Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2009

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 74-78

20-27 18-19 17-7 19-25

Position#7

Record1-1

FormLLWLW

Points / game89.5

Allowed / game85.5

Virtus Roma

Avellino 🏆

Position#8

Record2-0

FormLLWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game67.5

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

95-84 OT

+11

A07/05

Lega A

Cantu

77-64

+13

H10/05

Lega A

Biella

80-67

+13

H18/05

Lega A

Biella

77-82

-5

A20/05

Lega A

Biella

99-84

+15

H22/05

Lega A

Biella

67-85

-18

A24/05

Lega A

Biella

79-83

-4

H26/05

Lega A

Cremona

#12

94-79

+15

H11/10

Lega A

Treviso

85-92

-7

A17/10

Lega A

Baskonia

#10

77-65

+12

H22/10

Euroleague

23-19

23-16

17-24

17-21

12-10

19-15

24-16

22-23

25-14

21-18

18-14

16-21

19-18

17-18

17-22

24-24

25-20

27-11

28-27

19-26

23-15

12-24

17-19

15-27

17-16

17-28

27-18

18-21

20-23

21-11

21-19

32-26

20-23

22-25

23-21

20-23

17-15

20-17

27-11

13-22

161.5Avg total

83.0Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	89.5	85.5	175.0	+4.0	50%
Season at home (1)	94.0	79.0	173.0	+15.0	100%
Season away (1)	85.0	92.0	177.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	78.5	161.5	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	80.8	161.2	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	73.0	92.4	165.4	-19.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	82.9	78.4	161.3	+4.4	57%
vs Weaker (18)	83.0	77.8	160.8	+5.2	67%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

92-70

+22

H22/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

73-68

H05/04

Lega A

Udine

#16

79-66

+13

A11/04

Lega A

Teramo

85-87

-2

H18/04

Lega A

Siena

68-84

-16

A22/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

67-89

-22

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

84-95 OT

-11

H07/05

Lega A

Caserta

#14

74-65

A10/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

88-77

+11

H11/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

82-58

+24

A18/10

Lega A

18-17

26-13

24-20

19-21

13-22

19-11

22-14

20-21

15-25

27-5

17-15

12-28

21-19

27-17

25-23

4-17

21-20

18-30

25-17

17-13

13-26

18-22

19-28

19-23

16-23

24-17

21-17

19-22

20-20

17-15

18-8

24-19

25-12

23-22

16-24

25-14

21-16

21-10

15-18

155.1Avg total

79.2Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	85.0	67.5	152.5	+17.5	100%
Season at home (1)	88.0	77.0	165.0	+11.0	100%
Season away (1)	82.0	58.0	140.0	+24.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	75.9	155.1	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	76.8	155.8	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.0	86.6	161.6	-11.6	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	78.0	79.9	157.9	-1.9	38%
vs Weaker (10)	80.2	70.5	150.7	+9.7	70%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.5	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	25.8	45.0	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	72%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.6	38.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	21.4	39.6	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	16.9	38.9	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.9	39.9	-3.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.9	19.9	36.7	-3.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

46-35

+11

A07/05

Lega A

Cantu

31-25

H10/05

Lega A

Biella

46-32

+14

H18/05

Lega A

Biella

36-36

A20/05

Lega A

Biella

52-31

+21

H22/05

Lega A

Biella

35-39

-4

A24/05

Lega A

Biella

34-44

-10

H26/05

Lega A

Cremona

#12

41-34

H11/10

Lega A

Treviso

42-48

-6

A17/10

Lega A

Baskonia

#10

37-32

H22/10

Euroleague

75.6Avg total

40.0Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.6	80.8	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	36.2	78.9	+6.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	43.4	83.1	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	35.6	75.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.4	77.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.2	49.2	87.4	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.4	39.3	82.7	+4.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.3	37.0	78.3	+4.3	67%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

44-30

+14

H22/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

32-43

-11

H05/04

Lega A

Udine

#16

35-46

-11

A11/04

Lega A

Teramo

33-47

-14

H18/04

Lega A

Siena

25-37

-12

A22/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

30-39

-9

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

35-46

-11

H07/05

Lega A

Caserta

#14

39-42

-3

A10/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

49-31

+18

H11/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

46-30

+16

A18/10

Lega A

75.9Avg total

36.8Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.5	74.8	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	38.3	75.4	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	39.1	75.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.0	41.3	76.3	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.2	38.2	75.3	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.1	34.1	73.2	+5.0	70%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	19.5	35.1	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	23.6	40.2	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.1	17.0	36.1	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	18.8	39.3	+1.6	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.9	38.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	21.7	42.2	-1.3	28%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.3	39.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.3	21.3	42.6	+0.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.7	80.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	40.0	82.1	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	41.4	78.0	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.8	43.2	78.0	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.4	39.1	78.6	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.9	40.6	81.4	+0.3	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.3	79.5	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	38.8	80.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	39.8	78.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	35.3	77.3	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.2	74.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.3	41.6	79.9	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.5	40.4	80.9	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.1	36.4	77.5	+4.7	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/09	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-95 OT
11/01/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	93-90 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/09	H	Baskonia	77-65
17/10/09	A	Treviso	85-92
11/10/09	H	Cremona	94-79
26/05/09	H	Biella	79-83
24/05/09	A	Biella	67-85
22/05/09	H	Biella	99-84
20/05/09	A	Biella	77-82
18/05/09	H	Biella	80-67
10/05/09	H	Cantu	77-64
07/05/09	A	Avellino	95-84 OT

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/09	A	NSB Napoli	82-58
11/10/09	H	Pesaro	88-77
10/05/09	A	Caserta	74-65
07/05/09	H	Virtus Roma	84-95 OT
25/04/09	A	Pesaro	67-89
22/04/09	A	Siena	68-84
18/04/09	H	Teramo	85-87
11/04/09	A	Udine	79-66
05/04/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	73-68
22/03/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	89.5	94.0	85.0
Allowed / game	85.5	79.0	92.0
Point differential	+4.0	+15.0	-7.0
Avg total	175.0	173.0	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.0	88.0	82.0
Allowed / game	67.5	77.0	58.0
Point differential	+17.5	+11.0	+24.0
Avg total	152.5	165.0	140.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	4	4	0	100%	87.0	62.5	+24.5
2	Avellino	2	2	0	100%	85.0	67.5	+17.5
3	Treviso	3	3	0	100%	83.3	79.0	+4.3
4	Cantu	3	2	1	67%	83.7	83.3	+0.3
5	Virtus Roma	2	1	1	50%	89.5	85.5	+4.0
6	Caserta	2	1	1	50%	80.5	77.0	+3.5
7	Ferrara	2	1	1	50%	78.0	77.0	+1.0
8	Olimpia Milano	2	1	1	50%	68.5	69.5	-1.0
9	Biella	2	1	1	50%	73.5	76.5	-3.0
10	Varese	2	1	1	50%	65.5	75.0	-9.5
11	Teramo	3	1	2	33%	79.0	80.7	-1.7
12	Sutor Montegranaro	3	1	2	33%	76.3	79.7	-3.3
13	Virtus Bologna	3	1	2	33%	72.3	78.0	-5.7
14	Cremona	2	0	2	0%	91.0	99.0	-8.0
15	Pesaro	3	0	3	0%	76.0	84.7	-8.7
16	NSB Napoli	2	0	2	0%	53.0	84.5	-31.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	20	18	17	19	74
Avellino	27	19	7	25	78

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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