Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2009

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 74-79

19-18 23-19 15-16 17-26

Position#14

Record6-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game78.9

Caserta

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#2

Record10-5

FormWLWLW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game81.7

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Caserta v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferrara

86-70

+16

A23/11

Lega A

Udine

#16

90-78

+12

H30/11

Lega A

Biella

81-103

103

-22

A07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

68-83

-15

H10/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-68

+10

H13/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

88-79

A20/12

Lega A

Siena

66-73

-7

H28/12

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

59-60

-1

A04/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

76-74 OT

H10/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

58-85

-27

A18/01

Lega A

24-16

26-20

18-14

18-20

23-23

20-14

18-21

29-20

21-29

17-22

25-25

18-27

19-20

17-15

15-21

17-27

11-18

24-20

19-7

24-23

21-14

26-22

22-16

19-27

9-15

19-13

16-21

22-24

17-12

15-15

15-16

12-17

24-15

12-21

16-18

16-14

11-16

15-21

19-18

13-30

152.3Avg total

75.0Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	74.0	78.9	152.9	-4.9	40%
Season at home (7)	72.9	75.7	148.6	-2.9	57%
Season away (8)	75.0	81.6	156.6	-6.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	77.3	152.3	-2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	74.2	143.6	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	74.1	80.3	154.4	-6.2	33%
vs Similar (6)	73.8	76.7	150.5	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#15

93-97

-4

A11/12

Euroleague

Treviso

96-75

+21

H14/12

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

74-69 OT

H18/12

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

91-90 OT

A21/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

88-70

+18

H28/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

85-68

+17

A04/01

Lega A

Baskonia

96-103 OT

103

-7

H08/01

Euroleague

Avellino

#10

93-90 OT

H11/01

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

86-90 OT

-4

A15/01

Euroleague

Cantu

88-77

+11

A18/01

Lega A

24-26

24-22

21-28

24-21

29-21

24-17

20-23

23-14

22-16

12-15

18-12

10-19

18-28

20-9

19-19

22-23

17-10

24-26

21-22

26-12

26-17

15-10

19-20

25-21

25-20

21-25

22-22

17-18

18-24

18-21

23-19

23-18

15-16

16-20

24-16

17-20

30-16

17-21

18-16

23-24

171.9Avg total

89.0Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	86.9	81.7	168.7	+5.2	67%
Season at home (7)	86.3	80.7	167.0	+5.6	71%
Season away (8)	87.5	82.6	170.1	+4.9	62%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	82.9	171.9	+6.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	85.6	175.2	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	85.7	93.7	179.3	-8.0	33%
vs Similar (6)	86.8	78.0	164.8	+8.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	83.8	78.9	162.7	+4.8	69%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	17.5	18.9	36.3	-1.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	14.4	30.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.9	19.3	35.2	-3.4	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.2	39.6	+1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	17.3	36.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.9	16.3	34.1	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.6	19.1	37.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.7	19.4	40.0	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	24.7	47.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferrara

50-36

+14

A23/11

Lega A

Udine

#16

43-37

H30/11

Lega A

Biella

38-51

-13

A07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

36-35

H10/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-38

-3

H13/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

47-36

+11

A20/12

Lega A

Siena

28-28

H28/12

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

32-27

A04/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

36-36

H10/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

26-37

-11

A18/01

Lega A

73.2Avg total

37.1Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	35.7	36.7	72.4	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	35.7	36.3	72.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (8)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	36.1	73.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	32.8	66.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.6	37.2	71.8	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.5	35.8	73.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#15

48-48

A11/12

Euroleague

Treviso

53-38

+15

H14/12

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

34-31

H18/12

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

38-37

A21/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

41-36

H28/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-27

+14

A04/01

Lega A

Baskonia

46-45

H08/01

Euroleague

Avellino

#10

36-45

-9

H11/01

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

31-36

-5

A15/01

Euroleague

Cantu

47-37

+10

A18/01

Lega A

79.5Avg total

41.5Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	40.9	37.4	78.2	+3.5	72%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.6	36.2	75.8	+3.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.1	38.4	80.5	+3.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.0	79.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.3	42.0	84.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.5	35.8	77.3	+5.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.4	37.1	77.4	+3.3	81%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	15.3	17.6	32.9	-2.3	14%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.9	19.8	41.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	18.8	35.7	-2.0	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	31%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.3	22.3	40.7	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.2	23.5	39.8	-7.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.9	41.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.4	38.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.4	23.2	41.7	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	20.3	42.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	37.1	41.1	78.2	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (8)	38.1	43.2	81.4	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	40.6	77.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.2	74.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.6	41.9	80.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	40.6	39.6	80.2	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.6	37.2	76.8	+2.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	41.9	83.5	-0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.7	80.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	45.7	85.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.9	38.7	78.6	+1.2	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
12/10/08	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-81 OT

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/09	A	Avellino	58-85
10/01/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	76-74 OT
04/01/09	A	NSB Napoli	59-60
28/12/08	H	Siena	66-73
20/12/08	A	Sutor Montegranaro	88-79
13/12/08	H	Virtus Bologna	78-68
10/12/08	H	Pesaro	68-83
07/12/08	A	Biella	81-103
30/11/08	H	Udine	90-78
23/11/08	A	Ferrara	86-70

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/09	A	Cantu	88-77
15/01/09	A	Fenerbahce	86-90 OT
11/01/09	H	Avellino	93-90 OT
08/01/09	H	Baskonia	96-103 OT
04/01/09	A	Olimpia Milano	85-68
28/12/08	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-70
21/12/08	A	NSB Napoli	91-90 OT
18/12/08	H	Petrol Olimpija	74-69 OT
14/12/08	H	Treviso	96-75
11/12/08	A	Joventut Badalona	93-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	WLWLW	57%
Away	WLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	57%	25%
Points / game	74.0	72.9	75.0
Allowed / game	78.9	75.7	81.6
Point differential	-4.9	-2.9	-6.6
Avg total	152.9	148.6	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	13%	14%	12%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	67%
Home	LLWWW	71%
Away	LLWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	67%	71%	62%
Points / game	86.9	86.3	87.5
Allowed / game	81.7	80.7	82.6
Point differential	+5.2	+5.6	+4.9
Avg total	168.7	167.0	170.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	43%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	27%	43%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	16	16	0	100%	90.1	70.6	+19.5
2	Virtus Roma	15	10	5	67%	86.9	81.7	+5.2
3	Teramo	16	10	6	62%	83.5	82.0	+1.5
4	Avellino	16	9	7	56%	78.8	75.0	+3.8
5	Treviso	16	9	7	56%	79.2	77.5	+1.8
6	Virtus Bologna	16	9	7	56%	78.2	77.5	+0.8
7	Olimpia Milano	16	8	8	50%	76.5	75.2	+1.2
8	Sutor Montegranaro	16	8	8	50%	75.1	79.1	-4.0
9	Cantu	16	8	8	50%	79.9	84.4	-4.6
10	Biella	16	7	9	44%	84.9	84.2	+0.6
11	Caserta	15	6	9	40%	74.0	78.9	-4.9
12	Pesaro	16	6	10	38%	81.8	80.8	+1.1
13	Ferrara	16	6	10	38%	74.6	77.2	-2.7
14	Fortitudo Bologna	16	6	10	38%	75.2	81.3	-6.1
15	NSB Napoli	16	5	11	31%	73.2	79.2	-6.1
16	Udine	16	4	12	25%	78.1	85.1	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	19	23	15	17	74
Virtus Roma	18	19	16	26	79

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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