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South East Melbourne vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 81-94
23-19 20-18 21-30 17-27
Position#2
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game87.9
South East Melbourne
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game86.3
AustraliaNBLRound 10· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Adelaide
21 Jan 2027
SOUT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
SOUT108
ADEL94
14 Mar 2026
SOUT101
ADEL92
22 Nov 2025
SOUT81
ADEL94
16 Feb 2025
SOUT85
ADEL75
02 Feb 2025
SOUT105
ADEL99
21 Dec 2024
SOUT106
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SOUT85
ADEL110
11 Dec 2022
SOUT102
ADEL84
30 Oct 2022
SOUT103
ADEL98
22 Apr 2022
SOUT94
ADEL91
17 Apr 2021
SOUT81
ADEL90
20 Mar 2021
SOUT96
ADEL89
18 Nov 2019
SOUT91
ADEL103
27 Oct 2019
SOUT101
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 89
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
54avg 89
A16/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
116-76
116
76
+40
104avg 89
H18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
112-95
112
95
+17
107avg 89
H23/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
109-86
109
86
+23
98avg 89
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-89
94
89
+5
85avg 89
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
103-102
103
102
+1
92avg 89
A06/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
73avg 89
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 89
A14/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
103-76
103
76
+27
92avg 89
A20/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
13-31
28-19
25-16
16-28
11-22
18-16
26-22
30-23
36-17
17-12
33-24
22-20
23-28
34-25
33-22
23-20
23-19
37-22
26-25
21-24
25-22
29-26
19-17
32-29
28-32
18-20
25-21
28-27
17-20
12-21
24-24
28-24
36-15
20-23
17-28
27-19
29-21
18-21
29-15
185.2Avg total
97.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.887.9185.8+9.975%
Season at home (5)103.485.8189.2+17.680%
Season away (7)93.989.4183.3+4.471%
Last 10 (10)97.787.5185.2+10.280%
Last 5 (5)96.489.8186.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)102.6104.2206.8-1.660%
vs Similar (9)95.2102.1197.3-6.922%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)102.686.5189.1+16.194%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
73avg 86
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
80avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
81avg 86
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 86
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 86
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 86
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 86
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
93avg 86
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 86
H19/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
22-25
23-25
15-24
28-16
22-11
16-18
22-26
19-17
25-19
20-21
27-29
17-14
20-26
18-19
25-22
21-19
20-22
31-26
18-21
22-14
21-33
23-21
17-11
18-17
27-27
31-28
11-22
26-15
26-23
28-17
17-31
26-27
25-23
27-18
13-23
21-22
23-27
27-15
26-21
177.1Avg total
89.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.786.3178.0+5.477%
Season at home (8)91.488.9180.2+2.575%
Season away (5)92.282.2174.4+10.080%
Last 10 (10)89.787.4177.1+2.370%
Last 5 (5)93.889.0182.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)94.596.7191.2-2.246%
vs Similar (10)93.290.8184.0+2.450%
vs Weaker (7)97.084.9181.9+12.1100%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
South East MelbourneAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A16/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A06/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A14/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A20/11
NBL
94.5Avg total
48.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.249.2100.3+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.546.696.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)52.651.4104.0+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)48.945.694.5+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)54.246.6100.8+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.255.6107.8-3.460%-
vs Similar (9)51.452.2103.7-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)50.745.496.1+5.262%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/11
NBL
87.4Avg total
44.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.144.493.5+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.344.794.0+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)49.044.093.0+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.687.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.692.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)49.246.595.6+2.754%-
vs Similar (10)48.942.991.8+6.070%-
vs Weaker (7)49.442.692.0+6.971%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.020.7
46.0%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.5
37.9%
33.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
74.8%14.6
They take 80.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.120.6
46.7%
54.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
33.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.4
75.3%
74.8%17.4
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
WWLWWWWWLW
Adelaide
WWWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#3
+11.7
Net rating
+3.4
115.3
Offensive rating
112.3
103.6
Defensive rating
108.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.4%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.9%
3-point %
34.9%
68.4%
Assist %
64.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 112.3Defence103.6 · 108.9Shooting50.8% · 49.0%3-point %37.9% · 34.9%Ball care12.9% · 12.4%Off. rebounds34.4% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
South East Melbourne wins
5
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
16/10/25Adelaide v South East Melbourne88-71
16/02/25South East Melbourne v Adelaide85-75
02/02/25South East Melbourne v Adelaide105-99
21/12/24South East Melbourne v Adelaide106-86
03/10/24Adelaide v South East Melbourne93-83
17/01/24South East Melbourne v Adelaide85-110
17/11/23Adelaide v South East Melbourne96-93
19/10/23Adelaide v South East Melbourne85-102
24/12/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne94-88
11/12/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide102-84
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25ABrisbane Bullets103-76
14/11/25ACairns Taipans101-90
08/11/25HMelbourne United81-92
06/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-102
02/11/25HPerth94-89
25/10/25ABrisbane Bullets109-86
23/10/25HSydney112-95
18/10/25HIllawarra Hawks116-76
16/10/25AAdelaide71-88
12/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers87-81
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HIllawarra Hawks97-85
16/11/25HCairns Taipans105-101 OT
13/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers97-86
09/11/25HPerth87-94
06/11/25ANew Zealand Breakers83-79
02/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-88
26/10/25AMelbourne United80-81
18/10/25ACairns Taipans91-86
16/10/25HSouth East Melbourne88-71
11/10/25HSydney79-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game97.8103.493.9
Allowed / game87.985.889.4
Point differential+9.9+17.6+4.4
Avg total185.8189.2183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%75%80%
Points / game91.791.492.2
Allowed / game86.388.982.2
Point differential+5.4+2.5+10.0
Avg total178.0180.2174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1412286%97.385.8+11.5
2 Adelaide1310377%91.786.3+5.4
3 South East Melbourne129375%97.887.9+9.9
4 Perth138562%89.285.8+3.3
5 Sydney127558%91.984.3+7.6
6 Tasmania JackJumpers145936%84.487.2-2.9
7 New Zealand Breakers1551033%88.388.1+0.1
8 Brisbane Bullets1551033%88.796.1-7.4
9 Illawarra Hawks134931%88.897.2-8.4
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne2320211781
Adelaide1918302794
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