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Louisville vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-59
45-21 27-38
Position#26
Record15-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#87
Record15-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Wake Forest
28 Jan 2025
LOUI72
WAKE59
07 Jan 2023
LOUI72
WAKE80
29 Dec 2021
LOUI73
WAKE69
05 Feb 2020
LOUI86
WAKE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-46
45-47
36-34
54-42
46-37
32-39
37-31
46-39
32-27
38-23
42-35
32-29
35-34
47-44
43-27
42-34
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
153.4Avg total
82.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.369.8149.1+9.675%
Season at home (12)75.869.4145.2+6.367%
Season away (8)84.870.2155.0+14.588%
Last 10 (10)82.670.8153.4+11.890%
Last 5 (5)84.068.6152.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.983.6154.4-12.70%
vs Similar (10)74.574.1148.6+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.465.2147.5+17.291%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
34-31
31-32
44-26
31-40
31-33
36-34
45-37
38-32
39-27
39-31
49-47
33-35
47-32
31-29
41-34
29-31
38-35
22-35
34-28
139.4Avg total
73.0Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.065.5135.5+4.475%
Season at home (13)71.863.0134.8+8.892%
Season away (7)66.470.3136.7-3.943%
Last 10 (10)73.066.4139.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)72.667.4140.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.272.5137.7-7.333%
vs Similar (10)71.766.0137.7+5.770%
vs Weaker (13)74.166.8140.8+7.377%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +7.2+7.2
LouisvilleWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
40.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.670.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.834.168.8+0.747%-
Last 30 away (13)37.335.272.5+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)40.032.672.6+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)41.830.272.0+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.040.975.9-5.933%-
vs Similar (10)35.134.369.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.329.666.9+7.673%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H25/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.367.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.832.867.5+2.055%-
Last 30 away (10)33.034.267.2-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.466.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.832.263.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)29.236.265.3-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)33.532.465.9+1.140%-
vs Weaker (13)36.833.169.9+3.885%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisville wins
3
Wake Forest wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
15/01/25ASyracuse85-61
11/01/25APittsburgh82-78
08/01/25HClemson74-64
04/01/25AVirginia70-50
01/01/25HNorth Carolina83-70
28/12/24HEastern Kentucky78-76
21/12/24AFlorida State90-76
14/12/24AKentucky85-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HDuke56-63
22/01/25HNorth Carolina67-66
18/01/25AVirginia Tech72-63
15/01/25HStanford80-67
11/01/25AMiami (FL)88-78
04/01/25HNC State77-59
31/12/24ASyracuse81-71
21/12/24AClemson62-73
18/12/24HJames Madison75-58
07/12/24HBoston College72-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %75%67%88%
Points / game79.375.884.8
Allowed / game69.869.470.2
Point differential+9.6+6.3+14.5
Avg total149.1145.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%92%43%
Points / game70.071.866.4
Allowed / game65.563.070.3
Point differential+4.4+8.8-3.9
Avg total135.5134.8136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%54%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2018290%80.059.5+20.4
2 Clemson2117481%77.466.5+10.9
3 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
4 Louisville2015575%79.369.8+9.6
5 Wake Forest2015575%70.065.5+4.4
6 Stanford2014670%77.070.2+6.8
7 Pittsburgh1913668%80.270.9+9.3
8 Florida State2013765%77.870.9+6.9
9 North Carolina2113862%82.576.4+6.1
10 California2011955%76.275.5+0.7
11 Notre Dame1991047%74.870.5+4.3
12 NC State2091145%70.267.2+3.0
13 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
14 Virginia2091145%61.964.5-2.6
15 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
16 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
17 Virginia Tech2081240%69.572.9-3.5
18 Miami (FL)2041620%75.780.6-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville452772
Wake Forest213859
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