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Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 99-94
19-19 30-29 30-18 20-28
Position#7
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game90.4
AustraliaNBL
Other2020-21
Meetings · Adelaide v South East Melbourne
02 Jan 2027
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
ADEL108
SOUT96
10 Mar 2026
ADEL104
SOUT97
31 Jan 2026
ADEL77
SOUT97
18 Jan 2026
ADEL89
SOUT108
16 Oct 2025
ADEL88
SOUT71
03 Oct 2024
ADEL93
SOUT83
17 Nov 2023
ADEL96
SOUT93
19 Oct 2023
ADEL85
SOUT102
24 Dec 2022
ADEL94
SOUT88
27 Mar 2022
ADEL100
SOUT92
04 Mar 2022
ADEL76
SOUT83
23 Feb 2021
ADEL99
SOUT94
20 Jan 2021
ADEL83
SOUT89
17 Jan 2021
ADEL116
SOUT108
02 Feb 2020
ADEL100
SOUT93
13 Dec 2019
ADEL113
SOUT111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H15/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
116-108 OT
116
108
+8
H17/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
H22/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A13/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H15/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A21/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
17-19
13-26
13-26
19-18
28-25
23-31
19-15
19-21
24-26
18-24
22-18
29-19
15-23
18-28
20-12
21-14
18-19
26-22
23-23
22-24
21-12
19-15
23-29
18-21
21-27
12-17
24-29
16-19
23-13
13-15
33-23
14-17
23-30
18-26
19-20
22-30
29-18
8-23
18-23
172.8Avg total
84.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.288.6172.8-4.450%
Season at home (8)85.090.2175.2-5.250%
Season away (2)81.082.0163.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)84.288.6172.8-4.450%
Last 5 (5)79.286.2165.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)90.497.2187.6-6.933%
vs Similar (7)93.989.6183.4+4.386%
vs Weaker (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#6
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
108-116 OT
108
116
-8
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A20/01
NBL
Perth
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A24/01
NBL
Perth
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A29/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A31/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H07/02
NBL
Perth
#2
L
75-106
75
106
-31
H11/02
NBL
Perth
#2
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H14/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H21/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
22-21
27-26
17-28
18-19
25-28
31-23
15-19
21-19
26-24
24-18
18-22
17-23
25-15
15-22
19-28
23-17
19-24
29-26
19-22
22-22
18-25
14-19
36-30
23-23
22-16
35-22
18-21
16-21
11-27
25-25
23-33
22-24
27-14
24-14
23-19
16-27
28-17
24-22
31-17
183.4Avg total
91.1Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.290.4181.7+0.856%
Season at home (4)92.085.5177.5+6.575%
Season away (5)90.694.4185.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)91.192.3183.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)91.687.6179.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)92.599.1191.6-6.612%
vs Similar (9)92.192.8184.9-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.895.8195.5+4.075%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
AdelaideSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H17/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A13/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H15/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A21/02
NBL
83.4Avg total
42.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.946.993.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.746.192.8+0.661%-
Last 30 away (12)47.248.295.4-0.942%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.383.4+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)47.348.095.3-0.848%-
vs Similar (7)44.940.985.7+4.086%-
vs Weaker (2)50.556.5107.0-6.00%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#6
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A20/01
NBL
Perth
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/01
NBL
Perth
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A31/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/02
NBL
Perth
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H11/02
NBL
Perth
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/02
NBL
86.5Avg total
42.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.548.293.7-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.648.794.3-3.131%-
Last 30 away (17)45.447.993.3-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.086.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.284.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)46.450.496.8-4.029%-
vs Similar (9)42.344.887.1-2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.846.895.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
2
South East Melbourne wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21ASydney77-94
15/02/21HBrisbane Bullets74-93
13/02/21ABrisbane Bullets85-70
06/02/21HSydney75-94
30/01/21HSydney85-80
27/01/21HNew Zealand Breakers88-78
22/01/21HNew Zealand Breakers94-91 OT
20/01/21HSouth East Melbourne83-89
17/01/21HSouth East Melbourne116-108 OT
15/01/21HMelbourne United65-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21HBrisbane Bullets99-83
14/02/21HPerth96-71
11/02/21HPerth75-106
07/02/21HIllawarra Hawks98-82
31/01/21AMelbourne United90-96
29/01/21APerth90-89
24/01/21APerth76-88
20/01/21AAdelaide89-83
17/01/21AAdelaide108-116 OT
16/02/20HMelbourne United90-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.285.081.0
Allowed / game88.690.282.0
Point differential-4.4-5.2-1.0
Avg total172.8175.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game91.292.090.6
Allowed / game90.485.594.4
Point differential+0.8+6.5-3.8
Avg total181.7177.5185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United87188%90.083.1+6.9
2 Illawarra Hawks96367%90.485.8+4.7
3 Perth74357%89.686.1+3.4
4 South East Melbourne95456%91.290.4+0.8
5 Adelaide105550%84.288.6-4.4
6 Sydney94544%90.286.3+3.9
7 Brisbane Bullets83538%87.992.1-4.2
8 Taipans103730%85.789.6-3.9
9 New Zealand Breakers61517%80.888.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide1930302099
South East Melbourne1929182894
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