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Sloboda vs Podgorica Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game78.5
Sloboda
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Podgorica
Position#15
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game94.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 6· SKPC Mejdan
Other2026
Meetings · Sloboda v Podgorica
26 Jan 2027
SLOB v PODG
upcoming
21 Oct 2025
SLOB91
PODG56
24 Mar 2021
SLOB51
PODG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SlobodaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
57avg 74
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
45-88
45
88
-43
31avg 74
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
59avg 74
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 74
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 74
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
109avg 74
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
94avg 74
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 74
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A03/11
ABA League 2
Drina
#10
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H13/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
18-14
19-24
16-17
14-22
15-23
4-22
12-21
23-19
17-12
19-25
22-28
20-19
32-15
28-20
15-28
30-20
29-25
24-20
22-21
27-12
27-14
26-20
26-15
21-21
20-18
26-13
24-14
12-18
13-18
20-15
25-21
20-25
30-27
31-21
31-23
24-10
15-20
24-17
17-19
162.5Avg total
85.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)109.078.5187.5+30.5100%
Season at home (1)106.061.0167.0+45.0100%
Season away (1)112.096.0208.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.177.4162.5+7.760%
Last 5 (5)91.872.2164.0+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
vs Similar (8)78.880.5159.2-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.676.5165.1+12.176%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 78
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
81avg 78
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 78
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 78
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
106avg 78
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 78
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
127-47
127
47
+80
no box
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
L
96-112
96
112
-16
no box
H03/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
25-13
15-16
20-16
27-20
24-14
21-15
20-24
18-20
32-23
18-14
22-27
18-18
20-23
23-20
23-24
21-15
27-17
14-22
24-24
26-23
18-26
29-29
29-24
21-18
16-19
15-14
12-25
33-13
32-13
32-15
30-6
20-15
23-32
20-31
26-21
25-20
27-30
21-31
23-31
176.3Avg total
91.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)96.0112.0208.0-16.00%
Season away (1)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)91.984.4176.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)97.090.2187.2+6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.185.6161.8-9.512%
vs Similar (9)80.380.3160.7+0.044%
vs Weaker (13)88.475.5163.9+12.877%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
SlobodaPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A03/11
ABA League 2
Drina
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/11
Prvenstvo BiH
79.0Avg total
42.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.778.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.682.1+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
vs Similar (8)40.138.278.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.938.282.2+5.776%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/11
ABA League 2
87.5Avg total
47.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.7+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.374.7+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.540.087.5+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.890.0+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.640.578.1-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)40.937.978.8+3.056%-
vs Weaker (13)43.835.879.6+7.969%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
52.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
33.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
70.8%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.0
52.4%
52.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.4
32.0%
33.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
70.8%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sloboda
WWLWWWWLLL
Podgorica
LLWLLWLWWW
#1
League position
#15
+7.4
Net rating
+0.0
95.1
Offensive rating
103.7
87.7
Defensive rating
103.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
5.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.2%
3-point %
32.0%
52.7%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 103.7Defence87.7 · 103.7Shooting52.5% · 50.8%3-point %31.2% · 32.0%Ball care15.8% · 5.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sloboda   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sloboda wins
1
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
03/11/26Podgorica v Sloboda96-112
21/10/25Sloboda v Podgorica91-56
24/03/21Sloboda v Podgorica51-63
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDrina80-66
03/11/26APodgorica112-96
28/10/26HSlavija70-72
24/10/26AGradina Tesanj91-66
20/10/26HTFT Skopje106-61
16/10/26HIgman105-86
09/10/26ABasket Zivinice95-82
03/10/26HOrlovik81-84
25/05/26AKK Bosna45-88
23/05/26HKK Bosna66-73
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HSloboda96-112
01/11/26APrimorje89-99
25/10/26HLim Berane127-47
22/10/26AHercegovac64-76
04/04/26AMornar Bar109-117 OT
26/03/26HJedinstvo86-78
21/03/26ADecic84-85
15/03/26HPrimorje90-84
11/03/26HStudentski Centar92-73
07/03/26HTivat82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloboda
ABA League 2 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game109.0106.0112.0
Allowed / game78.561.096.0
Point differential+30.5+45.0+16.0
Avg total187.5167.0208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.096.064.0
Allowed / game94.0112.076.0
Point differential-14.0-16.0-12.0
Avg total174.0208.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda220100%109.078.5+30.5
2 Hercegovac220100%91.573.0+18.5
3 Zlatibor220100%100.089.0+11.0
4 Sutjeska220100%86.077.5+8.5
5 Vojvodina Novi Sad220100%77.569.0+8.5
6 Primorje21150%94.591.0+3.5
7 Sencur21150%78.575.0+3.5
8 KK Triglav Kranj21150%79.081.5-2.5
9 Mornar Bar21150%74.077.0-3.0
10 Basket Zivinice21150%71.579.5-8.0
11 Sloboda Uzice1010%76.078.0-2.0
12 Cedevita Junior2020%70.577.0-6.5
13 Borac Banja Luka2020%67.576.5-9.0
14 MZT Skopje1010%75.085.0-10.0
15 Podgorica2020%80.094.0-14.0
16 TFT Skopje2020%71.5106.5-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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