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SMU Mustangs vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-80
45-33 37-47
Position#327
Record7-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#249
Record9-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v South Florida
29 Jan 2023
SMU 82
SOUT80
12 Jan 2022
SMU 77
SOUT65
06 Feb 2021
SMU v SOUT
upcoming
01 Jan 2020
SMU 82
SOUT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A24/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A06/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
53-85
53
85
-32
A08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H12/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
37-42
31-22
26-36
43-36
49-31
23-49
30-38
25-34
28-51
33-34
55-63
27-29
25-25
28-28
36-36
29-25
40-46
32-50
52-49
147.2Avg total
70.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.473.8143.2-4.433%
Season at home (13)71.470.3141.7+1.138%
Season away (8)66.179.5145.6-13.425%
Last 10 (10)70.476.8147.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)74.479.4153.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.878.3145.1-11.512%
vs Similar (6)72.062.8134.8+9.267%
vs Weaker (6)76.362.8139.2+13.5100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#48
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H20/12
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H19/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
38-31
49-40
43-33
46-46
40-47
24-30
40-38
34-28
32-42
36-37
41-46
34-31
47-39
29-47
40-38
38-33
47-39
34-34
36-36
153.6Avg total
77.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.070.6142.6+1.443%
Season at home (14)70.468.5138.9+1.943%
Season away (7)75.174.7149.9+0.443%
Last 10 (10)77.376.3153.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)77.677.8155.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.272.2137.4-7.019%
vs Similar (12)70.266.4136.6+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.067.5143.5+8.550%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
SMU MustangsSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A26/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A06/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A19/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
31.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.264.1-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (21)31.731.963.6-0.248%-
Last 30 away (9)29.036.265.2-7.222%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.965.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.263.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.835.665.5-5.829%-
vs Similar (6)31.329.761.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)32.731.063.7+1.750%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#48
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/12
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/01
NCAA
72.8Avg total
36.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.166.8-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.234.466.6-2.333%-
Last 30 away (12)33.633.567.1+0.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.572.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.470.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.635.166.7-3.412%-
vs Similar (12)33.132.465.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.536.075.5+3.550%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
SMU Mustangs wins
1
South Florida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23AMemphis84-99
22/01/23HWichita State69-71
19/01/23ATulsa79-76 OT
14/01/23HCincinnati52-54
12/01/23HTulane88-97
08/01/23AUCF Knights53-85
06/01/23AHouston53-87
01/01/23HTulsa92-67
26/12/22AHawaii57-58
24/12/22AUtah State77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23ATemple76-79 OT
21/01/23HUCF Knights85-72
19/01/23HCincinnati69-85
15/01/23AEast Carolina81-70
12/01/23AHouston77-83
08/01/23HWichita State66-70
05/01/23HTemple64-68
30/12/22AMemphis86-93
23/12/22HNJIT92-73
20/12/22HHofstra77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %33%38%25%
Points / game69.471.466.1
Allowed / game73.870.379.5
Point differential-4.4+1.1-13.4
Avg total143.2141.7145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
South Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game72.070.475.1
Allowed / game70.668.574.7
Point differential+1.4+1.9+0.4
Avg total142.6138.9149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1916384%70.660.1+10.5
2 Clemson2218482%74.766.8+7.9
3 NC State2217577%79.370.0+9.3
4 Duke2115671%72.863.2+9.6
5 North Carolina2115671%79.272.0+7.2
6 Pittsburgh2215768%74.368.2+6.1
7 Wake Forest2214864%77.473.0+4.4
8 Virginia Tech2113862%73.466.3+7.1
9 Syracuse2213959%75.070.7+4.3
10 Miami (FL)42231955%75.972.2+3.6
11 Notre Dame22101245%70.771.5-0.8
12 Boston College22101245%65.969.8-3.9
13 Stanford2191243%68.465.1+3.3
14 Georgia Tech2181338%67.771.3-3.6
15 SMU Mustangs2171433%69.473.8-4.4
16 Florida State2271532%69.874.3-4.5
17 California2131814%60.268.7-8.5
18 Louisville2121910%62.575.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2221195%77.563.5+13.9
2 North Texas2318578%61.854.7+7.0
3 Memphis2116576%79.872.4+7.4
4 Rice2115671%79.373.0+6.4
5 UAB2215768%82.070.4+11.6
6 Tulane2013765%81.375.3+6.0
7 Charlotte2113862%68.061.6+6.4
8 Temple2314961%69.468.1+1.3
9 Wichita State21111052%68.365.9+2.4
10 East Carolina22111150%69.570.0-0.5
11 South Florida2191243%72.070.6+1.4
12 UTSA Roadrunners2371630%67.274.1-6.9
13 Tulsa1951426%69.376.1-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs453782
South Florida334780
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