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SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-76
39-38 38-38
Position#129
Record12-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#122
Record13-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H21/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-38
43-34
39-43
35-31
38-48
31-40
41-27
36-50
44-47
33-42
51-47
48-35
51-19
59-44
39-39
58-44
25-34
45-40
35-41
40-41
166.0Avg total
86.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.177.1166.2+12.175%
Season at home (11)95.374.5169.7+20.8100%
Season away (5)75.682.8158.4-7.220%
Last 10 (10)86.679.4166.0+7.260%
Last 5 (5)90.276.8167.0+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.575.5159.0+7.962%
vs Weaker (14)84.571.8156.3+12.779%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A28/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A03/12
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H14/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
95-85 OT
95
85
+10
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-45
33-41
37-34
33-36
43-30
30-32
53-34
43-40
38-29
44-24
35-43
37-29
23-24
32-31
32-36
46-45
31-24
37-45
37-37
41-38
155.5Avg total
80.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.373.8156.1+8.576%
Season at home (12)86.271.9158.2+14.392%
Season away (5)72.878.2151.0-5.440%
Last 10 (10)80.674.9155.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)80.278.2158.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.475.7143.1-8.330%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.873.7153.4+6.169%
vs Weaker (4)82.568.2150.8+14.2100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.5+1.5
SMU MustangsVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H21/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A08/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/01
NCAA
79.2Avg total
40.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.074.7+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.333.775.1+7.679%-
Last 30 away (11)36.937.174.0-0.218%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.379.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.076.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.544.581.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.035.675.6+4.462%-
vs Weaker (14)40.433.273.6+7.157%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/12
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.767.5+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.334.871.1+1.447%-
Last 30 away (11)29.531.861.4-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.670.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.632.864.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.833.961.7-6.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.634.671.2+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)37.829.867.5+8.0100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Virginia Tech v SMU Mustangs75-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ADuke75-82
08/01/26AClemson70-74
03/01/26HNorth Carolina97-83
28/12/25HCS Fullerton110-63
21/12/25HCentral Arkansas99-82
14/12/25ALSU77-89
07/12/25HTexas A&M93-80 OT
04/12/25AVanderbilt69-88
29/11/25AMississippi St.87-81 OT
25/11/25HRadford89-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HCalifornia78-75
08/01/26HStanford68-69
03/01/26AWake Forest78-81
31/12/25HVirginia95-85 OT
20/12/25HElon82-81 OT
14/12/25HMd.-East. Shore82-53
12/12/25HWestern Carolina96-74
06/12/25HGeorge Mason73-62
03/12/25ASouth Carolina86-83 OT
28/11/25AVCU Rams68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %75%100%20%
Points / game89.195.375.6
Allowed / game77.174.582.8
Point differential+12.1+20.8-7.2
Avg total166.2169.7158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%91%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%9%20%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %76%92%40%
Points / game82.386.272.8
Allowed / game73.871.978.2
Point differential+8.5+14.3-5.4
Avg total156.1158.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %24%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1615194%86.866.6+20.2
2 Miami (FL)1715288%87.869.2+18.6
3 North Carolina1614288%81.767.1+14.6
4 Virginia1815383%83.069.2+13.8
5 Clemson1815383%77.664.8+12.8
6 California1713476%79.870.0+9.8
7 Virginia Tech1713476%82.373.8+8.5
8 Stanford1713476%76.970.6+6.3
9 SMU Mustangs1612475%89.177.1+12.1
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1712571%86.571.2+15.3
12 Syracuse1712571%75.966.9+9.0
13 Wake Forest1710759%81.875.4+6.4
14 Notre Dame1710759%73.268.1+5.1
15 Georgia Tech1810856%75.473.0+2.4
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Florida State1771041%83.182.1+1.1
18 Boston College1771041%67.968.2-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs393877
Virginia Tech383876
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