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SMU Mustangs vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 66-77
34-32 32-45
Position#58
Record19-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#87
Record18-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Wake Forest
05 Jan 2027
SMU v WAKE
upcoming
15 Feb 2025
SMU 66
WAKE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
117-74
117
74
+43
A18/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
73-98
73
98
-25
H22/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H30/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-39
43-43
50-19
43-52
27-25
27-27
60-26
57-48
27-50
46-48
34-26
29-31
39-29
37-36
45-25
40-36
35-35
46-40
43-27
40-36
149.0Avg total
79.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.871.1153.9+11.779%
Season at home (15)85.171.5156.5+13.680%
Season away (9)79.070.6149.6+8.478%
Last 10 (10)79.269.8149.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)77.664.2141.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (6)75.279.0154.2-3.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.069.4152.3+13.682%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
49-47
33-35
47-32
31-29
41-34
29-31
38-35
22-35
34-28
21-45
38-27
34-36
42-38
40-37
39-36
31-29
45-37
35-21
35-51
141.7Avg total
72.3Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.466.7137.1+3.672%
Season at home (15)72.064.3136.3+7.787%
Season away (10)67.970.3138.2-2.450%
Last 10 (10)72.369.4141.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)72.071.4143.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.271.3132.5-10.217%
vs Similar (12)70.966.7137.6+4.275%
vs Weaker (11)75.466.2141.5+9.291%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.3+8.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.3+8.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
SMU MustangsWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
60-26
60
26
+34
A18/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H22/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
38.4Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.371.5+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.433.472.8+6.178%-
Last 30 away (12)36.333.169.4+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.168.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.228.467.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (6)33.236.369.5-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.431.871.1+7.673%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.765.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.631.766.3+2.958%-
Last 30 away (11)30.334.464.6-4.145%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.964.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.665.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)26.737.364.0-10.70%-
vs Similar (12)32.031.463.4+0.642%-
vs Weaker (11)37.332.069.3+5.391%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Wake Forest wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HPittsburgh83-63
06/02/25AVirginia Tech81-75
01/02/25HStanford85-61
30/01/25HCalifornia76-65
25/01/25ANC State63-57
22/01/25HLouisville73-98
18/01/25AMiami (FL)117-74
16/01/25AVirginia54-52
11/01/25HGeorgia Tech93-71
08/01/25ANorth Carolina67-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72
08/02/25ACalifornia76-66
06/02/25AStanford79-73
01/02/25HPittsburgh76-74
29/01/25ALouisville59-72
25/01/25HDuke56-63
22/01/25HNorth Carolina67-66
18/01/25AVirginia Tech72-63
15/01/25HStanford80-67
11/01/25AMiami (FL)88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %79%80%78%
Points / game82.885.179.0
Allowed / game71.171.570.6
Point differential+11.7+13.6+8.4
Avg total153.9156.5149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWWLWL87%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %72%87%50%
Points / game70.472.067.9
Allowed / game66.764.370.3
Point differential+3.6+7.7-2.4
Avg total137.1136.3138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)80% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2522388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2621581%77.466.4+11.0
3 SMU Mustangs2419579%82.871.1+11.7
4 Louisville2519676%79.769.3+10.4
5 Wake Forest2518772%70.466.7+3.6
6 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
7 Pittsburgh25151060%77.271.1+6.2
8 Florida State25151060%75.370.9+4.4
9 North Carolina25141156%80.076.6+3.4
10 Virginia25131252%64.664.9-0.4
11 Georgia Tech26131350%74.673.5+1.1
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame24111346%73.870.7+3.0
14 Virginia Tech25111444%70.072.6-2.6
15 Syracuse25111444%74.678.2-3.6
16 NC State25101540%69.468.6+0.8
17 Boston College25101540%71.777.1-5.4
18 Miami (FL)2561924%75.279.9-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs343266
Wake Forest324577
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