PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South Alabama vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-60
37-25 40-35
Position#166
Record8-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#115
Record13-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · South Alabama v Troy
21 Feb 2026
SOUT65
TROY54
18 Jan 2025
SOUT64
TROY63
18 Jan 2024
SOUT74
TROY71
28 Jan 2023
SOUT77
TROY60
27 Jan 2022
SOUT82
TROY63
11 Feb 2021
SOUT73
TROY70
29 Feb 2020
SOUT78
TROY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#266
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H06/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H07/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
39-33
25-35
25-29
30-29
28-39
29-18
34-27
21-36
37-28
33-24
30-38
40-33
36-46
37-33
35-43
28-41
40-27
29-34
35-32
133.1Avg total
65.6Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.167.9137.0+1.238%
Season at home (10)68.962.1131.0+6.850%
Season away (11)69.373.2142.5-3.927%
Last 10 (10)65.667.5133.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)71.273.6144.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.271.8133.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.969.9138.8-1.025%
vs Weaker (18)68.262.4130.6+5.850%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-41
47-41
23-26
37-38
20-22
35-30
38-32
40-39
31-27
35-27
30-27
35-26
20-25
25-33
42-35
32-39
31-27
46-26
17-41
40-31
131.7Avg total
66.9Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.865.0138.8+8.759%
Season at home (10)84.863.7148.5+21.180%
Season away (12)64.666.2130.8-1.642%
Last 10 (10)66.964.8131.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)66.265.0131.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)61.368.2129.5-6.99%
vs Weaker (14)71.462.1133.4+9.386%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.2+4.2
South AlabamaTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#266
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H07/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H27/01
NCAA
62.0Avg total
30.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.930.462.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.527.961.4+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)30.333.063.3-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)30.431.662.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.066.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.528.555.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.031.463.4+0.662%-
vs Weaker (18)33.130.463.5+2.650%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A27/01
NCAA
58.7Avg total
28.4Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.264.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.329.566.8+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)29.532.862.3-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)28.430.358.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)28.031.059.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.132.661.7-3.536%-
vs Weaker (14)32.429.361.7+3.164%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
South Alabama wins
1
Troy wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Troy v South Alabama77-68
28/01/22South Alabama v Troy82-63
13/02/21Troy v South Alabama51-58
12/02/21South Alabama v Troy73-70
01/03/20South Alabama v Troy78-63
08/02/20Troy v South Alabama66-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HOld Dominion64-66
21/01/23ACoastal Carolina81-85 OT
20/01/23ASouthern Miss72-76
14/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette76-79
13/01/23HJames Madison63-62
07/01/23HTexas State58-64
06/01/23HArkansas State63-45
31/12/22AGeorgia State58-68
30/12/22AGeorgia Southern50-64
21/12/22HJacksonville State71-66
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette57-72
21/01/23HLouisiana Monroe77-53
20/01/23HJames Madison87-89 OT
14/01/23AAppalachian State45-58
13/01/23AGeorgia State65-53
07/01/23HArkansas State66-54
06/01/23HOld Dominion78-71
31/12/22ATexas State55-52
30/12/22ASouthern Miss60-64
22/12/22HMercer79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game69.168.969.3
Allowed / game67.962.173.2
Point differential+1.2+6.8-3.9
Avg total137.0131.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%80%42%
Points / game73.884.864.6
Allowed / game65.063.766.2
Point differential+8.7+21.1-1.6
Avg total138.8148.5130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%70%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2319483%75.463.3+12.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette2117481%79.770.1+9.5
3 Marshall2217577%81.970.2+11.7
4 James Madison2214864%84.067.5+16.5
5 Troy2213959%73.865.0+8.7
6 Old Dominion2112957%67.966.4+1.5
7 Appalachian State22121055%73.364.8+8.5
8 Georgia Southern22121055%68.165.5+2.7
9 Texas State23111248%64.565.0-0.5
10 Coastal Carolina21101148%75.471.9+3.5
11 Louisiana Monroe22101245%70.269.5+0.7
12 Georgia State2191243%66.564.6+1.9
13 Arkansas State2291341%65.867.3-1.5
14 South Alabama2181338%69.167.9+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama374077
Troy253560
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.