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South East Melbourne vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 103-98 (OT)
35-25 17-19 16-27 23-20 12-7
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game91.0
AustraliaNBL
Other2022-23
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Adelaide
21 Jan 2027
SOUT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
SOUT108
ADEL94
14 Mar 2026
SOUT101
ADEL92
22 Nov 2025
SOUT81
ADEL94
16 Feb 2025
SOUT85
ADEL75
02 Feb 2025
SOUT105
ADEL99
21 Dec 2024
SOUT106
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SOUT85
ADEL110
11 Dec 2022
SOUT102
ADEL84
30 Oct 2022
SOUT103
ADEL98
22 Apr 2022
SOUT94
ADEL91
17 Apr 2021
SOUT81
ADEL90
20 Mar 2021
SOUT96
ADEL89
18 Nov 2019
SOUT91
ADEL103
27 Oct 2019
SOUT101
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H17/04
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H22/04
NBL
Perth
#4
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
A24/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H01/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H08/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H15/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
99-77
99
77
+22
A20/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H22/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
91-90
91
90
+1
A28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
29-17
18-32
14-16
19-22
22-27
19-25
34-17
22-25
24-27
20-17
24-21
28-16
15-17
14-18
27-28
19-22
16-20
13-23
24-20
22-18
19-25
21-16
14-26
17-19
21-26
18-18
21-22
38-25
20-16
23-15
18-21
21-25
20-22
27-22
21-19
27-18
18-33
24-23
22-16
172.8Avg total
86.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.084.1168.1-0.157%
Season at home (4)81.584.2165.8-2.850%
Season away (3)87.384.0171.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)86.486.4172.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)86.485.0171.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.394.0182.3-5.70%
vs Similar ◀ (19)86.386.2172.5+0.153%
vs Weaker (8)88.083.8171.8+4.275%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H09/04
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H11/04
NBL
Perth
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A14/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A17/04
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A22/04
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#10
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A24/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
72-97
72
97
-25
H13/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A21/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
H28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-26
12-19
26-20
24-23
17-18
15-25
29-27
30-15
19-23
21-13
12-19
19-21
19-19
24-21
28-21
22-19
27-22
25-19
17-34
21-16
20-18
23-8
29-18
10-32
27-19
17-16
18-30
25-17
21-23
12-20
32-20
25-20
25-22
18-29
24-17
22-24
16-22
12-28
20-25
168.9Avg total
84.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.091.0172.0-10.050%
Season at home (3)77.392.0169.3-14.733%
Season away (1)92.088.0180.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.284.7168.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.484.8168.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.688.5170.1-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.486.4167.8-5.020%
vs Weaker (7)84.075.7159.7+8.371%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
South East MelbourneAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/04
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/04
NBL
Perth
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A24/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H01/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H15/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A20/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H22/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A28/10
NBL
87.5Avg total
43.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.387.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.485.5+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)46.044.290.2+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.987.5-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.490.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.746.792.3-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.642.586.1+1.142%-
vs Weaker (8)46.043.889.8+2.262%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H09/04
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/04
NBL
Perth
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/04
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/04
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H13/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A21/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H28/10
NBL
84.6Avg total
42.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.585.7-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.843.885.6-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.185.9-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.884.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.685.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.743.686.3-0.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.343.186.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (7)40.043.783.7-3.743%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South East Melbourne wins
6
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/22APerth91-90
22/10/22HBrisbane Bullets89-88
20/10/22ANew Zealand Breakers99-77
15/10/22HNew Zealand Breakers77-85
08/10/22HCairns Taipans76-85
06/10/22AIllawarra Hawks72-85
01/10/22HTasmania JackJumpers84-79
24/04/22APerth102-100 OT
22/04/22HAdelaide94-91
17/04/22HTasmania JackJumpers80-84
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/22HNew Zealand Breakers70-99
21/10/22ASydney92-88
15/10/22HIllawarra Hawks90-80
13/10/22HTasmania JackJumpers72-97
24/04/22ANew Zealand Breakers93-60
22/04/22ASouth East Melbourne91-94
17/04/22ASydney90-82
14/04/22APerth82-70
11/04/22HBrisbane Bullets85-93
09/04/22HSydney77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game84.081.587.3
Allowed / game84.184.284.0
Point differential-0.1-2.8+3.3
Avg total168.1165.8171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game81.077.392.0
Allowed / game91.092.088.0
Point differential-10.0-14.7+4.0
Avg total172.0169.3180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand Breakers86275%84.975.0+9.9
2 Sydney86275%94.886.2+8.5
3 Cairns Taipans74357%85.484.9+0.6
4 South East Melbourne74357%84.084.1-0.1
5 Perth63350%85.383.0+2.3
6 Tasmania JackJumpers84450%81.881.1+0.6
7 Adelaide42250%81.091.0-10.0
8 Melbourne United73443%81.787.3-5.6
9 Brisbane Bullets72529%84.383.6+0.7
10 Illawarra Hawks81712%76.588.4-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
South East Melbourne3517162312103
Adelaide25192720798
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