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Appalachian State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 63-51
31-25 32-26
Position#203
Record12-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#278
Record9-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Appalachian State v Arkansas State
10 Mar 2024
APPA65
ARKA67
01 Mar 2024
APPA80
ARKA57
28 Jan 2023
APPA63
ARKA51
27 Jan 2022
APPA61
ARKA54
16 Jan 2020
APPA83
ARKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H12/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H14/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
21-34
28-35
25-44
33-30
37-46
29-28
34-34
39-24
32-38
33-33
32-34
25-20
33-25
39-38
37-38
33-26
39-32
42-27
29-32
131.9Avg total
65.7Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.364.8138.1+8.555%
Season at home (13)76.960.8137.7+16.262%
Season away (9)68.170.7138.8-2.644%
Last 10 (10)65.766.2131.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)70.064.4134.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.564.2127.8-0.850%
vs Similar (13)62.965.5128.4-2.523%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.562.7144.2+18.885%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#322
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
46-36
29-16
31-41
36-47
36-37
18-29
27-34
27-31
27-35
24-28
34-33
33-33
24-41
30-43
41-37
23-31
48-40
27-33
30-40
134.9Avg total
62.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)65.867.3133.1-1.541%
Season at home (14)71.366.7138.0+4.657%
Season away (8)56.268.4124.6-12.112%
Last 10 (10)62.972.0134.9-9.120%
Last 5 (5)64.275.0139.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)61.773.6135.4-11.99%
vs Similar (11)64.367.5131.8-3.345%
vs Weaker (7)72.660.6133.1+12.086%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -3.0-3.0
Appalachian StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H26/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
33.0Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.429.764.0+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.228.963.2+5.356%-
Last 30 away (12)34.630.865.3+3.875%-
Last 10 (10)33.028.861.8+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.428.863.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.027.556.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (13)31.230.461.6+0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.229.668.8+9.569%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#322
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
29-16
29
16
+13
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
27.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.432.162.5-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.332.164.4+0.333%-
Last 30 away (12)27.432.259.6-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)27.833.060.8-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)27.433.661.0-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.235.462.5-8.20%-
vs Similar (11)29.731.260.9-1.536%-
vs Weaker (7)35.029.064.0+6.071%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Appalachian State wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23HGeorgia State71-59
22/01/23AOld Dominion72-58
20/01/23ACoastal Carolina84-93 OT
14/01/23HTroy58-45
12/01/23HGeorgia Southern65-67
08/01/23AJames Madison71-62
05/01/23HCoastal Carolina63-62
31/12/22ASouthern Miss70-76
30/12/22AMarshall53-79
21/12/22HUC Santa Barbara50-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ASouthern Miss57-73
21/01/23HMarshall78-87 OT
20/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette71-80
14/01/23HSouthern Miss57-74
13/01/23HTexas State58-61
07/01/23ATroy54-66
06/01/23ASouth Alabama45-63
31/12/22HLouisiana Monroe72-84
30/12/22AOld Dominion60-57
22/12/22HUALR77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %55%62%44%
Points / game73.376.968.1
Allowed / game64.860.870.7
Point differential+8.5+16.2-2.6
Avg total138.1137.7138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%8%11%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeLLLLL57%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %41%57%12%
Points / game65.871.356.2
Allowed / game67.366.768.4
Point differential-1.5+4.6-12.1
Avg total133.1138.0124.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2319483%75.463.3+12.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette2117481%79.770.1+9.5
3 Marshall2217577%81.970.2+11.7
4 James Madison2315865%82.966.6+16.3
5 Old Dominion2213959%67.566.0+1.5
6 Troy23131057%73.265.6+7.6
7 Appalachian State22121055%73.364.8+8.5
8 Georgia Southern22121055%68.165.5+2.7
9 Texas State23111248%64.565.0-0.5
10 Coastal Carolina22101245%74.771.4+3.3
11 Louisiana Monroe23101343%69.169.0+0.1
12 Georgia State2191243%66.564.6+1.9
13 South Alabama2291341%69.567.5+1.9
14 Arkansas State2291341%65.867.3-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State313263
Arkansas State252651
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