Virtus Roma vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Nov 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 70-81

11-25 16-18 22-17 21-21

Position#6

Record4-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game72.0

Virtus Roma

Siena 🏆

Position#4

Record4-2

FormLWWLW

Points / game72.0

Allowed / game63.7

Lega ARound 7

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Siena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

69-83

-14

A22/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-91

-13

H25/04

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

70-76

-6

H29/04

Lega A

Pesaro

75-83

-8

A02/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

75-71

A30/09

Lega A

Cantu

70-84

-14

H07/10

Lega A

Reggiana

77-66

+11

H14/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-87

-5

A22/10

Lega A

Caserta

#12

86-57

+29

H28/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

75-67

A04/11

Lega A

22-27

19-15

10-28

18-13

18-18

22-30

17-26

21-17

20-23

17-16

20-16

13-21

20-22

18-20

20-16

17-25

22-27

17-7

13-19

23-18

15-16

22-21

19-21

14-26

19-9

21-17

31-14

6-26

18-25

21-22

21-26

22-14

25-21

17-11

11-13

33-12

20-19

20-15

21-18

14-15

152.2Avg total

75.7Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	77.5	72.0	149.5	+5.5	67%
Season at home (3)	77.7	69.0	146.7	+8.7	67%
Season away (3)	77.3	75.0	152.3	+2.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	76.5	152.2	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	72.2	150.2	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.5	80.8	156.2	-5.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	79.4	81.7	161.1	-2.3	42%
vs Weaker (2)	80.5	64.0	144.5	+16.5	100%

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

61-56

A30/09

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#17

82-92

-10

H12/10

Euroleague

Varese

67-74

-7

A15/10

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

68-70

-2

A18/10

Euroleague

Pesaro

#15

65-60

H21/10

Lega A

Unicaja

89-91 OT

-2

A26/10

Euroleague

Biella

#17

81-56

+25

A29/10

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#19

93-90

H02/11

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

66-71

-5

H05/11

Lega A

Gdynia

#25

101-66

101

+35

A09/11

Euroleague

15-16

17-14

17-18

12-8

25-25

14-17

20-27

23-23

15-27

14-10

16-20

22-17

20-14

13-17

19-22

16-17

19-20

9-17

19-15

18-8

16-20

27-22

25-15

12-23

22-20

17-6

20-14

22-16

23-30

27-25

23-20

20-15

16-21

10-18

19-17

21-15

21-22

21-13

37-12

22-19

149.9Avg total

77.3Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	72.0	63.7	135.7	+8.3	67%
Season at home (3)	74.3	65.3	139.7	+9.0	67%
Season away (3)	69.7	62.0	131.7	+7.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	72.6	149.9	+4.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	74.8	160.8	+11.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	68.0	70.0	138.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	70.8	73.0	143.8	-2.2	25%
vs Weaker (24)	87.3	71.9	159.2	+15.4	83%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	24.0	47.5	-0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	17.9	40.4	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	18.6	42.1	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	16.9	38.2	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	14.0	34.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	15.5	21.0	36.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (24)	23.6	17.6	41.2	+6.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.5	37.7	-1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	9.0	26.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	15.9	35.3	+3.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	15.9	32.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.6	18.0	39.7	+3.6	71%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

41-42

-1

A22/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-48

-8

H25/04

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

37-39

-2

H29/04

Lega A

Pesaro

38-42

-4

A02/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

39-34

A30/09

Lega A

Cantu

37-37

H07/10

Lega A

Reggiana

40-26

+14

H14/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-47

-8

A22/10

Lega A

Caserta

#12

42-32

+10

H28/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

40-34

A04/11

Lega A

77.4Avg total

39.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	39.5	77.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	37.7	77.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	41.2	77.6	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	38.1	77.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.2	74.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	44.2	82.0	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	37.8	39.2	77.0	-1.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	33.0	73.5	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

32-30

A30/09

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#17

39-42

-3

H12/10

Euroleague

Varese

29-37

-8

A15/10

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-31

A18/10

Euroleague

Pesaro

#15

28-37

-9

H21/10

Lega A

Unicaja

43-42

A26/10

Euroleague

Biella

#17

39-26

+13

A29/10

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#19

50-55

-5

H02/11

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

26-39

-13

H05/11

Lega A

Gdynia

#25

42-35

A09/11

Euroleague

73.5Avg total

36.1Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	35.7	78.8	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.9	37.9	82.8	+6.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.6	32.8	73.5	+7.8	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	37.4	73.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	31.0	64.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	32.5	37.0	69.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	45.2	35.7	80.9	+9.6	83%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	21.2	39.8	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.5	38.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	15.6	40.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.2	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	18.9	40.9	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	15.2	34.5	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	15.0	43.0	+13.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.1	34.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.8	15.8	32.5	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.0	75.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	36.5	74.2	+1.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	39.9	40.6	80.5	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	31.0	71.0	+9.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	36.2	76.8	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	34.9	75.3	+5.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	34.1	74.4	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	33.2	77.4	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	36.0	33.2	69.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (24)	42.1	36.2	78.3	+5.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
26/02/12	Virtus Roma v Siena	77-76
05/11/11	Siena v Virtus Roma	85-52
15/05/11	Siena v Virtus Roma	83-73
16/01/11	Virtus Roma v Siena	67-73
21/03/10	Virtus Roma v Siena	93-85
22/11/09	Siena v Virtus Roma	83-58
08/03/09	Siena v Virtus Roma	93-88
16/11/08	Virtus Roma v Siena	68-88

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/12	A	Cremona	75-67
28/10/12	H	Caserta	86-57
22/10/12	A	Olimpia Milano	82-87
14/10/12	H	Reggiana	77-66
07/10/12	H	Cantu	70-84
30/09/12	A	Pesaro	75-71
02/05/12	A	Pesaro	75-83
29/04/12	H	Casale Monferrato	70-76
25/04/12	H	Olimpia Milano	78-91
22/04/12	A	Venezia	69-83

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/12	A	Gdynia	101-66
05/11/12	H	Olimpia Milano	66-71
02/11/12	H	Chalon/Saone	93-90
29/10/12	A	Biella	81-56
26/10/12	A	Unicaja	89-91 OT
21/10/12	H	Pesaro	65-60
18/10/12	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	68-70
15/10/12	A	Varese	67-74
12/10/12	H	Alba Berlin	82-92
30/09/12	A	Reggiana	61-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	67%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	77.5	77.7	77.3
Allowed / game	72.0	69.0	75.0
Point differential	+5.5	+8.7	+2.3
Avg total	149.5	146.7	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Siena

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	72.0	74.3	69.7
Allowed / game	63.7	65.3	62.0
Point differential	+8.3	+9.0	+7.7
Avg total	135.7	139.7	131.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Varese	7	7	0	100%	84.9	74.7	+10.1
2	Sassari	7	6	1	86%	86.0	80.4	+5.6
3	Cantu	7	5	2	71%	78.9	68.6	+10.3
4	Siena	6	4	2	67%	72.0	63.7	+8.3
5	Virtus Roma	6	4	2	67%	77.5	72.0	+5.5
6	Reggiana	7	4	3	57%	72.6	65.6	+7.0
7	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	57%	73.9	73.0	+0.9
8	Olimpia Milano	7	3	4	43%	77.6	78.4	-0.9
9	Venezia	7	3	4	43%	79.7	81.7	-2.0
10	Brindisi	7	3	4	43%	79.7	82.6	-2.9
11	Caserta	7	3	4	43%	65.0	74.4	-9.4
12	Avellino	7	2	5	29%	79.3	83.3	-4.0
13	Sutor Montegranaro	7	2	5	29%	77.7	82.0	-4.3
14	Pesaro	7	2	5	29%	72.1	76.6	-4.4
15	Cremona	7	2	5	29%	70.4	76.3	-5.9
16	Biella	7	1	6	14%	67.7	79.7	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	11	16	22	21	70
Siena	25	18	17	21	81

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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