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SMU Mustangs vs Wake Forest Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#33
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#114
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Wake Forest
05 Jan 2027
SMU v WAKE
upcoming
15 Feb 2025
SMU 66
WAKE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
48-61
31-38
38-39
27-45
51-46
39-38
47-31
26-26
32-36
34-43
45-46
40-38
45-34
47-28
48-42
52-36
46-27
51-17
39-48
156.6Avg total
81.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season at home (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.375.3156.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)89.471.8161.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.181.6155.7-7.414%
vs Similar (12)80.881.6162.3-0.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.170.7161.8+20.491%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
A10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#16
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#173
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-22
38-46
42-46
46-37
24-32
46-43
29-37
51-36
38-34
37-41
23-41
39-30
40-33
43-29
27-39
24-35
38-22
44-42
46-28
43-23
147.7Avg total
76.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.262.8139.0+13.575%
Season at home (3)84.759.0143.7+25.7100%
Season away (1)51.074.0125.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.771.0147.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)73.464.4137.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.980.7153.6-7.815%
vs Similar (12)78.875.8154.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (5)80.266.8147.0+13.480%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +4.9+4.9
SMU MustangsWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H14/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.135.478.5+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.371.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.832.477.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.641.378.9-3.729%-
vs Similar (12)37.638.175.7-0.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.732.075.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#16
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#173
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H14/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.472.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.238.476.6-0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)31.836.167.8-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.467.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.667.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.040.774.7-6.715%-
vs Similar (12)35.936.672.5-0.733%-
vs Weaker (5)37.830.868.6+7.0100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
1
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Wake Forest v SMU Mustangs79-91
15/02/25SMU Mustangs v Wake Forest66-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBall State90-65
11/11/26HPrairie View A&M98-63
06/11/26HVMI95-70
03/11/26HSouthern Univ.85-72
19/03/26HMiami (Ohio)79-89
11/03/26ALouisville58-62
10/03/26HSyracuse86-69
07/03/26AFlorida State78-91
05/03/26HMiami (FL)69-77
28/02/26AStanford75-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouthern Utah89-51
11/11/26HCharleston Southern82-64
05/11/26AVanderbilt51-74
03/11/26HMd.-East. Shore83-62
12/03/26AClemson62-71
10/03/26AVirginia Tech95-89 OT
07/03/26HCalifornia80-73
04/03/26AVirginia70-75
28/02/26HSyracuse88-83
25/02/26ABoston College67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+24.5+24.5-
Avg total159.5159.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Wake Forest
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game76.284.751.0
Allowed / game62.859.074.0
Point differential+13.5+25.7-23.0
Avg total139.0143.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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