5	50%	80.4	81.2	-0.8
10	Caserta	10	5	5	50%	67.4	74.4	-7.0
11	Avellino	9	3	6	33%	78.9	81.8	-2.9
12	Venezia	10	3	7	30%	77.2	80.7	-3.5
13	Sutor Montegranaro	10	3	7	30%	78.0	82.8	-4.8
14	Cremona	10	3	7	30%	72.2	78.0	-5.8
15	Biella	10	3	7	30%	69.9	77.3	-7.4
16	Pesaro	10	2	8	20%	69.2	76.5	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	25	16	31	29	101
Avellino	20	16	14	15	65

← all games of the day

Siena vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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