Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 73-94

20-23 23-32 14-21 16-18

Position#15

Record1-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game91.3

Pesaro

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Position#1

Record5-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game73.0

Lega ARound 10

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#11

80-95

-15

H05/05

Lega A

Avellino

#12

80-77

A13/10

Lega A

Caserta

84-93 OT

-9

H20/10

Lega A

Cantu

78-93

-15

A27/10

Lega A

Siena

69-94

-25

H04/11

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

90-95

-5

A10/11

Lega A

Sassari

77-82

-5

H17/11

Lega A

Pistoia

110-115 OT

110

115

-5

A24/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

77-91

-14

A01/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

77-82

-5

H08/12

Lega A

15-27

15-20

24-20

26-28

25-21

17-19

20-25

18-12

16-27

16-15

21-18

24-17

19-29

17-23

23-25

19-16

20-18

7-30

20-28

22-18

23-27

24-15

18-21

25-32

19-24

25-18

16-20

17-20

14-14

24-23

20-29

21-13

15-23

28-25

18-30

16-13

18-18

19-25

21-15

19-24

173.9Avg total

82.2Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.4	91.3	173.8	-8.9	11%
Season at home (4)	76.8	87.8	164.5	-11.0	0%
Season away (5)	87.0	94.2	181.2	-7.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	91.7	173.9	-9.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	93.0	179.2	-6.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	75.4	84.1	159.5	-8.7	16%
vs Similar (10)	83.2	84.2	167.4	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	89.0	76.0	165.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

71-79

-8

A10/11

Lega A

Strasbourg

#22

83-72

+11

H15/11

Euroleague

Venezia

#11

82-88

-6

A18/11

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#25

77-73

H22/11

Euroleague

Reggiana

73-52

+21

H24/11

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

71-73

-2

A29/11

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

55-61

-6

A02/12

Lega A

Real Madrid

71-78

-7

H05/12

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

101-85

101

+16

H08/12

Lega A

Bamberg

#21

74-73

H13/12

Euroleague

19-21

16-16

15-22

21-20

19-18

15-10

23-23

26-21

19-18

19-20

18-21

26-29

21-23

11-18

19-21

26-11

15-17

18-12

34-5

6-18

17-17

14-22

19-21

21-13

19-9

10-13

20-16

6-23

19-23

15-25

12-15

25-15

26-30

23-16

29-8

23-31

20-23

17-11

14-18

23-21

149.2Avg total

75.8Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.0	73.0	151.0	+5.0	56%
Season at home (4)	83.2	66.0	149.2	+17.2	100%
Season away (5)	73.8	78.6	152.4	-4.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	73.4	149.2	+2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	74.0	148.4	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	85.5	158.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	79.2	79.8	159.0	-0.6	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	79.2	73.3	152.5	+5.8	68%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.7	40.4	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.8	41.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	13.0	35.0	+9.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.1	38.3	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.3	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	53%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	23.0	37.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	16.2	36.1	+3.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.9	35.7	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	16.3	32.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	20.4	38.7	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.1	15.2	34.3	+3.9	74%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#11

30-47

-17

H05/05

Lega A

Avellino

#12

42-40

A13/10

Lega A

Caserta

32-42

-10

H20/10

Lega A

Cantu

36-52

-16

A27/10

Lega A

Siena

27-48

-21

H04/11

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

47-42

A10/11

Lega A

Sassari

44-42

H17/11

Lega A

Pistoia

38-37

A24/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

43-48

-5

A01/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

37-43

-6

H08/12

Lega A

81.7Avg total

37.6Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.9	80.7	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.3	40.9	79.2	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	42.7	82.1	-3.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	44.1	81.7	-6.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.4	41.2	78.6	-3.8	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.9	43.7	85.6	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

35-37

-2

A10/11

Lega A

Strasbourg

#22

34-28

H15/11

Euroleague

Venezia

#11

38-38

A18/11

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#25

32-41

-9

H22/11

Euroleague

Reggiana

33-29

H24/11

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

31-39

-8

A29/11

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

29-22

A02/12

Lega A

Real Madrid

34-48

-14

H05/12

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

49-46

H08/12

Lega A

Bamberg

#21

37-34

H13/12

Euroleague

71.4Avg total

35.2Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.1	74.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	35.5	75.7	+4.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	36.2	71.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	50.0	82.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.9	39.8	76.7	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	38.7	34.5	73.3	+4.2	74%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.4	20.9	39.4	-2.5	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+3.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.6	34.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.3	32%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.1	39.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.8	43.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.8	35.6	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	37%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	25.0	53.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.9	38.6	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	17.5	42.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.3	78.6	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	41.6	82.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	39.1	74.9	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.9	40.2	76.1	-4.2	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.3	40.5	81.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	40.0	93.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.6	79.2	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	37.1	79.9	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	37.2	77.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.2	74.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	35.5	75.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.1	39.0	80.1	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/13	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	93-65
10/12/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	70-72
04/06/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	67-73
02/06/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	85-77
31/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-68
29/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-75
29/01/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	81-70
15/10/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	69-66
15/05/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	82-71
16/01/11	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	94-84

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/13	H	Virtus Roma	77-82
01/12/13	A	Varese	77-91
24/11/13	A	Pistoia	110-115 OT
17/11/13	H	Sassari	77-82
10/11/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	90-95
04/11/13	H	Siena	69-94
27/10/13	A	Cantu	78-93
20/10/13	H	Caserta	84-93 OT
13/10/13	A	Avellino	80-77
05/05/13	H	Avellino	80-95

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/13	H	Bamberg	74-73
08/12/13	H	Sutor Montegranaro	101-85
05/12/13	H	Real Madrid	71-78
02/12/13	A	Virtus Roma	55-61
29/11/13	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	71-73
24/11/13	H	Reggiana	73-52
22/11/13	H	Anadolu Efes	77-73
18/11/13	A	Venezia	82-88
15/11/13	H	Strasbourg	83-72
10/11/13	A	Virtus Bologna	71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	11%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	11%	0%	20%
Points / game	82.4	76.8	87.0
Allowed / game	91.3	87.8	94.2
Point differential	-8.9	-11.0	-7.2
Avg total	173.8	164.5	181.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	22%	25%	20%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	56%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	100%	20%
Points / game	78.0	83.2	73.8
Allowed / game	73.0	66.0	78.6
Point differential	+5.0	+17.2	-4.8
Avg total	151.0	149.2	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	10	8	2	80%	83.6	71.1	+12.5
2	Sassari	10	8	2	80%	88.5	80.7	+7.8
3	Brindisi	10	8	2	80%	77.8	72.8	+5.0
4	Cantu	10	7	3	70%	82.6	80.5	+2.1
5	Virtus Roma	10	6	4	60%	74.7	73.4	+1.3
6	Virtus Bologna	10	6	4	60%	81.1	80.1	+1.0
7	Olimpia Milano	9	5	4	56%	78.0	73.0	+5.0
8	Venezia	10	5	5	50%	79.8	78.2	+1.6
9	Reggiana	10	5	5	50%	73.2	72.4	+0.8
10	Caserta	10	4	6	40%	75.2	73.7	+1.5
11	Varese	10	4	6	40%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
12	Avellino	10	4	6	40%	75.1	78.5	-3.4
13	Pistoia	10	3	7	30%	74.5	81.5	-7.0
14	Sutor Montegranaro	10	3	7	30%	78.2	88.7	-10.5
15	Cremona	10	2	8	20%	76.1	83.5	-7.4
16	Pesaro	9	1	8	11%	82.4	91.3	-8.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	20	23	14	16	73
Olimpia Milano	23	32	21	18	94

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature