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Wake Forest vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-66
29-31 38-35
Position#87
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game65.7
Wake Forest 🏆
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#111
Record12-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wake Forest v North Carolina
13 Mar 2025
WAKE59
NORT68
21 Jan 2025
WAKE67
NORT66
07 Feb 2023
WAKE92
NORT85
22 Jan 2022
WAKE98
NORT76
11 Feb 2020
WAKE74
NORT57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H29/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
30-22
26-29
18-28
38-35
34-31
31-32
44-26
31-40
31-33
36-34
45-37
38-32
39-27
39-31
49-47
33-35
47-32
31-29
41-34
135.1Avg total
70.8Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.965.7136.6+5.278%
Season at home (11)73.762.7136.5+11.0100%
Season away (7)66.470.3136.7-3.943%
Last 10 (10)70.864.3135.1+6.580%
Last 5 (5)79.667.6147.2+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.374.8142.2-7.533%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.266.0138.2+6.267%
vs Weaker (14)72.165.5137.6+6.671%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#272
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A04/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H08/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A11/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H16/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
51-42
34-46
50-44
32-40
44-34
40-29
57-52
31-37
39-46
39-32
35-41
39-24
43-43
26-20
37-41
39-29
40-24
36-35
35-37
151.0Avg total
78.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.375.8158.2+6.563%
Season at home (12)85.174.9160.0+10.267%
Season away (7)77.677.4155.0+0.157%
Last 10 (10)78.972.1151.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)73.865.2139.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.389.7172.0-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.480.2162.6+2.258%
vs Weaker (15)80.464.1144.5+16.393%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
Wake ForestNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H29/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.766.8+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.832.868.6+3.061%-
Last 30 away (12)31.632.764.2-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.665.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.267.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.035.265.2-5.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.032.666.6+1.444%-
vs Weaker (14)35.832.268.0+3.686%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#272
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H08/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A11/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.8Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.772.4+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.134.974.0+4.271%-
Last 30 away (9)34.134.368.4-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)35.831.767.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.076.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.438.677.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker (15)37.930.067.9+7.993%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wake Forest wins
4
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24North Carolina v Wake Forest85-64
08/02/23Wake Forest v North Carolina92-85
05/01/23North Carolina v Wake Forest88-79
23/01/22Wake Forest v North Carolina98-76
21/01/21North Carolina v Wake Forest80-73
04/03/20North Carolina v Wake Forest93-83
12/02/20Wake Forest v North Carolina74-57
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AVirginia Tech72-63
15/01/25HStanford80-67
11/01/25AMiami (FL)88-78
04/01/25HNC State77-59
31/12/24ASyracuse81-71
21/12/24AClemson62-73
18/12/24HJames Madison75-58
07/12/24HBoston College72-66
04/12/24ATexas A&M44-57
29/11/24HMinnesota57-51
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HStanford71-72
16/01/25HCalifornia79-53
11/01/25ANC State63-61
08/01/25HSMU Mustangs82-67
04/01/25ANotre Dame74-73
01/01/25ALouisville70-83
30/12/24HCampbell97-81
21/12/24AUCLA76-74
18/12/24AFlorida84-90
14/12/24HLa Salle93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%100%43%
Points / game70.973.766.4
Allowed / game65.762.770.3
Point differential+5.2+11.0-3.9
Avg total136.6136.5136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL63%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %63%67%57%
Points / game82.385.177.6
Allowed / game75.874.977.4
Point differential+6.5+10.2+0.1
Avg total158.2160.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1816289%81.359.5+21.8
2 Clemson1915479%77.266.7+10.5
3 SMU Mustangs1814478%84.871.6+13.2
4 Wake Forest1814478%70.965.7+5.2
5 Louisville1914574%78.469.6+8.8
6 Florida State1813572%78.770.2+8.6
7 Pittsburgh1812667%80.470.8+9.6
8 Stanford1812667%76.371.2+5.1
9 North Carolina1912763%82.375.8+6.5
10 NC State189950%71.367.1+4.2
11 California189950%75.074.9+0.1
12 Syracuse189950%75.177.6-2.4
13 Virginia1991047%62.063.9-1.9
14 Boston College1991047%69.473.9-4.5
15 Notre Dame1881044%74.971.2+3.7
16 Virginia Tech1881044%70.473.1-2.6
17 Georgia Tech1981142%74.973.9+0.9
18 Miami (FL)1841422%76.079.2-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest293867
North Carolina313566
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