Siena vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2010

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 91-74

20-18 23-16 24-21 24-19

Position#1

Record22-1

FormLWWWL

Points / game90.3

Allowed / game67.1

Siena 🏆

Avellino

Position#8

Record12-10

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game75.3

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Siena v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

84-68

+16

H19/02

Italian Cup

Biella

83-53

+30

H20/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

83-75

A21/02

Italian Cup

Real Madrid

69-77

-8

A25/02

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

80-65

+15

H28/02

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

82-97

-15

A04/03

Euroleague

Ferrara

#15

71-63

A07/03

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#22

93-87

H11/03

Euroleague

Biella

#14

97-65

+32

H14/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

85-93

-8

A21/03

Lega A

18-19

26-18

19-13

21-18

19-10

17-17

25-8

22-18

15-14

23-19

22-15

23-27

16-13

21-19

16-16

16-29

22-15

29-21

13-22

16-7

21-19

16-24

20-11

25-43

20-15

20-19

15-17

16-12

26-18

24-22

23-28

20-19

25-11

23-14

21-21

28-19

16-30

21-20

23-16

25-27

157.0Avg total

82.7Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	90.3	67.1	157.4	+23.2	96%
Season at home (12)	90.9	65.1	156.0	+25.8	100%
Season away (11)	89.6	69.4	159.0	+20.3	91%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	74.3	157.0	+8.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	81.0	166.6	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	67.5	84.5	152.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	76.0	76.5	152.5	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	89.5	71.0	160.6	+18.5	88%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

71-63

H24/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

86-94

-8

A31/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

172-70

172

+102

H07/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

74-56

+18

H14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-55

A18/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

61-73

-12

H20/02

Italian Cup

Treviso

64-73

-9

A27/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

76-67

H07/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

63-78

-15

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

79-82

-3

H21/03

Lega A

16-17

17-10

19-13

19-23

23-20

22-26

23-31

18-17

43-15

35-16

48-22

46-17

17-18

13-13

28-9

16-16

17-13

11-13

16-16

15-13

8-13

21-29

20-16

12-15

19-22

20-21

15-11

10-19

19-28

15-15

20-16

22-8

18-21

15-21

12-24

18-12

18-16

19-26

22-14

20-26

151.6Avg total

80.5Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.2	75.3	154.5	+3.9	55%
Season at home (12)	83.8	72.2	156.1	+11.6	75%
Season away (10)	73.7	79.0	152.7	-5.3	30%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	71.1	151.6	+9.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	74.6	143.2	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	68.6	80.8	149.4	-12.2	20%
vs Similar (18)	74.7	78.4	153.1	-3.8	39%
vs Weaker (6)	95.7	66.7	162.3	+29.0	100%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.1	37.4	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	16.4	37.5	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	14.5	35.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.8	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.2	17.8	31.0	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.5	20.5	45.0	+4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	17.3	39.8	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	16.5	39.1	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.3	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.0	16.9	39.8	+6.1	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.1	37.5	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	50%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

44-37

H19/02

Italian Cup

Biella

36-27

H20/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

38-33

A21/02

Italian Cup

Real Madrid

37-32

A25/02

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

51-36

+15

H28/02

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

37-43

-6

A04/03

Euroleague

Ferrara

#15

40-34

A07/03

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#22

50-40

+10

H11/03

Euroleague

Biella

#14

48-25

+23

H14/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

37-50

-13

A21/03

Lega A

77.5Avg total

41.8Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	34.4	77.3	+8.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	32.9	76.6	+10.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	36.0	78.1	+6.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	35.7	77.5	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	41.5	76.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	33.5	74.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.7	33.8	77.4	+9.9	80%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

33-27

H24/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

45-46

-1

A31/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

78-31

+47

H07/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

30-31

-1

H14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-26

A18/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

29-42

-13

H20/02

Italian Cup

Treviso

39-43

-4

A27/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

34-43

-9

H07/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

33-42

-9

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

37-42

-5

H21/03

Lega A

75.9Avg total

38.6Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.2	75.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.7	74.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	37.3	75.9	+1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	42.4	76.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	30.8	41.2	72.0	-10.4	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	36.9	38.2	75.2	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.7	37.5	84.2	+9.2	50%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.3	40.3	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.7	36.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.5	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.5	40.3	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.2	39.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.3	19.2	37.6	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.0	14.5	40.5	+11.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	21.4	43.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.7	36.5	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.0	32.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.9	20.2	38.2	-2.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	14.7	37.7	+8.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	37.8	81.9	+6.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	37.5	81.9	+6.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	38.2	81.9	+5.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	38.6	79.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	42.6	85.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	43.0	76.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.0	43.0	78.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	45.8	37.3	83.1	+8.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.6	75.3	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	36.1	78.4	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	37.0	72.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	33.8	75.7	+8.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	32.2	66.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	36.3	39.4	75.7	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.0	29.2	78.2	+19.8	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
29/11/09	Avellino v Siena	57-86
22/04/09	Siena v Avellino	84-68
07/12/08	Avellino v Siena	77-85

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/10	A	Virtus Roma	85-93
14/03/10	H	Biella	97-65
11/03/10	H	Anadolu Efes	93-87
07/03/10	A	Ferrara	71-63
04/03/10	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	82-97
28/02/10	H	Olimpia Milano	80-65
25/02/10	A	Real Madrid	69-77
21/02/10	A	Virtus Bologna	83-75
20/02/10	H	Biella	83-53
19/02/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	84-68

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/10	H	Virtus Bologna	79-82
14/03/10	A	Ferrara	63-78
07/03/10	H	Varese	76-67
27/02/10	A	Treviso	64-73
20/02/10	H	Virtus Bologna	61-73
18/02/10	A	Olimpia Milano	59-55
14/02/10	H	Virtus Roma	74-56
07/02/10	H	NSB Napoli	172-70
31/01/10	A	Pesaro	86-94
24/01/10	H	Cremona	71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	96%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	96%	100%	91%
Points / game	90.3	90.9	89.6
Allowed / game	67.1	65.1	69.4
Point differential	+23.2	+25.8	+20.3
Avg total	157.4	156.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	83%	100%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	55%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	LLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	55%	75%	30%
Points / game	79.2	83.8	73.7
Allowed / game	75.3	72.2	79.0
Point differential	+3.9	+11.6	-5.3
Avg total	154.5	156.1	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	42%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	23	22	1	96%	90.3	67.1	+23.2
2	Caserta	22	15	7	68%	86.5	75.4	+11.2
3	Sutor Montegranaro	22	15	7	68%	81.4	78.3	+3.1
4	Olimpia Milano	22	14	8	64%	76.9	74.1	+2.8
5	Virtus Bologna	23	14	9	61%	77.8	72.6	+5.3
6	Cantu	22	13	9	59%	78.8	74.5	+4.4
7	Virtus Roma	22	12	10	55%	81.1	75.5	+5.7
8	Avellino	22	12	10	55%	79.2	75.3	+3.9
9	Treviso	22	10	12	45%	81.6	82.3	-0.7
10	Varese	22	10	12	45%	76.2	80.2	-4.0
11	Teramo	22	9	13	41%	76.2	75.2	+1.0
12	Biella	22	9	13	41%	80.0	80.9	-1.0
13	Cremona	22	8	14	36%	82.7	80.5	+2.1
14	Ferrara	22	7	15	32%	79.1	79.4	-0.3
15	Pesaro	22	7	15	32%	81.3	82.9	-1.5
16	NSB Napoli	22	0	22	0%	57.6	114.0	-56.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	20	23	24	24	91
Avellino	18	16	21	19	74

← all games of the day

Siena vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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